***Official 2024 Weather Thread***

"Sunday night through Tuesday, southwest flow aloft will usher warmer temperatures into the region along with moisture and increasing rain chances. Not much has changed with the messaging. Due to expected sub-freezing pavement temperatures and the potential for a wintry mix starting Monday morning, there remains the potential for some freezing rain and icing conditions. This will be better refined in later forecasts as we get closer to the time and may require the issuance of a weather headline.

Tuesday night through Friday, the forecast blend has predominantly rain chances, which are more focused on our SE half of the CWA. Temperatures will be in the 33 to 40 range for highs each day, with some areas remaining above freezing overnight as well. A good deal of snowpack compression and melting will be seen along with the rain. While antecedent unfrozen ground under the snowpack may absorb the rain and snowmelt, some rises on streams, creeks, and tributary rivers are eventually expected along with ponding of water in poor drainage areas. With the rainfall, structures with snow- covered flat roofs will likely see added stress with the increased weight from the rainfall being absorbed into the snow on the roof. Some weaker structures may see their roofs collapse in. There are still some uncertainties with this systems including moisture, timing and track of each system. Stay tuned."
 
  • Informative
Reactions: STLISU
"Sunday night through Tuesday, southwest flow aloft will usher warmer temperatures into the region along with moisture and increasing rain chances. Not much has changed with the messaging. Due to expected sub-freezing pavement temperatures and the potential for a wintry mix starting Monday morning, there remains the potential for some freezing rain and icing conditions. This will be better refined in later forecasts as we get closer to the time and may require the issuance of a weather headline.

Tuesday night through Friday, the forecast blend has predominantly rain chances, which are more focused on our SE half of the CWA. Temperatures will be in the 33 to 40 range for highs each day, with some areas remaining above freezing overnight as well. A good deal of snowpack compression and melting will be seen along with the rain. While antecedent unfrozen ground under the snowpack may absorb the rain and snowmelt, some rises on streams, creeks, and tributary rivers are eventually expected along with ponding of water in poor drainage areas. With the rainfall, structures with snow- covered flat roofs will likely see added stress with the increased weight from the rainfall being absorbed into the snow on the roof. Some weaker structures may see their roofs collapse in. There are still some uncertainties with this systems including moisture, timing and track of each system. Stay tuned."
Well aren't you just full of good news lately? LOL! We love you, man.
 
I wouldn't have considered the stress on flat roofs part. Can absolutely see how that would be an issue though. That's a ton of weight if the snow acts like a sponge holding the water in place.
 
"Sunday night through Tuesday, southwest flow aloft will usher warmer temperatures into the region along with moisture and increasing rain chances. Not much has changed with the messaging. Due to expected sub-freezing pavement temperatures and the potential for a wintry mix starting Monday morning, there remains the potential for some freezing rain and icing conditions. This will be better refined in later forecasts as we get closer to the time and may require the issuance of a weather headline.

Tuesday night through Friday, the forecast blend has predominantly rain chances, which are more focused on our SE half of the CWA. Temperatures will be in the 33 to 40 range for highs each day, with some areas remaining above freezing overnight as well. A good deal of snowpack compression and melting will be seen along with the rain. While antecedent unfrozen ground under the snowpack may absorb the rain and snowmelt, some rises on streams, creeks, and tributary rivers are eventually expected along with ponding of water in poor drainage areas. With the rainfall, structures with snow- covered flat roofs will likely see added stress with the increased weight from the rainfall being absorbed into the snow on the roof. Some weaker structures may see their roofs collapse in. There are still some uncertainties with this systems including moisture, timing and track of each system. Stay tuned."
Antecedent Unfrozen Ground was the name of my garage band in college.
 
"With the rainfall, structures with snow- covered flat roofs will likely see added stress with the increased weight from the rainfall being absorbed into the snow on the roof. Some weaker structures may see their roofs collapse in. "
We had a flat roof when we lived in Minnesota. One year we had a good 36" of powder on there which normally isn't a big deal. However, spring came fast and we got a fast warm-up with rain. I'm a civil engineer so I know enough to be dangerous when it comes to structures design.

The night it was raining I was lying in bed wondering what that roof was rated for. So I looked up the code. Then I started thinking about the weight of very, very wet snow compared to fresh powder. I found myself outside at 1am raking that roof off because it was going to be overloaded if I didn't.
 
  • Like
Reactions: cstrunk and wxman1
Freezing rain is the worst scenario for me. Rural all electric home. Our forecasted wind speeds are relatively low for Tue thru Friday so the chance of ice-ladened power lines whipping in the wind should be minimal.
 
I’d rather have 4 feet of snow than whatever this rain ******** is next week. I own a roof rake for my solar panels so I guess I’ll try to get the rest of the roof cleared this weekend
 
  • Agree
Reactions: wxman1
Old tractor and blade I use to move snow was so cold that the starter button froze solid, and wouldn't start. finally thawed out to move snow and all blew back yesterday. Dug out again. Ups delivered package at 7:30 tonite, said it has been 3 days for roads to get clear enough to work. County finallly opened road wider than the farmers one lane.
 
giphy.gif
 

Help Support Us

Become a patron