Weekend Upsets with WrestleStat | Week 15 2023

Weekend Upsets with WrestleStat | Week 15 2023

You can view the Recent Upsets report here: https://www.wrestlestat.com/recentupsets

174 - #22 Ben Pasiuk (Army West Point) beat #5 Michael O'Malley (Drexel) by DEC 5 - 3 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57286/pasiuk-ben/profile
174 - #16 Nick Incontrera (Pennsylvania) beat #5 Michael O'Malley (Drexel) by DEC 2 - 0 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57070/incontrera-nick/profile
174 - #10 Cade DeVos (South Dakota State) beat #6 Dustin Plott (Oklahoma State) by DEC 9 - 5 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57072/devos-cade/profile
197 - #17 Zach Braunagel (Illinois) beat #7 Yonger Bastida (Iowa State) by DEC 5 - 3 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50925/braunagel-zach/profile
125 - #9 Eric Barnett (Wisconsin) beat #7 Patrick McKee (Minnesota) by DEC 5 - 4 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56753/barnett-eric/profile
165 - #28 Gerrit Nijenhuis (Oklahoma) beat #9 Tanner Cook (South Dakota State) by DEC 8 - 5 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/62352/nijenhuis-gerrit/profile
133 - #21 Kai Orine (NC State) beat #9 Micky Phillippi (Pittsburgh) by TB-1 2 - 1 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56908/orine-kai/profile
165 - #20 Wyatt Sheets (Oklahoma State) beat #9 Tanner Cook (South Dakota State) by DEC 8 - 6 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/44863/sheets-wyatt/profile
174 - #48 Tate Picklo (Oklahoma) beat #10 Cade DeVos (South Dakota State) by DEC 8 - 5 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/72165/picklo-tate/profile
125 - #58 Blake West (Northern Illinois) beat #11 Michael DeAugustino (Northwestern) by TB-2 7 - 2 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/73337/west-blake/profile
141 - #19 Clay Carlson (South Dakota State) beat #11 Carter Young (Oklahoma State) by DEC 4 - 3 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56441/carlson-clay/profile
133 - #31 Zach Redding (Iowa State) beat #12 Kyle Biscoglia (Northern Iowa) by SV-1 4 - 2 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/62726/redding-zach/profile
141 - #39 Casey Swiderski (Iowa State) beat #13 Danny Pucino (Illinois) by DEC 10 - 7 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/71913/swiderski-casey/profile
149 - #78 Alek Martin (South Dakota State) beat #14 John Wiley (Oklahoma) by DEC 3 - 2 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/72167/martin-alek/profile
174 - #35 MJ Gaitan (Iowa State) beat #17 Lance Runyon (Northern Iowa) by DEC 9 - 5 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/78494/gaitan-mj/profile
133 - #29 Domenic Zaccone (Campbell) beat #17 Brayden Palmer (Chattanooga) by SV-1 4 - 2 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56926/zaccone-domenic/profile
285 - #49 Nathan Taylor (Lehigh) beat #18 Dorian Crosby (Bucknell) by MD 11 - 0 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/73044/taylor-nathan/profile
125 - #39 Kase Mauger (Utah Valley) beat #19 Stevo Poulin (Northern Colorado) by FALL 4:34 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/65846/mauger-kase/profile
174 - #31 Alex Faison (NC State) beat #19 Luca Augustine (Pittsburgh) by SV-1 3 - 1 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56428/faison-alex/profile
149 - #25 Kellyn March (North Dakota State) beat #20 Mitch Moore (Oklahoma) by DEC 5 - 0 https://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/63030/march-kellyn/profile

Looking Ahead to Mizzou

This is going to be a hell of a dual with a lot of toss-ups. Don't love how we match up with Mizzou, but I have no doubt that our team will compete hard.

ISU Favored: 184
Mizzou Favored: 125, 141, 157, 174
Toss Ups: 133, 149, 165, 197, Hwt

We are going to need bonus points out of Marcus, and hope we don't give up any bonus at 125, 157, or 174. I am hopeful we can steal 141 with how Casey has turned the corner. Then we need to win 3 of the 5 toss-ups. Below is my order of confidence for winning the toss-up matches (most confident to least confident):

133
149
197
Hwt
165

Official prediction:
125- MIZ Dec 0-3
133- ISU Dec 3-3
141- MIZ Dec 3-6
149- ISU Dec 6-6
157- MIZ MDec 6-10
165- MIZ Dec 6-13
174- MIZ Dec 6-16
184- ISU MDec 10-16
197- ISU Dec 13-16
Hwt- ISU Dec 16-16

Likely have my cardinal and gold glasses on with that prediction at Sammy has never beat Elam, Mauller is a tough matchup for Paniro, and we could easily give up bonus at 174. But, I am confident in the team right now and think we can get this on criteria (especially if Marcus opens up on Hawkes).

