2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

[Cyclonepride]

Agreed. The #7 team in the country isn't getting a 5 seed. Nor is a 23-8 team the #7 team

I don’t know- the top ten is already littered with 3-4 loss teams

 

[Gunnerclone]

The offense is ranked better than last season but somehow let's find a way to say it's not better.

What kind of not flawed metric would actually include free throws in a teams point total?

 

[Clone95]

The offense is ranked better than last season but somehow let's find a way to say it's not better.

You have to use facts like “eye test”, the assumption Tamin 2023=Tamin 2024, and disregard Milan completely, then you get there.

 

[madguy30]

What kind of not flawed metric would actually include free throws in a teams point total?

I'm not sure why they're counting any stats or scores after the ESPN tournament if we're being honest.

That's just who the team is.

 

[Gunnerclone]

I'm not sure why they're counting any stats or scores after the ESPN tournament if we're being honest.

That's just who the team is.

If you take out all of the games we’ve won, the numbers start to get me worried and concerned.

 

[simply1]

We need some metric that measures wins by 3 point percentage rather than scoring more than the other team.

 

[Cyched]

If you take out all of the games we’ve won, the numbers start to get me worried and concerned.

 

[Letterkenny]

I'd like to see three point percentages/running off the line in the 2nd half vs. 1st.

Seems like the 2nd half has been better in that regard most of the season.

Every team has weaknesses and perimeter defense might be a lesser issue than lane/post issues that imo makes a team helpless.

Agreed. OSU got a lot of good looks early, then we clamped down for the most part. Seemed like we were a step slow the first 10 minutes of that game.

 

[JVAR]

What are the ranking predictions for tomorrow? I know we were like 29 or 30 this week.

 

[CyCoug]

What are the ranking predictions for tomorrow? I know we were like 29 or 30 this week.

19

 

[twincyties]

I think 21 or 22

 

[NWICY]

We need some metric that measures wins by 3 point percentage rather than scoring more than the other team.

@Sigmapolis can you work on this?

 

[madguy30]

#9.

Old reliable.

Nothing bad ever happens when ISU is ranked #9. No siree.

 

[bosco]

KUs depth is pathetic but they have an awesome starting nucleus of Dickinson, Adams (one of my favorite Big 12 players), McCullar (maybe the front runner for MIP in the Big 12) and Harris. They've shown they can win a LOT of games with just that. But if one of those guys goes down they are toast. Their bench is awful and the other wing spot had been problematic with Jackson struggling.

It's probably the worst depth I've seen at KU under Self. It's a 4 horse team but those horses are extremely good (Harris being the weakest of the bunch).

Kinda like those Fred teams. The starting 5 were a chef's kiss but after that. Blah.

 

[exCYtable]

Kinda like those Fred teams. The starting 5 were a chef's kiss but after that. Blah.

The 2014-15 team begs to differ. Six NBA players, plus Hogue and McKay.

 

[Sigmapolis]

@Sigmapolis can you work on this?

Found Hoiberg’s alt on here.

 

[MJ271]

The 2014-15 team begs to differ. Six NBA players, plus Hogue and McKay.

View attachment 122225

I agree on some level, that was Hoiberg's deepest team by far, but let's not forget that Thomas and Nader didn't really break out until the next season. In 14/15, both of them averaged fewer than 6 points a game, with Nader at 41% from the field (22% from three) and Thomas only at 33% from three. If anyone at that point said those two would play in the NBA, I imagine they would have been laughed at.

 

[madguy30]

I agree on some level, that was Hoiberg's deepest team by far, but let's not forget that Thomas and Nader didn't really break out until the next season. In 14/15, both of them averaged fewer than 6 points a game, with Nader at 41% from the field (22% from three) and Thomas only at 33% from three. If anyone at that point said those two would play in the NBA, I imagine they would have been laughed at.

It also wasn't deep in a complimentary sense. Morris was about the only one that could handle point for example.

That was a good but weird team all season.

 

[cyfan92]

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2024

Looking forward to today's matrix update! I could see us as a consensus 6 seed

 

[Cyburbbalz]

Men 23 women 25