Notice also that the h/a pairs are greater for the Big12 (more than likely a result of our round robin) and unbalanced schedules could play a factor to some degree
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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The OSU home game is very important to ensure we are in the race, but those two road games are huge. Neither TCU nor BYU are scary the way Houston is, but they are both good teams with decent home court advantages. But they both seem like winnable games, if we play at least at a B+ level. Win both of them and we are definitely a title contenderI'm not calling us a Big 12 title contender but after next week's back to back road games we'll have one of the easier remaining schedules in the conference. Maybe the easiest. Our first 5 games are an absolute gauntlet.
Per ESPN, our current remaining schedule ranks 9th.
2024-25 Big 12 Men's College Basketball Power Index - ESPN
View the 2024-25 Big 12 conference Men's College Basketball power index on ESPN. The BPI is the best predictor of a team's performance for the season.www.espn.com
I think I'd put a unit on Baylor with those odds. And maybe one on ISU too...
KU is an injury away from being toast. BYU and OU are not gonna get there. I haven't seen Tech, Bevo, or TCU but just can't believe they are that great.
It's Houston or Baylor. Maybe ISU if a couple things come together.
Also, I might have to sign up for DK. I don't bet much, but those odds are roughly 2x what Caesars has...
I really want to get past OSU we have really struggled with them and this is the classic let down spot
From the games I've seen Baylor, I am not impressed at all with their defense. They're talented enough offensively to overcome that in a lot of games, but they are going to take some losses here and there when they aren't shooting well.
Denver being that high must reflect the Rob Jones factor. His energy lives on!
Some of the list I can see...
Hawaii = long flight and hard time change for visiting teams
WVU = Morgantown is *not* an easy place to play, definitely fits the Big 12 mold
Same deal with a new Big 12 school like BYU
Same deal with legacy Big Eight/Big 12 schools like Baylor, ISU, KU, and KSU
But Denver? It can't be the altitude. Colorado and CSU are nowhere to be found.
We’re up to #13 on Kenpom and #9 on BartTorvik.
#62 offense and #2!!! defense on both.
#62 offense and #2!!! defense on both.
KUs depth is pathetic but they have an awesome starting nucleus of Dickinson, Adams (one of my favorite Big 12 players), McCullar (maybe the front runner for MIP in the Big 12) and Harris. They've shown they can win a LOT of games with just that. But if one of those guys goes down they are toast. Their bench is awful and the other wing spot had been problematic with Jackson struggling.
It's probably the worst depth I've seen at KU under Self. It's a 4 horse team but those horses are extremely good (Harris being the weakest of the bunch).
BYU reminds me of Iowa if Iowa could shoot. If the shot is open, they are taking it. If we can challenge most of those shots, I like our chances.
I still don't think we defend the 3pt line that well, which worries me. We did against Iowa, but that pretty much consisted of just staying with Sandfort.
We're really good at not letting teams score inside, on either drives, or post ups. I suppose part of that emphasis comes up with allowing some good looks for 3 and hoping the other team doesn't make enough.
I'd like to see three point percentages/running off the line in the 2nd half vs. 1st.
Seems like the 2nd half has been better in that regard most of the season.
Every team has weaknesses and perimeter defense might be a lesser issue than lane/post issues that imo makes a team helpless.
Agreed. The #7 team in the country isn't getting a 5 seed. Nor is a 23-8 team the #7 team
The offense is ranked better than last season but somehow let's find a way to say it's not better.