Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

You know, I think it’s going to be funny when the top programs go off on their own and tell the Vandys and Rutgers to pound sand.
I don't think the lesser teams will be kicked out unless they just quit trying. If they're reinvesting their TV money to upgrade facilities, hire good coaches, etc., they will be allowed to stay. And they have a realistic chance to get a little better over time. As to chronic losing, some NFL teams have had long losing streaks and maintained fan support. "Hope springs eternal in the human breast: Man never is, but always to be blest."
 
  • Like
Reactions: FriendlySpartan
You know, I think it’s going to be funny when the top programs go off on their own and tell the Vandys and Rutgers to pound sand.

In all their majestic “it just means more” egotism, they forget every game requires a loser as well as a winner. When the Arkansases and the South Carolinas and the Michigan States start seeing 3-9, 4-8 every year with their upside being maaaaybe a 6-6 season once in a while, they ain’t gonna be happy with that.
Arkansas and South Carolina are already at that point. Their average wins the last decade is around 5. Sparty is a little better but I took the under at 5.5 wins this year due to the schedule and horrific in game coaching. Most sparty fans would rather just skip football this year and go right to basketball lol. Also as I have to remind people that cfb is cyclical.
 
I think it’s interesting hearing the reports of the PAC Thursday night mtg from different sources:

Canzano: I’m told by a source who participated that “it was positive and constructive.”

Scheer: Kliavkoff held a meeting with Pac-12 Presidents and Athletic Directors on Thursday and sources indicate to WildcatAuthority that it could not have gone worse.


 
Best case for ISU and CFB is 3 or 4 comparable conferences with some degree of parity in pay and performance. This ideal is conceivable if B12 gets AZ, OR, WA, and keeps them. Need to offset the monopoly of SEC/B1G. Otherwise, it is inevitable that there will be one megaconference of 24 teams (NFL minor league with playoff) and 100 other cinderella teams. The cast-offs would re-set regional groupings, rivalries, bowl games, and end realignment once and for all. At that point, it wouldn't matter that ISU gets 1/2 the money of Georgia, because they would compete independently in a separate amateur athletic association. Maybe streaming will change the doomsday scenario? Maybe Congress does something?
 
If they don't want to pay for the extra content, what say would they have?
Well, considering they own the media contract, I'd say 100%. Also, what financial positive for them would be if Apple and Amazon paid in? I suppose you could negotiate partial revenue back to FOX/CBS/NBC, but there'd have to be a no compete clause with west coast UCLA/USC timeslots. While possible, it's not something I'd bet on.
 
Best case for ISU and CFB is 3 or 4 comparable conferences with some degree of parity in pay and performance. This ideal is conceivable if B12 gets AZ, OR, WA, and keeps them. Need to offset the monopoly of SEC/B1G. Otherwise, it is inevitable that there will be one megaconference of 24 teams (NFL minor league with playoff) and 100 other cinderella teams. The cast-offs would re-set regional groupings, rivalries, bowl games, and end realignment once and for all. At that point, it wouldn't matter that ISU gets 1/2 the money of Georgia, because they would compete independently in a separate amateur athletic association. Maybe streaming will change the doomsday scenario? Maybe Congress does something?
Before that happens, there'd be an astronomical number of changes that would have to coincide without contention from 'the 100'. Not to mention the 'segregation' of BBall from Football. I think those numbers will be very enlightening and prevent any super league. Again, can't say it couldn't happen, but I wouldn't bet on it.
 
Well, considering they own the media contract, I'd say 100%. Also, what financial positive for them would be if Apple and Amazon paid in? I suppose you could negotiate partial revenue back to FOX/CBS/NBC, but there'd have to be a no compete clause with west coast UCLA/USC timeslots. While possible, it's not something I'd bet on.
I suppose it depends on the contract, but if they add content and those media folks don't want the content, do they have the right to keep it off the air completely? Granted, those would be the lowest of the low games and I am sure those networks have the first claim to the new content, but I doubt they just get rights to the new content for nothing.
 
Upon hearing that Colorada was re-joining the Big 12, the Husker Board is becoming nostalgic for their old conference again. Here are a few of their comments...

"I would love to be back in the Big 12, particularly if CU and if somehow OU would stay. Damn, I miss those games. I’ve hated being in the BIG since we joined. Other than everyone’s standard hatred for Iowa, I don’t give a **** about any BIG teams."

