Ironically our number would remain the same this week
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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How does this happen?
(Look at UCF and Rutger's offensive rating relative to its defensive rating.)
(Look at UCF and Rutger's offensive rating relative to its defensive rating.)
Weekly reminder that very few of these voters watch many/any of these games.
Meanwhile the computers are watching every possession for us.
Good computers. Treats for you!
Brockington year = #184 offense #5 defense
Bonnies year = #122 offense #7 defense
UCF is a worse differential. Rutgers is an almost unfathomable differential.
Not a projection but for anyone that hasn't seen the All-time AP Poll figured people in here might enjoy it. It's a spreadsheet tracking what the 'rankings' are if the point totals of every AP poll was totaled together. He posted it to reddit a few years ago and I check back a few times a year to see if Iowa State was able to make any moves.
This year they'll likely go from 61 to at least 58. Already hopped Washington for #60. The top 6 do a good job driving home the blue in blue blood
This year they'll likely go from 61 to at least 58. Already hopped Washington for #60. The top 6 do a good job driving home the blue in blue blood
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Is Houston's defense historically great? They're so far ahead of everyone else right now.
Yes. At least based on Torvik and KenPom efficiencies from the past ~15 years.
Watch any 4 minute chunk of a Rutgers game and you'll be surprised the offense is ranked that highly.
The defense is athletic and great though.
I'm just surprised a team can have the athletic spiders to play defense like that but not be able to bully themselves into a top ~150 offense based on size and athleticism alone.
Even if they lack basic basketball skills like shooting and dribbling and passing and running an offense. To play defense at that level they must be playing good team defense; so the players are coachable and have enough of a feel for the game. I'm surprised it doesn't come out better on O.
I've only watched them once, but got the distinct impression that they passed the ball around hoping someone else would take the shot.
I forgot to add that being that good on defense should lead to full-court opportunities.
Even if you suck in the half-court on offense (and gee I wonder if we know any teams like this...) then you can maybe at least generate enough turnovers to get rolling on the break for easier shots.
And they aren't that bad at rebounding - they get some offensive rebounds. They just can't shoot. They hold opponents to 40% FG - which is quite good. But they also shoot 40% from the field (and 64% from the FT line), which is very bad.
So basically the Brockington team without Brockington.
Imagining that season without Brockington to carry the offense from merely a garden variety level of terrible instead of being what would likely have been historically bad is kind of terrifying.
And adding the #2 and #3 overall recruits despite that. Will be interesting to see how much of an impact Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper can have next year.
Rutgers has struggled with player retention of late. Can they keep veteran role players to surround the pair of 5 stars?
How the heck is Rutgers landing that kind of talent?
I doubt they can be a big fish in the NIL space.
Local kids? Some connection to the coach? Guys who just really wanna play defense?
The rest of that team, just taking Brockington out, still shot 42.5% from the field. So even worse than that!