***#22 Iowa State vs. #17 Texas (Monday, 6:00)***

Who: #22 Iowa State (15-7, 7-5 Big 12) vs. #17 Texas (20-6, 11-2 Big 12)
Where: Hilton Coliseum – Ames, Iowa
When: Monday, Feb. 13, 2023 – 6 p.m.

The Links
WATCH: ESPN2 and ESPN+
PxP: Beth Mowins
Analyst: Deb Antonelli


LISTEN: Cyclone Radio Network – Varsity App or Radio Affiliates
PxP: Noah Wolf
Analyst: Jamie Steyer Johnson


STATS: LIVE STATS

IOWA STATE GAME NOTES (PDF) | TEXAS GAME NOTES (PDF)

PROJECTED STARTERS
IOWA STATETEXAS
F - 1 Diew (6-2 JR); 6.0 ppg, 4.6 rpgF - 5 Gaston (6-2 JR); 12.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg
G/F - 24 Joens (6-1 SR); 20.0 ppg, 9.1 rpgF - 20 Faye (6-4 JR); 6.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg
G - 3 Fritz (5-11 FR*); 7.8 ppg, 4.0 rpgG - 2 Gonzales (5-10 GR); 12.5 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.9 apg
G - 21 Donarski (6-0 JR); 12.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.0 apgG - 10 Holle (6-0 JR); 5.3 ppg
G - 11 Ryan (5-11 JR); 11.0 ppg, 5.2 ppg, 7.0 apgG - 3 Harmon (5-6 SO); 11.6 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 7.1 apg, 2.4 spg



BIG 12 STANDINGS/UPCOMING SCHEDULE
TEAMMIDWEEKWEEKEND
Texas (11-2)at ISU (Mon.)vs WVU (Sun.)
Oklahoma (10-3)vs TTU (Wed.)at KU (Sun.)
Oklahoma State (8-5)openat TTU (Sat.)
Baylor (7-5)at KSU (Wed.)vs ISU (Sat.)
Iowa State (7-5)vs UT (Mon.)at BU (Sat.)
Kansas (6-6)at WVU (Wed.)vs OU (Sun.)
West Virginia (6-6)vs KU (Wed.)at UT (Sun.)
Texas Tech (4-8)at OU (Wed.)vs OSU (Sat.)
Kansas State (3-9)vs BU (Wed.)at TCU (Sat.)
TCU (0-13)openvs KSU (Sat.)

A hard look…

I’ve really been pondering what’s been happening with the women's team of late. In a nutshell this is what we are seeing:
1. Three point shooting accuracy has gone completely out the window (one of the worst performance levels in Fennelly's tenure)
2. We've lost any semblance of bench (injuries and bench player performance)
3. zero post presence
4. no apparent adaptations of offensive style
5. Defensive presence eroding

sounds pretty dismal doesn’t it? Even in games the sisters have won many of these traits were present so it’s not just the three straight losses.

So, I thought I’d look at the schedule and do some forecasting based on what we are currently seeing. Here's the remaining schedule.
Texas (H)
Baylor
OSU
TCU (H)
KU
TTU (H)

looking at these games and assuming nothing changes, I see only one game that I would place as a high percentage win - TCU. Every road game (3) would be a likely loss. Texas at home could be outright ugly. That leaves TTU as a bit of a toss up. Assuming the ladies win that one they end up 9-9 in the conference and 17-12 overall. That would move them to a first round game in the Big 12 tournament. Wow…that’s a far cry from being picked to win the conference isn’t it? To make matters worse they likely would get TTU or KSU in that game and either could knock them out.

Now, the worst case scenario. If all the above happens the ladies stand at 17-13 and stand a good chance of being outside looking in for the dance.

Now let’s go the optimistic route. What if the fairy godmother waves her wand and the players suddenly start shooting threes at a normal rate? I could see the regular season win mark increasing to, at most, four more. That would put the team at 11-7 in the conf and 19-10 overall. That would get them to the second round of the tournament before they likely bow out. If they really recover at a magical level they could make the final of the tournament, but that’s beyond my dreams at this point.

Never thought we'd be in this situation where this highly talented team would be struggling to win a game let alone make the dance. I’m trying not to over-react, but this isn’t one game now. The ladies have been in a struggle most of the conference schedule.

Vinyl album sales hit nearly 43.5 MILLION in 2022

Just throwing this out there because I found it interesting, and I think more than a few of you will also. I worked for a music and video retailer on the West Coast when vinyl was all but eliminated from store shelves in 1989/90 because most people were buying music on cassette tape at the time (soon to be overtaken by CDs). I never thought vinyl would EVER come back as a viable format for music sales, but it certainly has and now holds the largest share of music sold in a physical format. Really good read, if you're into this type of thing.

Filter