Apparently playing at Arizona, against Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, and at Michigan is weak.
Hlas prediction for Stanzi
- Thread starter Prone2Clone
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Apparently playing at Arizona, against Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, and at Michigan is weak.
Stanzi can't read defenses. There is no way he throws that many TDs. Even if he drastically cuts down his INTS, he still wont throw that many TDs. Unless Iowa plans on running bootleg and rollout plays 30 times per game so Stanzi only has to read half of the field... Which btw, they did a TON last year.
When is the last Iowa QB to throw 27 TDs? They don't run an offense that produces a ton of TD passes normally.
When is the last Iowa QB to throw 27 TDs? They don't run an offense that produces a ton of TD passes normally.
ISU's is a little more difficult, I'll give you that.
But that doesn't translate into meaning Iowa's is easy.
The Big 10 will be the better conference this season. There was not much of a difference last season between the Big 10 and Big 12 either. Either conference could have made a case for being second best.
He won't throw a ton of touchdowns because he won't need to. I expect his picks to drop, except I think he will give us a couple more pick-6 moments.
18 TD
5 Int
18 TD
5 Int
I like this one......our ground game was pretty bad last year at times and good at others. If we can do better at that Stanzi will have a good year
Except for the one huge difference between 2005 and 2010, Iowa returned only 5 defensive starters in 05 (none on the DL) and in 2010 they return 8 defensive starters (all 4 on the DL) and will have a top 5 DL.
I think 29 TD's is high, maybe 23/22.
Iowa has a good set of WR's this year.
I might take Stanzi over AA.
Iowa has a good set of WR's this year.
I might take Stanzi over AA.
I'll bite. There was a reason Iowa's O was rated 62nd last season, and it had nothing to do with talent. I posted this over on a CFN message board about Iowa's offense. I think it does a pretty good job of explaining why, even though Iowa lost some talent on the offensive line, I expect their O to be much more explosive this season:
Typically, Iowa's offensive line is tinkered with for a game or two, then the line is set and has time to gel. In 09, however, Iowa's OL was hit with injuries. Bryan Bulaga missed a month, Dace Richardson (a mid season all american) missed almost half the season, Julian Vandervelde missed all of fall camp and wasn't able to start until game 3. Iowa's OL rotation was always changing (guys moving from tackle to guard and left to right), making it nearly impossible to develop any consistency. Iowa's offensive scheme is VERY dependent on the OL gelling and blocking well as a unit (with the zone blocking scheme). The OL never gained ANY consistency last season.....so even though Iowa loses 5 talented offensive linemen this season, I don't expect as large of a drop off as most do. Reiff will be a top 10 pick by the time he leaves Iowa...so Iowa already has one stud OL to build from. Vandervelde returns for his senior campaign and will add some experience to the OL. The other three spots are currently up for grabs, but two of the guys competing for those spots are guys that Ferentz labeled as "up and comers" from last years fall camp. I think it is encouraging that it seems Iowa's OL is almost already set in spring. From what I'm hearing, Ferentz is keeping the OL together this spring so they become completely familiar with each other and are able to gain some consistency in their blocking assignments. Even though Iowa loses some great talent up front (Richardson, Bulaga, Calloway), they bring back one guy who we know is a stud, and bring back a few guys that Ferentz himself has said he is excited about. I don't expect this Iowa OL to be 2002esque, but I do expect that they'll be more like a 2003 OL anchored by Robert Gallery.
Injuries were key elsewhere in limiting Iowa's offense all season. Iowa lost Tony Moeaki, Colin Sandeman (WR), Paul Chaney Jr., Brandon Wegher (RB), Adam Robinson (RB), Jewel Hampton (RB), Trey Stross (WR), and of course, Ricky Stanzi all for AT LEAST one game last season (and most of those guys missed multiple games). As you can see, the OL wasn't the only thing that never got "in sync" due to injuries. Iowa's offense just looked off all year, even though the offense had a lot of individual talent. The reason, I personally believe, was because the offense never got to practice together! Both the passing and rushing games were off because of personnel losses in those departments.
