Go.... Baylor?

[andybernard]

Let them stay home. They'll remember that more than anything they learn in school that day.

Yes. They will remember that Mom and Dad think sports are more important than academics.

 

[Dingus]

Who do we play if Baylor loses? Tech?

I'm not real confident on beating OSU 3 times this season and don't want to go into the NCAA tourney on a 2 game losing streak.

 

[Incyte]

Who do we play if Baylor loses? Tech?

I'm not real confident on beating OSU 3 times this season and don't want to go into the NCAA tourney on a 2 game losing streak.

I don't think a two game losing streak affects our performance in the tournament. Heck, we've lost first round after winning the entire tournament.

 

[cyclonestunners]

We could get upset as a 5 and as a 6. Just as any 5 or 6 could get upset.

I'd rather be the 3 seed in the tournament. But the 4 is OK as well. Beating Oklahoma State 3 times will be tough. But plenty of people thought we couldn't beat them twice.

Except the math doesn't bare that out. last ten years, much more likely to be an upset in 5-12 than 6-11

 

[jsb]

I don't think a two game losing streak affects our performance in the tournament. Heck, we've lost first round after winning the entire tournament.

And we've gone to the Sweet 16 both after winning the whole thing and losing in the first round of the tournament.

 

[Incyte]

Except the math doesn't bare that out. last ten years, much more likely to be an upset in 5-12 than 6-11

Not really:

"No. 12 seeds are 46-82, No. 11 seeds are 46-82, No. 10 seeds are 50-78"

http://bracketodds.cs.illinois.edu/r64.html

 

[every_yard]

We would have to beat KSt for a third time as well. Plus KSt will be desperate for a win, trying to get into the tournament. Think Texas from a few years ago.

If we lose to Kansas State, we will pick up two more RPI T50 wins. I am just stating that, not wanting it.

 

[alarson]

Not really:

"No. 12 seeds are 46-82, No. 11 seeds are 46-82, No. 10 seeds are 50-78"

http://bracketodds.cs.illinois.edu/r64.html

FWIW you're talking different stats- last 10 vs last 30 years.

 

[Incyte]

FWIW you're talking different stats- last 10 vs last 30 years.

Correct, I'm not cherry-picking data.

 

[alarson]

Correct, I'm not cherry-picking data.

Eh, i think 10 years would be a long enough period of time to say its not 'cherry picking'. Its possible there's been a change in the more recent time frame. I'd be interested to see the data on the time period.

 

[Incyte]

Eh, i think 10 years would be a long enough period of time to say its not 'cherry picking'. Its possible there's been a change in the more recent time frame. I'd be interested to see the data on the time period.

I take it you're the guy that thinks three heads in a row increases the chances the next flips is heads.

I question your statistical acumen if you think a smaller sample size is better than a larger sample size. Maybe you're not familiar with statistical variation.

 

[Spanky]

Let them stay home. They'll remember that more than anything they learn in school that day.

Lots of new salty words anyway.

 

[dahliaclone]

I don't want anything to do with Okie State in KC. I think they could run the table there and win the whole thing. Cheering for Texas today here.

Any team seeded 1-5 could get on a run and win it all.

 

[dahliaclone]

I'm rooting for Texas to beat Baylor. For the following reasons:
1. Beating Kansas State is slightly easier than beating Oklahoma State...particularly because beating a team 3 times in a season is hard to do
2. Same reasoning with West Virginia. They would have to beat us 3 times in a season...and that's hard to do.
3. If we are able to get to the final, we're pretty much playing with house money. We'll have already shot up to the highest NCAA seeding we were ever hoping to get this year anyway by making the finals. So maybe Kansas stumbles and we'd face Baylor in the finals again with the Hilton South crowd.

Your #1 is null because we're either playing OSU or KSU, both of whom we swept.

 

[stormchaser2014]

Hoping Vandy can upset the Gators.

 

[alarson]

I take it you're the guy that thinks three heads in a row increases the chances the next flips is heads.

Except the whole coin flip analogy assumes something hasnt changed with what's being flipped. That would be the whole question of 'has there been a change'. The NCAA tournament isnt static.

FWIW, the last 10 years:
6 seed: 21-19 .525
5 seed 23-17 .575

It wouldnt indicate that 5 seeds are more likely to lose (theyre still pretty close to even.. as i added up years back and forth it went in and out of even), though i note that the chances of the high seed winning do seem to have dropped from the 65% win rate overall (that would include the last 10 years) to the last 10 year rate that is closer to 50%.

 

[amishclone]

Your #1 is null because we're either playing OSU or KSU, both of whom we swept.

Be honest. Who's scarier? OSU or KSU?

 

[dahliaclone]

Be honest. Who's scarier? OSU or KSU?

Honestly? I don't know. We've beaten both twice but I think we match up better with OSU and KU over the other side of the bracket. KSU is in a must win mode in that game for any hope at an NCAA. That coupled with the fact Johnson basically sat out our game in Manhattan and that game isn't easy at all. Plus KSU will have fans there...OSU won't.

 

[WastedTalent]

Be honest. Who's scarier? OSU or KSU?

Ehhh, a desperate KSt, with just as many fans as Iowa St, wouldn't be a cake walk.
We match up very well with okie st, and they're getting a lot of love, but I'm not overly impressed yet. They may have the worst front court in the whole conference. Who knows, they may still beat us on Thursday.

 

[stormchaser2014]

Hoping Vandy can upset the Gators.

Commodores win!