Is there a scenario where the middle tier (NC State, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Pitt) see the writing on the wall with Clemson/FSU and proactively seek out the XII and push to get out? The old, “you can’t fire me, I quit!”
Why would they take a smaller cut of a lower payout when they could take upper middle class payout in a lower ego league? None of those schools are on the shortlist of the B1G or the SEC.
I’m no insider, but I bet there’s anxiety in Chapel Hill and Coral Gables as well.
Unlikely they have that self awareness. Imo the Middle class schools will be the least likely to compromise, settle, or move imo. Unlike BC, Wake etc, they feel they’ll have a spot in whatever 3rd conference forms, so there is no urgency to deal.
If they think they are a lock to at least be in expanded Big 12, they’ll try to be transaction costs to P2s adding other targets. To get UNC out of ACC, does a conference/network need to take NCSt? Or to get their dissolution vote, do they need a P2 invite?
On the later, that’s the window for a BC type, and why the lower ACC schools have the most motivation to be first to flip