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***Weekend Weather***
- Thread starter scottie33
- Start date
Don't be hoping for a foot anywhere in Iowa because it is not going to happen...
Models have been having some issues, namely the two American models (GFS & NAM) in the exact placement of the heaviest band. But, most have come together in the evolution of the low track and strength. The low will deepen across Kansas, then begin to fill back in as it treks out of Kansas and into northern Missouri leading to a decrease in overall precipitation and snowfall amounts the further east you go out of central Nebraska. If you want heavy snow, greater than even 8 inches, I suggest you get west of Omaha for your only shot at it.
Models have been having some issues, namely the two American models (GFS & NAM) in the exact placement of the heaviest band. But, most have come together in the evolution of the low track and strength. The low will deepen across Kansas, then begin to fill back in as it treks out of Kansas and into northern Missouri leading to a decrease in overall precipitation and snowfall amounts the further east you go out of central Nebraska. If you want heavy snow, greater than even 8 inches, I suggest you get west of Omaha for your only shot at it.
So now it looks like I shouldn't much to worry about driving to Omaha on Friday afternoon and back to Ames on Sunday?
You will be able to get to Omaha without a problem on Friday afternoon. And by Sunday you won't be looking at any snow falling and I would think interstates would be cleared without a problem by then. Worst case scenario there is you have to deal with a few slick spots on interstates if they can't clear them (don't understand why they wouldn't).
looking like 2-4" in west dsm metro right now. This storm could shift a bit north and get central iowa some more snow, but def not snowmageddon that I had hoped for.
Don't know where you are seeing that. Everything now seems to show an inch or less for the DSM metro.
There may be other models refuting this one, but one of them still has a couple inches for des moines.
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Living in Iowa all my life and anytime there is a big snowstorm, if the projection for my area is 10 inches of snow then we get only 2 or 3 inches of snow and if the projection is only 2 or 3 inches then we get 7-10 inches of snow....
That last model is insane. It has the 8"-10" band just west of West DM and Ames in the 0-1" band.
Looks like it has no shifted north some with the OOz and the 06Z runs. DSM now in the 3-7 " range, and Ames in the 2 -4 " range, if I'm reading it correctly.
I've given up on the KDMX office and this storm. Yesterday morning, the metro was in the Winter Storm Watch, out of it last night and now back in this morning. Not to mention, their website is all over the map when it comes to snowfall forecasts.
Holy Nebraska!
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?...22306215.82420.193268614059193&type=1&theater
This is a course 00z model. There will be corridor in Nebby 12"+. I think the snow will extend a little more eastward than depicted above.
Last couple of model runs have hinted at a little more for central Iowa. NWS has 2-5" for DSM/AMW. At this point, that seems reasonable.
Forecasting this storm has been a nightmare in Central Iowa.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?...22306215.82420.193268614059193&type=1&theater
This is a course 00z model. There will be corridor in Nebby 12"+. I think the snow will extend a little more eastward than depicted above.
Last couple of model runs have hinted at a little more for central Iowa. NWS has 2-5" for DSM/AMW. At this point, that seems reasonable.
Forecasting this storm has been a nightmare in Central Iowa.
Winter Storm watches are not as much based on snow as they are wind. There is a decent amount of wind expected from what I have been seeing... Doesn't take much snow with a lot of wind to make visibility next to zero.