Reflecting my preferences. Pav with 6 assists and 3 3s and Omaha in double figures.
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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- bracketology cyclones net quad rankings
Most of those are easy to cheer against even when it doesn't benefit ISU
If you google "torvik PASE" it comes up. Theres no direct link to it on his page that i could find.
As long as we are a 2 or 3 seed I'll be happy. They are pretty much the same thing. I don't see any way we fall below a 3 right now unless we collapse like last year.
Woah, we are way down the list. Guess those two years that shall not be named really hurt us. Still, 12 appearances, 8 to the 2nd round, 4 to the Sweet Sixteen and 1 Elite Eight isn't bad overall though.
And it's still better than Iowa with all that lol
They'd have to lose the next 5 games which would be really weird.
At this time last year ISU was in the midst of a rough February. This is a week longer season but even then they started losing games early in the month and looked under water in most of them.
Even if that happened, what do they get dropped to, a 5?
Found this tweet interesting, shows how little control a team on their metrics has due to opponents performance.
Houston pretty much clinched at least a share of the conference title yesterday
Big 12 Regular Season Title Odds
Houston -550
Iowa State +300
Kansas +1500
Big 12 Regular Season Title Odds
Houston -550
Iowa State +300
Kansas +1500
15% for a final four that seems higher than any recent time. Probably including my favorite the Niang broken foot yr. We certainly play better D than then.
It is weird to me that the same system that projects us as the #8 team in the country also simultaneously projects us as a #3 seed.
Maybe the system is building in the "you are not a national brand so the committee's going to f*** you" factor.
Maybe the system is building in the "you are not a national brand so the committee's going to f*** you" factor.
If you think the odds in each of ISUs remaining games is accurate there is around a 23% chance that happens.
I’ve never really looked at stats from that perspective before but an interesting way to look at it for sure. Are you just summing up the odds or each outcome or is there a calculations somewhere on that? I feel like in sports (maybe im wrong here?) you can’t necessarily sum up the remainder of the odds to win to get an accurate predicted outcome?
You just multiply the %s together. Like if you flip a coin four times. The odds of each flip being heads are 50% but the odds of every flip being heads are 0.5*0.5*0.5*0.5 = 6.25%