2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

It will be where it ranks when the committee sits down to do it in March (not now or then).

They're also not supposed to give credit for late-season "momentum." Losses to iffy VT and TAMU teams without Ward while they Cyclones were still "figuring it out" (like most teams at that point in the season) count just as much as the heart of the Big 12 schedule like the games right now.
I'm okay with that. It used to be a huge disadvantage for teams in strong leagues because they were beating each other up in their last 10, last 15, etc. metrics while teams in weak leagues had their losses against decent teams in their non-con count less than their "momentum" when playing in their weak assed conference.

I'm also glad that they aren't supposed to give much creedence to the non-con SOS metric since it counted the non-con games twice both in the NCSOS and overall SOS.
 
Big 12 standings
Team... Rec ... TF ... GB
1. UH... 7-3 ... +2 ... X
2. ISU... 6-3 ... +2 ... .5
3. BU... 6-3 ... +1 ... .5
4. KU... 6-4 ... +1 ... 1.0
5. TTU... 5-4 ... +1 ... 1.5
6. TCU... 5-4 ... +0 ... 1.5
7. OU... 5-5 ... +0 ... 2.0
7. KSU... 5-5 ... +0 ... 2.0
9. Cin... 4-5 ... +0 ... 2.5
9. BYU... 4-5 ... +0 ... 2.5
11. UCF... 4-5 ... -1 ... 2.5
12. UT... 4-6 ... -1 ... 3.0
13. WVU... 3-6 ... -2 ... 3.5
14. OSU... 2-8 ... -3 ... 5.0

If you take into account the Tim Floyd standings (+1 for road win, -1 for home loss) ISU is all alone in second place.

They are even on losses with Houston with the only difference is one more home game played and won for UH.
 
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Scoring 47 against Jackson State at home that year was something I'll never forget unfortunately.

Jackson St. wasn't good but did rank #187 on defense that year.

Torvik actually has a few games with worse offensive efficiency from that season...

70.2 (36 against Oklahoma St.)
76.2 (44 against TCU)
77.8 (60 against Oregon St.)
78.5 (47 against Jackson St.)

The box score against Oklahoma St. is just disgusting...

13 Brockington
12 Hunter
4 Jones
3 Kalscheur
2 Conditt
2 Kunc

13/36 from two
2/17 from three
4/10 from the line
16 turnovers

That was it. Barf.
 
Jackson St. wasn't good but did rank #187 on defense that year.

Torvik actually has a few games with worse offensive efficiency from that season...

70.2 (36 against Oklahoma St.)
76.2 (44 against TCU)
77.8 (60 against Oregon St.)
78.5 (47 against Jackson St.)

The box score against Oklahoma St. is just disgusting...

13 Brockington
12 Hunter
4 Jones
3 Kalscheur
2 Conditt
2 Kunc

13/36 from two
2/17 from three
4/10 from the line
16 turnovers

That was it. Barf.
All of those were at home lol
 
This next month of basketball:

old-school-keep-our-composure.gif
 
Id say it sucks that we only get 3 games in the 'should win' category while some teams get 5, but I also wouldnt necessarily put @WVU in that category at this point.

Might be the scariest team left on the schedule for perception and as things tighten up down the stretch.

My main hope is ISU is firmly in the tourney by then so seeding is the only thing left.
 
Id say it sucks that we only get 3 games in the 'should win' category while some teams get 5, but I also wouldnt necessarily put @WVU in that category at this point.

Maybe I’m misunderstanding your post but we don’t play @WVU. We get TCU, Tech, OU, and WVU, BYU at home. We have Cincinnati, Houston, KSU, and UCF on the road.
 

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