Iowa Football Recruiting

Yeah we could spend time cherry picking data all we want to try and warp the argument to fit either side's narrative. I spent 20 minutes of my morning sifting through stats to find out Goodson averaged .04 more ypc against top-40 defenses. The stats do not lie, he was slightly better, but I don't know if that stat alone is good enough to base my entire argument off of. But it's not my argument so oh well.

What metric were you using to determine "top-40 defenses"? Team rush D?
 
What metric were you using to determine "top-40 defenses"? Team rush D?
The data that I was using wasn't the same as his, so in reality the original numbers posted from the other person were correct in that Goodson averaged a little bit more against top-40 defenses per SP+ (not my metric). However, the original poster forgot to mention that Breece Hall only truly saw touches in one game out of the 5 games against SP+ top-40 defenses.
 
The data that I was using wasn't the same as his, so in reality the original numbers posted from the other person were correct in that Goodson averaged a little bit more against top-40 defenses per SP+ (not my metric). However, the original poster forgot to mention that Breece Hall only truly saw touches in one game out of the 5 games against SP+ top-40 defenses.

You'll have to school me I'm not that bright, what does SP+ measure?
 
You'll have to school me I'm not that bright, what does SP+ measure?
What is SP+? In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with both college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system. SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. That is important to remember. It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system is. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.

Here are the rankings. https://www.espn.com/college-footba...nal-sp+-rankings-2019-college-football-season

I personally don't like these rankings considering how highly ranked offensively teams like Minny and Wisconsin are, but I also didn't choose the ranking in the first place so oh well.
 
You'll have to school me I'm not that bright, what does SP+ measure?

In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency.”

Essentially, it evaluates a team’s efficiency on offense, defense, and special teams, while accounting for tempo and strength of opponent.
 
In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency.”

Essentially, it evaluates a team’s efficiency on offense, defense, and special teams, while accounting for tempo and strength of opponent.

Maybe I am making this too simple but it seems like a KenPom equivalent, or close to, for football.
 
Well they beat the "defending" BIG 12 conference champs on their home floor.
Ok cool that still has nothing to do with what you said. I'm sure Iowa has lost to some bad teams before I mean didn't they lose to a DII school. I guess that team better leave with Iowa's almost NIT Championship Trophy.
 
What is SP+? In a single sentence, it's a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency. I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with both college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system. SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing. That is important to remember. It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system is. It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you're lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you're strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.

Here are the rankings. https://www.espn.com/college-footba...nal-sp+-rankings-2019-college-football-season

I personally don't like these rankings considering how highly ranked offensively teams like Minny and Wisconsin are, but I also didn't choose the ranking in the first place so oh well.

So based on that, Hall played against the #22, 47, 48, 58, 68, 73, 83, 106, and 109 defenses, as well as UNI. I didn't include Iowa or TCU, he had one carry in each of those games for 2 total yards. So that's one top-40 defense he ran against, 17 rushes for 52 yards, 3.2 per carry. If you include Iowa and TCU, that's three top-40 defenses, 19 rushes for 54 yards, 2.8 per carry.

Goodson played the #10, 11, 14, 26, 27, 54, 60, 63, 77, 82, 84, and 117. I didn't include ISU, he had three carries for 16 yards. So that's five top-40 defenses he ran against, 43 rushes for 228 yards, 5.3 per carry. If you include ISU, that's six top-40 defenses, 46 carries for 244 yards, 5.3 per carry.
 
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So based on that, Hall played against the #22, 47, 48, 58, 68, 73, 83, 106, and 109 defenses, as well as UNI. I didn't include Iowa or TCU, he had one carry in each of those games for 2 total yards. So that's one top-40 defense he ran against, 17 rushes for 52 yards, 3.2 per carry. If you include Iowa and TCU, that's three top-40 defenses, 19 rushes for 54 yards, 2.8 per carry.

Goodson played the #10, 11, 14, 26, 27, 54, 60, 63, 77, 82, 84, and 117. I didn't include ISU, he had three carries for 16 yards. So that's five top-40 defenses he ran against, 43 rushes for 228 yards, 5.3 per carry. If you include ISU, that's six top-40 defenses, 46 carries for 244 yards, 5.3 per carry.

Correct. The Iowa State fans don’t like those stats, so they’ve been claiming that they don’t count or simply handing out “dislikes” and “disagrees” without engaging in any discussion. Business as usual.
 
Correct. The Iowa State fans don’t like those stats, so they’ve been claiming that they don’t count or simply handing out “dislikes” and “disagrees” without engaging in any discussion. Business as usual.
You realize over all your usernames, you'll just hit "funny" without a response. I could literally go to your activity log and prove it.
I literally bumped something twice for you today and you avoided it.

You need something new to whine about.
 
Correct. The Iowa State fans don’t like those stats, so they’ve been claiming that they don’t count or simply handing out “dislikes” and “disagrees” without engaging in any discussion. Business as usual.

That's just using the SP+ rankings, which I honestly don't know if that's the best metric or not.
 
So based on that, Hall played against the #22, 47, 48, 58, 68, 73, 83, 106, and 109 defenses, as well as UNI. I didn't include Iowa or TCU, he had one carry in each of those games for 2 total yards. So that's one top-40 defense he ran against, 17 rushes for 52 yards, 3.2 per carry. If you include Iowa and TCU, that's three top-40 defenses, 19 rushes for 54 yards, 2.8 per carry.

Goodson played the #10, 11, 14, 26, 27, 54, 60, 63, 77, 82, 84, and 117. I didn't include ISU, he had three carries for 16 yards. So that's five top-40 defenses he ran against, 43 rushes for 228 yards, 5.3 per carry. If you include ISU, that's six top-40 defenses, 46 carries for 244 yards, 5.3 per carry.
Yes we've gone over this. Lol Breece Hall didn't start actually playing till after the TCU game. I mean I don't know what we're arguing about. The only people that think Goodson is better are Iowa fans. Breece was a freshman all american and is listed as one of the best backs in the nation coming back for next year.

Goodson had games against awful teams where he was irrelevant too, which shouldn't happen to a great back. He had like 6 carries for 8 yards against Purdue. Goodson also runs behind great offensive lineman, but we don't have to get into all of that.
 
Yes we've gone over this. Lol Breece Hall didn't start actually playing till after the TCU game. I mean I don't know what we're arguing about. The only people that think Goodson is better are Iowa fans. Breece was a freshman all american and is listed as one of the best backs in the nation coming back for next year.

Goodson had games against awful teams where he was irrelevant too, which shouldn't happen to a great back. He had like 6 carries for 8 yards against Purdue. Goodson also runs behind great offensive lineman, but we don't have to get into all of that.

I'm not arguing. Just using the rankings you provided to compare/contrast how each performed against the top defenses they faced. Nearly half the defenses Goodson went against were top-40 compared to 1 for Hall. And Goodson outgained Hall by 2 yards per carry against those top defenses.

Again, I have no idea if SP+ is the best metric to use.
 

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