If it comes down to a very close game where the kicker is the difference maker...I absolutely believe Herky has the advantage. I would even stipulate it is not a small advantage. I have nothing to back that up other than my general historic discontent with our kickers in critical situations.
Iowa State kickers have had some big moments against Iowa. They hit a game winner a few years ago, and didn’t Iowa State win a game by kicking like six field goals- I think it would have been in 2007?