Again it's just not that hard for a major conference team to be in the top 75 in the NET ranking. If that happens it's a Q1 win for Iowa.
Our 12-20 team 2 years ago was #96 in NET ranking and that team was terrible. if Virginia goes .500 this year they are probably top 75 in the NET which would be a big boost to Iowa.
Examples of teams that finished in the top 75 last year:
13-13 Georgetown
12-15 Indiana
9-16 Kentucky
Weird year I know but the point stands.
Teams outside the top 75 by major conference - 5 ACC teams, 3 Big 12 teams, 4 Big East teams, 4 Big 10 teams, 4 Pac 12 teams, 5 SEC teams. Basically you need to be a bottom 1/3 team in a P6 conference to not be top 75.