College football exists now, and performs essentially the same function you're describing, as a minor league for the NFL. And there are plenty of viewers. Why would fans of the SEC be fanatical and numerous now, but not in a separate league with the best cherry picked schools in the country? What's the straw that breaks the camel's back, in that scenario, and causes these fervent fans to stop watching their schools?
First point, so what if it ends up getting out. OUT got out too, all it did was speed it up. And also would make it even easier for these schools to put their names in.
There are a finite number of prime broadcasting slots. Media knows how much they can spend per slot to net a profit. I don't think they particularly care about conference as much as confidence that they can hit the viewership they need to justify the price they paid for the contract.
I think this is the valid concern long term as the 3rd best conference. The ACC slots will become available and distributed as well.
Does that hypothesis assume a constant viewership of the (current) ~70 P5 / ~60 G5 fanbases?
Do you really think that if the top big ten schools left that the rest would be fine with having them play their Olympic sports? It works now because there is still a P5. If a super league is formed those schools effectively end the NCAA and most of college athletics as we know it. The schools left behind won’t let them play their Olympic sports after that.
All I am saying is never say never. This is what my entire point is.
I’m almost at the point that the more adamant you are something won’t happen in realignment, the more sure I become!
Honestly they wont care. Because someone will play them, and at that point if no P5 teams agree to play them, in a non con, they will still be able to pay the G5 and FCS to play them, and those schools wont pass up that payday. They need it too much.
The left behinds will be "the NCAA".
One, the schools would have most of their sports together, the few they didn't, do you think they would care if a couple sports were in the MAC or such? So many conferences have affiliate members that they would find a home. The ACC whores themselves out so they can get a few of the ND football games each year. There is a conference out there that would take them.
I did? Show me that post please. I don't remember ever saying that no PAC teams would ever join the B1G. I was caught off guard when it actually happened, as I think most were. But I'd heard the rumblings and potential rumors and don't remember ever believing or saying PAC schools to the B1G was something that would "NEVER" happen. If you can show me where I did, I'll kindly eat crow on that one.
That's because the NCAA isn't some independent entity. It's the member schools.
You are 100% right that I shouldn’t be using absolutes like never. Anything very well could happen. When people talk about things like super league as a forgone conclusion they are essentially doing the same thing only they are like the end of days people in that they can’t be proven wrong. If in 10 years from now there is no super league they will just say well it’s obviously coming. 10 years after that they can say the same thing. I’ll try to avoid using absolutes though because again you’re right that we’re entering a new world of cfb but I believe the outcome of permanent unequal revenue sharing from a media deal in the big ten or schools breaking away to form a 16/20 team super league is extremely unlikely.
