Season Predictions

[oldman]

I'm not much of an analyst, but I think we'll score enough to keep our defense in the game during the early season. Later, we'll be through some growing pains with the D and Wally has them clicking. Middle of the schedule will be toughest, but I think we have a good shot at winning 4 out of the last 5, to get us to 7-5.

 

[GoSTATE71]

I think we go 6-6. Big swing games are @Tulsa, TCU, @K-State. TCU could be Rhoads upset special. People shouldnt underestimate TCU. Patterson knows how to coach and many have TCU winning the Big 12 this year.

W vs. UNI
W vs. Iowa
L @ Tulsa
W vs. Texas
W @ Tech
L @ Baylor
L vs. OSU
W @ KSU
L vs. TCU
L @ OU
W vs. Kansas
L @ WVU​

 

[KSUcat]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

 

[ISUagger]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

Let me guess. You think that is crazy and there is no way you will lose to ISU.

 

[Daserop]

W vs. UNI
W vs. Iowa
W @ Tulsa
L vs. Texas
W @ Tech
L @ Baylor
L vs. OSU
L @ KSU
L vs. TCU
L @ OU
W vs. Kansas
W @ WVU
​

 

[CykoAGR]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

Its no secret that KSU has had our number lately. You have to go all the way back to '07 to find a win for ISU but the 5 wins in a row that KSU does have going all were one posession (8 pts) or less, two of those by a 6 or less.

I dont think that it is unreasonable to think that this is a "toss-up" game and could go either way. Obviously I would say that from a KSU standpoint you think the game is at home so advantage KSU. Makes sense and hard to argue.

From ISU standpoint we are "due" which means absolutely nothing but realistically close games tend to even themselves out so there is that. Also KSU had one of the best teams since the Glory Days last year and that game was extremely close. Again hard to argue that ISU has a legit shot at this game.

 

[Londo]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

No disrespect to KSU and the Sorcerer but you guys have lost a lot of players this year and nobody is thinking that this won't be a close game, but as pointed out before, many State fans think this is ISUs year to catch the Wildcats

 

[cyclones500]

Probability of 5-7 or better: 88.42%
Probability of 6-6 or better: 71.34%
Probability of 4-8 or worse: 11.58%

Cheers

Using those numbers, I'm willing to take 72% probability of 6-6 or better in 2013 (key being "or better"), considering previous 10 regular seasons.

Overall, 2003-2012: 47-71 (avg. record adjusted to 12-game season: 4.8-7.2)
Best winning %: .636 (7-4, 2005)
Seasons with 6 or more wins: 5

By win%, 7-5 would be the second-best regular season in previous 10 years. Going back even further, it's fourth-best in 35 years from 1979-2013, inclusive.

6-6 also produces 4 of 5 seasons at or above .500. The most recent period that happened: 1977-81.

I want Rhoads to start getting 7- and 8-win seasons on a regular basis, hopefully soon, but there's a lot of small steps in the meantime.

 

[Rhoadhoused]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

This is why percentages are better IMO. We have played so many close games with KSU in a row and lost over and over. This year the odds are pretty close to 50/50 no matter what side you are on. ISU fans are going to call that a W over an L when given the choice, but it doesn't accurately reflect how likely they think it will be that ISU wins or loses.

I assume you would be a lot less offended if someone said it was a coin flip and they see ISU coming out on top as opposed to 90% of people saying ISU would win.

 

[AIBClone]

FWIW,
UNI:W
IOWA:W
TULSA:W
UT:L
TECH:W
BAYLOR:L
OSU:L
KSU:W
TCU:L
OU:L
KU:W
WVU:L

 

[weR138]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

Agree. I'll pick us to beat KSU/OU only after PR ever actually does it.

That said my prediction for ISU's season is 6-6...

W vs. UNI
W vs. Iowa
W @ Tulsa
L vs. Texas
W @ Tech
L @ Baylor
L vs. OSU
L @ KSU
L vs. TCU
L @ OU
W vs. Kansas
W @ WVU

We've seen seasons like this before...winning group, losing group, winning group.

 

[Rhoadhoused]

Agree. I'll pick us to beat KSU/OU only after PR ever actually does it.