"Most don't really give a **** about Iowa either. That "standard hatred" is contrived and forced."

"Put me down for wishing we were back in the B12. I loathe our current situation."

"4 to 5 teams within a day's drive, lots of different styles of football, and no 1-2 teams dominating the conference, I know it will never happen in a rich man's world, but this sounds like a fun conference to be in."

"We'd be the only blue blood plus some pretty good cultural fit and some old rivalries restored. Pretty spare top to bottom though without Texas and OU in there."

"It is shocking just how bad teams in the Big Ten are but for some reason, fans pretend like they are tough games."

"Reality - no conference in human history has seen as much simultaneous losing and sexual abuse of its students & athletes as the B1G"

"But remember - we played Minnesota a grand total of four times between 1975 and 2010 - for people who grew up in the Big 8, playing Minnesota (like a lot of Big 10 teams) is basically like playing a dull non-conference opponent - you want Nebraska to win, but that's it."

"We play a B1G schedule and cash B1G checks. That's as far as it goes. Many others seem to want us to become uber-woke student diddlers (a B1G school). We are much, much better than that."

"Nebraska would have a better shot at winning a conference championship in football and making the playoffs. I think about Texas and OU joining the SEC. Some of their fans are already lamenting the likelihood that both schools could be looking at seasons where they finish in the middle of the pack. The competition in the SEC (and Big 10) at the top level is fierce and only getting tougher. So how bad would it be to take OU's place in the Big 12? The new staff already recruits Texas very well. It will never happen though...."

"You're not getting the point of what past history and identity meant.. KU was rarely ever going to beat NU.. we had a lot of history against that team, (and others).. and that was partly why we were successful. We had a history of beating those teams, and they knew they were going to get beat. That paid dividends to the team every year. In the current conference, it's now the other way around.. that's what has happened with the mismanagement of the program by taking it to another conference."

"Many of the memories of the KU and KSU games were because there were always seats available at those stadiums. Those were de facto home games from 1960 to when Snyder got things rolling for KSU and Mangino for KU. Same with Iowa St."

"Frost was only able to beat teams from one single P5 conference - the weak B1G - during his tenure. If we were still in the Big 12 we may not have won a single conference game last year."
These post sun up entirely why the presidents and fans would be more than happy to see Nebraska leave. They have no idea how irrelevant they are but their delusions are pretty funny to read.
 
Plus, even if the b1g doesn’t want them (which I think is becoming more obvious every week) do we really want two teams in our conference who think they’re better than everybody else? I thought we were getting away from that finally.

I think we have enough ammo to defend ourselves if OU/WA were to come to the Big 12. they haven’t been talking any **** from what I’ve seen. Every PAC University that fancies themselves a sports school should be extremely humbled at this point.
 
Well, considering they own the media contract, I'd say 100%. Also, what financial positive for them would be if Apple and Amazon paid in? I suppose you could negotiate partial revenue back to FOX/CBS/NBC, but there'd have to be a no compete clause with west coast UCLA/USC timeslots. While possible, it's not something I'd bet on.
Aren't those individual contracts between FOX/B1G, NBC/B1G, CBS/B1G? Or is it one comprehensive contract that includes all three? I have no idea.
 
I suppose it depends on the contract, but if they add content and those media folks don't want the content, do they have the right to keep it off the air completely? Granted, those would be the lowest of the low games and I am sure those networks have the first claim to the new content, but I doubt they just get rights to the new content for nothing.
Ahh. I see what you're saying. But, the 'content' is, at this time, owned by their media contract. If A/A wants to pay to televise a game for of these two non-competing entities, F/C/N would have to have that option in the contract to do so. And, even then I don't see enough $$$ for A/A (after slipping $$$ to F/C/N) to even consider it.
 
Aren't those individual contracts between FOX/B1G, NBC/B1G, CBS/B1G? Or is it one comprehensive contract that includes all three? I have no idea.
Great question. I'd think (but could be wrong) one big contract. Otherwise, there'd be growing contention for certain games as the season wears on without it being in writing ahead of time.
 
