2023-24 ISU WBB Season Thread

Thanks to @JimDogRock for the graph and insightful commentary going back to 2003. For those interested, here's the FT data going back to the beginning. I don't have much to add from a commentary standpoint other than it's clear ISU team FT% has been significantly higher during the Fennelly era than before it.


1704493723392.png
YearFTMFTAFT%
1974​
220​
370​
59.5%​
1975​
231​
356​
64.9%​
1976​
404​
623​
64.8%​
1977​
301​
466​
64.6%​
1978​
316​
493​
64.1%​
1979​
308​
514​
59.9%​
1980​
312​
471​
66.2%​
1981​
236​
380​
62.1%​
1982​
309​
491​
62.9%​
1983​
360​
518​
69.5%​
1984​
336​
520​
64.6%​
1985​
357​
504​
70.8%​
1986​
357​
555​
64.3%​
1987​
332​
559​
59.4%​
1988​
357​
518​
68.9%​
1989​
286​
435​
65.7%​
1990​
388​
573​
67.7%​
1991​
326​
457​
71.3%​
1992​
327​
479​
68.3%​
1993​
319​
502​
63.5%​
1994​
404​
637​
63.4%​
1995​
415​
654​
63.5%​
1996​
329​
481​
68.4%​
1997​
351​
499​
70.3%​
1998​
539​
729​
73.9%​
1999​
541​
767​
70.5%​
2000​
454​
620​
73.2%​
2001​
470​
635​
74.0%​
2002​
545​
751​
72.6%​
2003​
323​
466​
69.3%​
2004​
392​
517​
75.8%​
2005​
404​
539​
75.0%​
2006​
383​
520​
73.7%​
2007​
465​
625​
74.4%​
2008​
366​
531​
68.9%​
2009​
462​
631​
73.2%​
2010​
394​
534​
73.8%​
2011​
451​
632​
71.4%​
2012​
415​
570​
72.8%​
2013​
459​
570​
80.5%​
2014​
546​
679​
80.4%​
2015​
424​
551​
77.0%​
2016​
414​
548​
75.5%​
2017​
445​
557​
79.9%​
2018​
360​
482​
74.7%​
2019​
478​
603​
79.3%​
2020​
433​
567​
76.4%​
2021​
393​
475​
82.7%​
2022​
468​
578​
81.0%​
2023​
468​
583​
80.3%​
2024​
144​
210​
68.6%​
 
Once we knew Emily wouldn't be 100% this season, the only disappointment for this season has been free throws.

Here's the overall team free throw percentage chart going back to 2003 since that was how far back sports-reference.com shows team averages & totals.
View attachment 121697

YearPercentage
2003​
69.3%​
2004​
75.8%​
2005​
75.0%​
2006​
73.7%​
2007​
74.4%​
2008​
68.9%​
2009​
73.2%​
2010​
73.8%​
2011​
71.4%​
2012​
72.8%​
2013​
80.5%​
2014​
80.4%​
2015​
77.0%​
2016​
75.5%​
2017​
79.9%​
2018​
74.7%​
2019​
79.3%​
2020​
76.4%​
2021​
82.7%​
2022​
81.0%​
2023​
80.3%​
2024​
68.6%​

This is easily explainable.
We've been spoiled in recent years by having high volume & high percentage free throw shooters. So, a step back was to be expected.

Here's hoping Crooks can progress like Chelsea Poppens did.
For reference, Crooks is at 62.5% while Poppens finished her freshman year at 62.7% & was an 83.7% shooter as a senior.
Crooks looks like she has been practicing. She shot very well Wed. But, yeah…it’s been painful to watch at times.
 
Once we knew Emily wouldn't be 100% this season, the only disappointment for this season has been free throws.

Here's the overall team free throw percentage chart going back to 2003 since that was how far back sports-reference.com shows team averages & totals.
View attachment 121697

YearPercentage
2003​
69.3%​
2004​
75.8%​
2005​
75.0%​
2006​
73.7%​
2007​
74.4%​
2008​
68.9%​
2009​
73.2%​
2010​
73.8%​
2011​
71.4%​
2012​
72.8%​
2013​
80.5%​
2014​
80.4%​
2015​
77.0%​
2016​
75.5%​
2017​
79.9%​
2018​
74.7%​
2019​
79.3%​
2020​
76.4%​
2021​
82.7%​
2022​
81.0%​
2023​
80.3%​
2024​
68.6%​

This is easily explainable.
We've been spoiled in recent years by having high volume & high percentage free throw shooters. So, a step back was to be expected.

Here's hoping Crooks can progress like Chelsea Poppens did.
For reference, Crooks is at 62.5% while Poppens finished her freshman year at 62.7% & was an 83.7% shooter as a senior.
84% free throw percentage would be a lot of extra points the way Audi gets to the line.
 
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Reactions: StClone
WVU will be our second (of many) big tests. They are better than us in all metrics other than rebounds and assists. The real scary stat is that they manage 15(!) steals a game which puts them at #1 in the nation.
Touching on this again. WVU still managed 13 steals in their blow out loss to Texas. Wednesday will be frustrating to watch I’m sure.
 
