I just read about 16 pages of posts on this thread and not one person has even talked about how point spreads work and what the point of them even is. It's not so much about who is actually going to win the game on the field that day- Vegas couldnt care less about that. It's about setting a line, and then moving that line accordingly as gameday approaches, so that there's an equal amount if $ being put on each side.
So when you see the line move one direction or another, it has NOTHING to do with what Vegas predicts as the outcome of the game, but rather because they need to get people on the other side to bet more money to even it out. It's hedging, that's all they're doing.
So everyone that's getting upset because we aren't "favored", what Vegas is telling us is that by placing the line at ISU +2 they are going to get an equal amount if money bet on each team. It has nothing to do with who they think is better or who wins. It's 100% about the gamblers out there and where they're pitting their bets.
So when you see the line move one direction or another, it has NOTHING to do with what Vegas predicts as the outcome of the game, but rather because they need to get people on the other side to bet more money to even it out. It's hedging, that's all they're doing.
So everyone that's getting upset because we aren't "favored", what Vegas is telling us is that by placing the line at ISU +2 they are going to get an equal amount if money bet on each team. It has nothing to do with who they think is better or who wins. It's 100% about the gamblers out there and where they're pitting their bets.