Iowa's past several seasons have been pretty similar, in my opinion. Start out slow, develop into a pretty solid to good team midway into the season, and then fall off at the end of the year. The Uthoff, Jok, Gesell and Woodbury teams did this seemingly every year. Last year's team kinda did this too. I expect them to figure it out and be pretty competitive this year. They may not be tourney good, but they certainly won't be a doormat. They have too much talent.
However, based on what I've seen, Iowa State should win this game.