General discussion item for the season thread: is this one if the best, if not the best, coaching jobs the Coach Fennelly has done in his 29 year career at ISU?

5 Freshmen. 3 starting and at least three on the floor most of the time. Only Diew and Ryan back who played significant time last year. Then Ryan is injured. Diew inconsistent with her shot - not her effort.

Yes, turn overs have been an issue, but the scoring has been good. All five Freshmen have been in doubt figures at least one game. 9 players making significant contributions.
 
General discussion item for the season thread: is this one if the best, if not the best, coaching jobs the Coach Fennelly has done in his 29 year career at ISU?

5 Freshmen. 3 starting and at least three on the floor most of the time. Only Diew and Ryan back who played significant time last year. Then Ryan is injured. Diew inconsistent with her shot - not her effort.

Yes, turn overs have been an issue, but the scoring has been good. All five Freshmen have been in doubt figures at least one game. 9 players making significant contributions.

17% of the way into conference play is a little early to be anointing a best coaching job. What is clear, regardless of how the rest of the season goes, is that this recruiting class has proven to be great or better than it's high ranking. Coaching NCAA hoops is at least 50% recruiting and that part of the coaching for this season was an A+.

Enjoy the moment. A guy hitting a dozen homers in May doesn't mean he's going to hit 60 for the season. He might, but best to just enjoy the 12 first and worry about the 60 later.

BTW, turnovers haven't been crazy bad by any means. At 15/game (about league average) that's just a couple more than last years 13/game. We are only turning it over one more time per game than Baylor or Texas. Our turnovers margin looks so bad because we don't get the opponent to turn it over. Our opponent turnovers rank last in the league (by a lot) and that's why our turnover margin is also last.
 
17% of the way into conference play is a little early to be anointing a best coaching job. What is clear, regardless of how the rest of the season goes, is that this recruiting class has proven to be great or better than it's high ranking. Coaching NCAA hoops is at least 50% recruiting and that part of the coaching for this season was an A+.

Enjoy the moment. A guy hitting a dozen homers in May doesn't mean he's going to hit 60 for the season. He might, but best to just enjoy the 12 first and worry about the 60 later.

BTW, turnovers haven't been crazy bad by any means. At 15/game (about league average) that's just a couple more than last years 13/game. We are only turning it over one more time per game than Baylor or Texas. Our turnovers margin looks so bad because we don't get the opponent to turn it over. Our opponent turnovers rank last in the league (by a lot) and that's why our turnover margin is also last.
It is interesting that we basically get no steals. Kelsey is the only one even averaging one a game. Is that just lacking in our players game or is it something that come with experience?
 
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Reactions: StClone
It is interesting that we basically get no steals. Kelsey is the only one even averaging one a game. Is that just lacking in our players game or is it something that come with experience?
We tend to be a "force bad shots" defense rather than a "force turnovers" defense. Some players are particularly good at anticipating passes or poking the ball away and will get more steals because of that, but our defense isn't really designed to get steals.
 
We tend to be a "force bad shots" defense rather than a "force turnovers" defense. Some players are particularly good at anticipating passes or poking the ball away and will get more steals because of that, but our defense isn't really designed to get steals.

This is my take to. We are risk adverse. Attempting steals also means living with the risk of fouling and fouling is the anti-thesis to Fennelly Ball. We've heard dozens of times on broadcasts and interviews that ISU wants to make more free throws than the other team attempts. Pretty sure both Joens and Jackson could get steals in a different system. We will always be low in opponent turnovers, just not as low as this year with a green team. Not saying it doesn't make perfect sense to play the way we do. The companion stat that compliments our risk adverse style on the offense side is our assist to turnover ratio isn't bad considering the minutes played this year without an experienced PG.
 
Remember how bad Chelsea Poppens was during her freshman year shooting free throws. By her senior year she was almost automatic!

Poppens improvement was pretty impressive considering her shot just looked bad as a freshman. Audi looks to have a nice stroke. Think as she gets more acclimated to playing through Div I fatigue we will see her improve in league play. Just my hot take. That's what's impressive about gals who have played a full game and can go to the line and make crucial free throws. Not as easy as shooting in practice or early in the game.
 
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We are risk adverse. Attempting steals also means living with the risk of fouling and fouling is the anti-thesis to Fennelly Ball.
Plus there's the risk of trying and failing to get the steal and ending up behind the person you are defending. It's like our transition defense, where we likely give up a few offensive rebounds by going back so quickly but give up fewer transition baskets as a result.
 
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Brown is shooting 38 percent from 3 and 60 percent from inside the arc. He midrange jump shot is insanely good for a Freshman.
 
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Brown is shooting 38 percent from 3 and 60 percent from inside the arc. He midrange jump shot is insanely good for a Freshman.
For almost anyone, an 18-footer is a really bad shot. She knocks those down like they are nothing.

I am super super high on her potential, and I'm obviously not alone on that. I know I'm preaching to the choir here.
 

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