I don't think the lesser teams will be kicked out unless they just quit trying. If they're reinvesting their TV money to upgrade facilities, hire good coaches, etc., they will be allowed to stay. And they have a realistic chance to get a little better over time. As to chronic losing, some NFL teams have had long losing streaks and maintained fan support. "Hope springs eternal in the human breast: Man never is, but always to be blest."
A college football super league would need some system to distribute talent. For example, the NFL has a salary cap, a draft system, and a fairly limited roster cap. In theory, everyone has similar access to acquiring talent and resources to keep that talent in their roster. Successful teams evaluate talent well for the draft, free agents and their own roster, and manage their salary cap well.

Without some sort of similar system, a college football super league would more closely resemble the MLB where it’s the same handful of teams at the top year after year after year and everyone else cycles through brief windows of competitiveness or just languishes in mediocrity for decades.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: Cloneon
A college football super league would need some system to distribute talent. For example, the NFL has a salary cap, a draft system, and a fairly limited roster cap. In theory, everyone has similar access to acquiring talent and resources to keep that talent in their roster. Successful teams evaluate talent well for the draft, free agents and their own roster, and manage their salary cap well.

Without some sort of similar system, a college football super league would more closely resemble the MLB where it’s the same handful of teams at the top year after year after year and everyone else cycles through brief windows of competitiveness or just languishes in mediocrity for decades.
You mean the current system?
 
My two cents.....

With respect to the BIG adding Oregon and Washington now, in the BIG deal there are linear time slots where OTA slots are exclusive. Fox, CBS, then at night NBC, the rest is on F/S1, BTN, and Peacock streaming.

If you are any BIG school other than OSU, Michigan, USC, or PSU your shot at OTA games is going to go down a lot if you add two brands like Oregon and Washington. If I am the AD at Iowa or any of the other schools not in the top 4, I would be shouting from the roof tops about adding OU and UW. Like the PAC teams, the lower BIG teams need to view exposure as much as the $ (which are already set).
 
  • Winner
Reactions: Cloneon
My two cents.....

With respect to the BIG adding Oregon and Washington now, in the BIG deal there are linear time slots where OTA slots are exclusive. Fox, CBFS, then at night NBC, the rest is on F/S1, BTN, and Peacock streaming.

If you are any BIG school other than OSU, Michigan, USC, or PSU your shot at OTA games is going to go down a lot if you add two brands like Oregon and Washington. If I am the AD at Iowa or any of the other schools not in the top 4, I would be shouting from the roof tops about adding OU and UW. Like the PAC teams, the lower BIG teams need to view exposure as much as the $ (which are already set).
Good point, might be part of the reason rumors are that many B1G ADs/presidents are in no rush to add more schools.
 
  • Winner
Reactions: FriendlySpartan
ORWA trying to bully the league like Texas is overblown.

Assuming you get #14–be it UA, UConn, whoever—if ORWA want in, you have three alternatives:

1.) You can let ORWA in.
2.) You can let two others in, probably ASU and UU.
3.) You can stand pat.

ORWA can only bully the league if the schools decide that Option 1 is so much better than Options 2 and 3 that it is worth being bullied. If that is the cost benefit, so be it. But I doubt it will be.

If ORWA joins and finds that the rest of the league won’t do their bidding, they can leave.
Then the league is back at Option 2 and Option 3. If they don’t leave, then the league wins straight up.

You’re not out much by taking Option 1 because Options 2 and 3 will always be there. Sure, you might take a PR hit if they left, but ORWA aren’t guaranteed a viable place elsewhere, and you’d also get their exit fees. The other risk is that maybe UU and ASU aren’t as desirable of backfill after a few years in the wilderness. They’d have hurt for visibility, but no doubt they would have dominated the MW-Pac in the meantime.

The risk is minimal and the reward is worthwhile.
 
My two cents.....

With respect to the BIG adding Oregon and Washington now, in the BIG deal there are linear time slots where OTA slots are exclusive. Fox, CBFS, then at night NBC, the rest is on F/S1, BTN, and Peacock streaming.

If you are any BIG school other than OSU, Michigan, USC, or PSU your shot at OTA games is going to go down a lot if you add two brands like Oregon and Washington. If I am the AD at Iowa or any of the other schools not in the top 4, I would be shouting from the roof tops about adding OU and UW. Like the PAC teams, the lower BIG teams need to view exposure as much as the $ (which are already set).

At 18 teams in a conference it seems like the complications start escalating rapidly. Adding a conference game, skipping out on marquee pre-con games, having enough bandwidth to get games where you want when you want, etc
 
  • Like
  • Agree
Reactions: JRE1975 and Cloneon

Help Support Us

Become a patron