Jerry Palm's update (ISU still needs one more win) LINK

So JPalms method is 6-7 Top 100 wins early and you can stink it up at the end? I thought the committee would see through that philosophy. What happens if a team gets a major injury or someone gets suspended? Do you pretend they were as good as they were two months ago?


Maybe we should play Creighton and Witchita State in Ames.

This is pretty much what I was thinking. He isn't taking into account the season as a whole. He has a number against his top 100 and that is it. How many of those teams he's saying didn't get in finished 3rd in the Big XII? How many finished with a winning record in the Big XII? It's not like we play in the mac and need a huge Out of conference record to prove our worth. By his logic, we'd be better going indy in Basketball and just scheduling top 100 teams only. We'd definitely pull at least 8 or 9 wins. And so according to him the other 20 losses wouldn't matter because of our wins.

Then again, as others have said, he's become a troll looking for promotion. When he goes in to negotiate his next salary increase, he'll be pointing to CF and how much we talked about him.
 
Isn't anyone else a bit worried about this?

Here's our top 100 RPI wins: 6, 40, @40, 53.

And here's the top 100 RPI wins for Illinois, a team practically everyone has outside looking in: 4, 7, 19, @47, 80, @87.

We have a gaudy conference record, but I'm not going to be completely confident until we get one more quality win.


yes sweating bullets... remember the last time a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish in the big 12 resulted in no tourney bid? I dont. We will win again anyways...
 
yes sweating bullets... remember the last time a 2nd, 3rd or 4th place finish in the big 12 resulted in no tourney bid? I dont. We will win again anyways...

The current group of 10, even including NU and CU being gone, has not had less than 4 bids in the last 10 years. Since the beginning of the big 12 it has happened once (and that year, the conference still got a 4th bid from now-gone nebraska)

(quick grab from wiki)

2011- 5 (all current members)
2010- 7 (all current members)
2009- 6 (all current members)
2008- 6 (all current members)
2007- 4 (all current members)
2006- 4 (all current members)
2005- 6 (all current members)
2004- 4 (all current members)
2003- 6 (5+ colorado)
2002- 6 (all current members)
2001- 6 (all current members)
2000- 6 (all current members)
1999- 5 (all current members)
1998- 4 (3+nebraska)
1997- 5 (4+colorado)
 
ISU must have the most trollable fan base of all time.

Instead of ignoring these people, you post the link, giving them more clicks, more money, and more attention...so they keep doing it.


Completely irrational behavior.
 
ISU is in. Change the subject. It is warmer in the DSM/Ames area. Let us hope for more of this during the ISU FB spring practices, as well as the scrimmages.
 
Palm's stats about the last 16 years are completely irrelevant being the field has 4 extra teams compared to way back when.
 
This makes me a little nervous:

Iowa State picked up its first away-from-home win of any significance when it completed the season sweep of Kansas State. The Cyclones now have four top 100 RPI wins (despite a gaudy 11-5 conference record), and should be safe if they can get one more. Teams with just four top 100 wins have received 13 at-large bids in the last 18 years, but that's out of 250 teams.

Just reading this now and haven't read to the end so sorry if somebody already stated this, but how many of those teams had top 35 rpis out of a power conference? I've got to think that's a pretty short list. The mid-majors are everybody's darlings and they'll take some bids from somebody, but if we tread water from here on out, I don't feel like we've got a lot to worry about come selection Sunday. K-state was everybody's dark horse around 12:30 on Saturday but we came into their house, did their girlfriend on the couch, and walked out with a couple beers for the road from their fridge. The fact that Frank Martin gave us a ton of credit in his post game comments will be noticed, as will the fact that guys like Bill Self have been tooting our horn for quite some time.

If the wheels come off and we start dropping games by big margins, we might be sweating a little, but we haven't gotten our doors blown off by anybody since December so I don't view that as a likely hood. We're a different team than we were when we played in Ann Arbor and anybody with two funtioning brain cells and a pulse can see that. Nobody's words can change the FACT that we are one of the best 30-some at large teams in the country right now. That doesn't make us a lock, but it makes a helluva case for our inclusion in the dance.

Screw Jerry Palm and the nay-sayers (who are dropping like flies). Enjoy these last 2 weeks of the season and don't sweat his ilk.
 
Let's add Mizzou to our list. Then Baylor, then Texas ... etc. Then everyone will be talking about "one of the hottest teams entering the tourney."
 
Stock watch: Which bubble teams rose and fell on Saturday? | The Dagger: College Basketball Blog - Yahoo! Sports
Stock up: Iowa State
Whatever slim doubt remained about Iowa State's NCAA tournament credentials is now gone thanks to the Cyclones' impressive 65-61 road win at Kansas State. That keeps Iowa State (21-8, 11-5) tied with Baylor for third place in the Big 12 and moves the Cyclones three games ahead of the fifth-place Wildcats and Texas. They could conceivably contend for a top six seed with a split of their final two games against Baylor and Missouri and a run in the Big 12 tournament.
 

That's a little more in line with reality.

Bracket matrix still has ISU at 9 (it may not reflect changes after KSU win because some bracketeers may not have updated since then).

Interesting thing, though — For teams considered "in" by consensum in Bracket Matrix, Palm (CBS) is not more than 2 seeds off the matrix average (and mostly within 1) of the average, with one exception: Iowa State. Was 4 seeds off at 13, now he has ISU at 12
 
How can a conference record be gaudy? He's discounting the Big 12 completely...
To be fair, 11-5 is a lot lot better looking/sounding than the 11-7 we could end up at. The same way that the women's 0-5 conference start is utterly horrible but ultimately not refelective of their final record (which is currently 8-8).

So if you're opinion is 1 or 2 "lucky" wins in there, plus 2 more potential (likely, if you're not buying ISU) losses still to come, and finally a bunch of horrible teams at the bottom of the conference (which I say there's only 1 bad team) then I can see where 11-5 is a "gaudy" record.

Conference record comparisons are obviously flawed until the conference season is over.
 
Isn't anyone else a bit worried about this?

Here's our top 100 RPI wins: 6, 40, @40, 53.

And here's the top 100 RPI wins for Illinois, a team practically everyone has outside looking in: 4, 7, 19, @47, 80, @87.

We have a gaudy conference record, but I'm not going to be completely confident until we get one more quality win.

What are we against RPI top 300? What are they? I get to pick an arbitrary number just like the top 100 people.
 
Losing to a 201-300 team doesn't matter?

My point is that these Nitty Gritty sheets are directly from the NCAA website and are what the selection committee uses. Right or wrong they single out the top 100, that is why everyone seems to gravitate toward that metric - it is one of the metrics on the first sheet the selection committee looks at.

There are flaws in obsessing with any single datum point. That is why the selection committee looks at many.
 
Playing a full home and away sked in the conference is significant... I don't know how anyone could justify taking someone with a lesser conference record AKA K-State.
 

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