Seriously? 4 teams have left. Texas would have been gone had another conference allowed the LHN. OU had one foot out the door. I would say that is a pretty good 'real life indicator'.
FWIW, I hope that the Big 12 survives in it's current form. Heck, if I have my choice, the original Big 8 would have survived. I'm not wrapped up in rumors or conspiracy, it's just my opinion that in this day and age of college sports, if you aren't growing, you are dying. I could very well be wrong, and I hope I am.
That was all in the past.
You don't sell your TV rights away for more than a decade if you aren't on the same page as everyone else. To do so would be INSANELY stupid.