.I certainly agree that Stanzi didn't have a great year, however, keep in mind he didn't have a lot of help from his running game or much consistency from his WR's. His RB's were young, and on top of that, they were injured and didn't get to practice much (and that severely limited their ability to develop during the season), so Iowa didn't have much of a run game (Iowa, as a team, averaged under 4 YPC...which is bad for an Iowa offense). Defenses began realizing that and started keying on the pass. Typically Iowa offenses run into 8 man fronts all of the time, however, in 09, most of the time Iowa's offense was rushing against 7 man fronts and was struggling to rush the ball effectively. So Stanzi ended up throwing into a lot of pass first defense. On top of that, his WR depth chart was never set....injuries altered it all season, thus Stanzi NEVER was able to develop the necessary timing with his WR's, and of course, the passing game suffered.
When watching Iowa's O last season, it was really hard for me. It killed me to see the amount of potential they had, but it was limited entirely by injuries and inconsistency. Iowa's offense just looked so streaky last season, and it was apparent (to me anyway) that it was from a lack of continuity. Iowa would run the same play twice, once getting stuffed, then once going for 30 yards....there was rarely any middle ground (or so it seemed). Iowa's talent either made the play work big, or their lack of offensive consistency created a situation where the play got blown up.
Iowa only had TWO starters start all 13 games last season, TWO! I haven't checked or anything, but that HAS to be the lowest number in the Big Ten. If Iowa can avoid the injury bug (and that is a HUGE if for Iowa), I think they will surprise the crap out of a lot of people. I think this Iowa offense could be better than any Iowa offense since 2002. Definitely not better than 02, but better than any team since IMO. Hopefully Iowa can remain injury free so my prediction comes to fruition.
Couple of other thoughts on Iowa's offense that just crossed my mind:
- Iowa's OL will be practicing against one of the best DL's in the country everyday in practice. If that doesn't help you improve, I don't know what would.
- Stanzi threw an alarming number of INT's last year, but if you go back and watch them, you'll see that often they were a result of a WR (with little experience/timing with Stanzi) running a poor route/not coming back to the ball. No doubt Stanzi still made some bad throws, however, he wasn't as bad as his INT numbers indicate. Also, if you watched some of the good throws he made, they were damn impressive. Like NFL QB impressive.
- Back to the OL....there always, and I mean literally ever season, is a guy on the OL that comes out of nowhere to really impress the coaches. Some guys in recent years that have been "breakout players" have been Riley Reiff, Rob Bruggeman, Marshal Yanda, etc. I fully expect for one guy to emerge this year as an unknown star on the OL. My best guess as to who that will be: Markus Zusevics.
- People point out that the loss of Tony Moeaki will be significant for the Iowa offense. While Moeaki was certainly a weapon, Iowa will reload at TE. I have no doubt that Allen Reisner will end up in the NFL one day. Every starting Iowa TE has been drafted since Dallas Clark, check out this list of Iowa TE's who were drafted:
Dallas Clark 2003
Erik Jenson 2004
Tony Jackson 2005
Scott Chandler 2006
Brandon Myers 2008
Tony Moeaki 2010 (projected 3rd-5th round)
Iowa is a TE factory, we will be more than fine there.
What are you talking about? If there's only 1 non-conference game Iowa needs to worry about, it's @ Arizona, not ISU.
And since when are tOSU, Wisconsin and Penn State considered "gravy?"
He missed the Orange, Rose, Cap One, and Champs where each Big Ten team faced a top 12 team and must have only watched the Outback, Alamo, and Insight where each Big Ten team faced an unranked team.
What about it, that was 2 years ago and all 11 teams are different now? The Big Ten proved by beating 4 teams in the top 12 last year that it wasn't nearly as bad as people thought and of the 4 teams that won a majority of those players are back this year.
So what your saying here is that it was a year ago and all 11 teams are different now?
What is so different in the power of the conference, or the schedule for that matter, to think that a two year starting QB is going to magically return for a third year and go from +2 to +20 in the TD to pick ratio.
Come on man. Even most knowledgable hawk fans around here are laughing at the thought. Hlas is a pandering fool.
Nevermind I think I took your post wrong. I agree Stanzi won't throw 27 TD's with 7 INT's, I think it will be more like someone else posted on here and be an 18 to 5 type of ratio.