It doesn't matter if Fred wins this round. He just needs to be in the Top 24 when on January 25th to advance to the next round, at which point all of the voting resets.
Now through 1/25 = everyone; on 1/25 cut to 24
1/26 through 2/15 = Top 24; on 2/15 cut to 16
2/16 through 3/1 = Top 16; on 3/1 cut to 4
3/2 through 3/15 = Top 4; on 3/15 voting closes and one wins