I have heard some experts say it wouldn't be unreasonable for an EV to last 30 years because EV power train has far, far fewer parts. But at this point it also sounds like owners will have to replace battery pack at around 10 years and that is a huge investment ($10k? minimum).
EV scooters KC.Probably never, as we probably won't be driving in another 10 to 15 years.
Lets just assume you drive a gas car that gets 25 mpg an average of 12k miles a year and figure on an average of $3 gas. Over that 10 years you've spent almost $15k in gas granted electricity isn't free by any means but the end cost to you isn't this giant gap that people seem to think it is. Now obviously that's different for a car that gets better mileage or for somebody who drives more but battery prices are going down, significantly in some cases and new chemistries get proven out. The number that keeps getting thrown around at work by the battery guys is they expect that battery costs per kW-h of storage capacity to be about half of what it is today by the end of the decade. I think that assuming that a lithium ion battery is the peak of battery technology and will never get better is really short sighted. You're already seeing that switch with Tesla and Ford moving from Lithium-Ion batteries to a Lithium-iron-phosphate battery. Those LFPs don't use nickel or cobalt at all in them and are more resistant to battery degradation than a Lithium-ion battery.
Where did you hear this? The latest research shows that after 10 years the battery lose between 5-10%. So now that 330 mile range is down to 300 miles after 10 years.
If the LI batteries in cars are like iPhone LI batteries, you know 5-10% is way off.
California is a bit of an outlier for gas prices, for now, so I was trying to be somewhat in the middle of the road with that estimate. I agree though it comes down to cost per mile to drive your vehicle, it won't be long before fuel costs mean more people moved to hybrids and BEVs.
insideevs.com
www.autoevolution.com
When you take out the political nonsense attached for no reason and strictly look at EV performance and use cases, they economically start to make sense for a lot of people looking to buy new(-er) cars. Especially when paired with a hybrid or normal ICE second car.
Tesla: Battery Capacity Degradation Averages 12% After 200,000 Miles
Tesla revealed the average battery capacity degradation in its electric cars in its new Impact Report 2022.
How Is the Battery Degradation of the Tesla Model S After 10 Years on the Roads?
We already know that Tesla Li-Ion batteries
"Early data from newer Model 3 and Model Y vehicles also show strong capacity retention of less than 10% after 100,000 miles and less than 15% after 200,000 miles, but not many vehicles have reached those mileages just yet.
Either way, the data shows that the average battery capacity retention stays well within Tesla’s guaranteed capacity in its vehicle warranty."
The batteries in cars have a cooling system to keep battery temps down when they're charging where as your phone doesn't. The heat during charging causes micro fractures in the cells and that's what causes your phone battery to go to hell.
That was one beef my wife had. She likes using Pandora via carplay in her current car.