That said my prediction for ISU's season is 6-6...

W vs. UNI
W vs. Iowa
W @ Tulsa
L vs. Texas
W @ Tech
L @ Baylor
L vs. OSU
L @ KSU
L vs. TCU
L @ OU
W vs. Kansas
W @ WVU

We've seen seasons like this before...winning group, losing group, winning group.

I agree with OU, but can't agree with KSU with that logic. We haven't even shown we can play with OU, we have never shown the inability to play with KSU.

 

[cytown]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

The ol KState ball coach will need a new set of these after ISU hammers them this year. View attachment 21221

 

[Ry4Cy]

Nothing new here. Almost everyone is predicting a win against K-State.

So if we go to EMAW we would see all the nut jobs picking KSU over ISU even though the game has been within a TD every year for awhile now? And just FYI you can straight up lie because there is no way I am heading to that **** hole to check.

 

[KSUcat]

No disrespect to KSU and the Sorcerer but you guys have lost a lot of players this year and nobody is thinking that this won't be a close game, but as pointed out before, many State fans think this is ISUs year to catch the Wildcats

You guys thought that last year and the year before that too. KSU is the better team and KSU doesn't lose at home to inferior teams. I just don't see us losing to ISU unless we get a lot of injuries.

 

[ISUagger]

You guys thought that last year and the year before that too. KSU is the better team and KSU doesn't lose at home to inferior teams. I just don't see us losing to ISU unless we get a lot of injuries.

It's been a close game every year. That seems pretty arrogant to me, I'm calling it a toss up.

 

[Rhoadhoused]

You guys thought that last year and the year before that too. KSU is the better team and KSU doesn't lose at home to inferior teams. I just don't see us losing to ISU unless we get a lot of injuries.

What would you put the % chance at that KSU wins vs ISU this year?

 

[KSUcat]

What would you put the % chance at that KSU wins vs ISU this year?

Probably 65-70% if everyone stays healthy.

I forgot to mention this in my last post but the "you guys lost a lot" talking point is dumb, considering ISU is returning the same number of starters. KSU has more talent all around though. Our offense might actually be better than last year with our entire OL returning, along with Hubert, Thompson, and Lockett. We are more than fine at QB. The defense has a lot of question marks but it helps that we return All-American safety Ty Zimmerman, who you all may remember by his big INT last year against ISU.

 

[CyFan61]

You guys thought that last year and the year before that too. KSU is the better team and KSU doesn't lose at home to inferior teams. I just don't see us losing to ISU unless we get a lot of injuries.

I'm not convinced that KSU will be the better team this year. Have to wait and see.

That said, I think ISU-KSU will be a single digit game one way or another.

 

[Rhoadhoused]

Probably 65-70% if everyone stays healthy.

I forgot to mention this in my last post but the "you guys lost a lot" talking point is dumb, considering ISU is returning the same number of starters. KSU has more talent all around though. Our offense might actually be better than last year with our entire OL returning, along with Hubert, Thompson, and Lockett. We are more than fine at QB. The defense has a lot of question marks but it helps that we return All-American safety Ty Zimmerman, who you all may remember by his big INT last year against ISU.

There is absolutely no way your offense is better next year without Klein. That dude was a 4-5 yard hammer every play. Brown was a dominant force as well who was a game changer.

ISU loses some players, but we are at a point in our program when the underclassmen are much more naturally talented overall than the upperclassmen IMO. Klein and Knott will be very very tough to replace, but I don't see any other players who are graduated that are without question going to be impossible to replace.

I think you will find that when running a normal offense that isn't as impossibly safe as the one you were able to run with Klein you will find more opportunities for mistakes and turnovers.

I gave ISU a 55% chance to win the game and that has a lot to do with the fact that I don't think KSU has a talent advantage over ISU, I expect ISU's offense to be much better, and because I don't really respect your home field advantage all that much. Sorry because that probably offends you, but I simply don't think it is that tough of a place to play compared to other road games.

You guys were very good the past 2 years, but before that your record is always padded by easy non conference schedules and you have not beaten ISU convincinly in a long time. I'm sticking with my 55% prediction for ISU to win, but I respect your pick as well.