***Official 2013 Bracketology Thread***
- Thread starter CarlHungus
- Start date
People are free to think differently, but St. John's-Villanova is a case where I prefer to root for the favorite.
'Nova is, at the moment, "in," (possibly more safely than ISU); a win over SJU wouldn't boost the resume much, a loss wouldn't drag it down a ton; could still get an at-large regardless.
St. John's is barely hanging by a thread, needs several bigs wins, possibly would need to somehow win the auto. As unlikely as that would be, it's possible, and I'd rather have one team absolutely out. Tomorrow I'll root against Villanova vs. UL.
I took a similar view with UC-Providence game.
I'd probably do it the opposite if Villanova seemed closer to a last four in.
And as I said, it's possible to make an argument the other way.
The MEAC Regular Season Champion and Missouri Tiger killer Norfolk State is out! Bethune Cookman with the OT win!
don't think St. John's has a chance unless they get to the final. Have to beat Louisville which is unlikely.
Villanova's RPI will take a big hit, ISU would jump over them if they lose IMO.
That's the other way to view it.
I realized after my post, I suppose it depends on if the focus is more about a seeding position or if there's more a concern of being left out.
Way it's looking now, Villanova's winning this one, so best case w/ this is a loss to Louisville and Iowa State getting at least the OU game.
You know Middle Tennessee will be watching the SEC tournament and Virginia intently this weekend.
Ok guys, Im up on this but you guys a LEAGUES over my head with the up/down wins we need. I watch this thread like a hawk, as soon as the games clear tonight post games that had implications for us what we wanted and who won and how bad/good it affects us.
Please, with sugar!
It's been a pretty decent day so far. All the favorites have won, which is not a bad thing. We still have the big MWC matchup later.
Going back a few pages to the discussion on VCU....it comes down to turnovers (obviously). I believe I saw a stat that said VCU is 24-0 this season when forcing 15+ turnovers and 0-7 when forcing fewer than 15. It would appear 15 is that magic number. Is Iowa State capable of keeping turnovers below 15? Absolutely. But in a one game situation anything can happen.
But to be honest, does Iowa State have a whole lot to worry about? Not really. These games affect teams like Iowa, or ASU.
Yes. I'm far from sold ISU is in with a loss tomorrow. 50/50 at best IMO.
A win tomorrow, and yeah, whatever.
I'd be surprised if we are out with a loss, but I worry about the play in game. I want a win tomorrow and then maybe I'll stop worrying. I am quite a nervous person tonight.
If status quo holds for the most part in the rest of the tournaments, ISU is probably in decent position. If an unusual amount of strangeness takes place, with auto-bids and/or bubble teams notch high-impact wins, it could lead to some discomfort.
(That's the concise version) :smile:
I just want to win tomorrow. If that happens, then it doesn't matter what happens in the conference tournaments. If we lose, I'm going to be sweating my *** off on selection sunday.