I believe I’ve heard over the past week that it more like 2-6 days now
It really depends on the individual. So far they’ve had cases from 4-14 days incubation. I’m sure that could drop to 2 days.
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I believe I’ve heard over the past week that it more like 2-6 days now
It's possible if a state that had relatively sparse population that is spread out and is really proactive and strict on lockdown that could happen. But considering long incubation period, ease of transmission, ability to transmit without symptoms and the fact that most of the US has been pretty lax about this, I don't see it happening. I'd guess you might see a few regional secondary bumps, but nothing close to the first peak.
There is a bunch of conflicting info out there. While they have seen some long incubation periods I think in general you start seeing symptoms within 4 days of exposure. So pretty much like any other bug.I believe I’ve heard over the past week that it more like 2-6 days now
Yeah, I found a study that worked on this. Compared it to SARS which it self is a coronavirus. Median was 5 days, so we are talking roughly 2-8 days for most of the cases for incubation.There is a bunch of conflicting info out there. While they have seen some long incubation periods I think in general you start seeing symptoms within 4 days of exposure. So pretty much like any other bug.
So Iowa's strategy appears to be waiting until things start looking bad before cancelling anything. Cool, cool.
You shut down because right now you have no idea how bad it is because testing is non existent. Once we actually start testing symptomatic people and get a real handle on how widespread the issue is you can make better informed decisions.The issue they face is that if they cancel now, how long are they closed? If they cancel with no confirmed cases and this lasts another year, how do they justify reopening?
If you shut down because of the cases in IC, then you might as well declare the start of summer break because this isn't going away in a week or a month.
You shut down because right now you have no idea how bad it is because testing is non existent. Once we actually start testing symptomatic people and get a real handle on how widespread the issue is you can make better informed decisions.
The problem is if Iowa wants to wait until community spread is common to shut down, its long too late at that point. The goal of shutting down is to prevent that spread.
I don’t know why this is so difficult for people to understand.
But then you're going to be shut down for a year. This isn't a matter of a week long shutdown for a snowstorm. This is going to be a long term issue we're going to have to learn to deal with.
And we could use a couple weeks for Purell and others to get sanitizer everywhere, schools to have a fever checking station at the doors, places to setup more delivery services, etc. That is how several countries have been able to greatly limit the spread without a shutdown.
I can't speak to when Iowa is getting more tests, but It would be helpful to know more even from a national perspective where this is at. Other countries have had massive testing programs so don't tell me it can't be done. Besides, schools are one thing, but we arent even shutting down the ******* DSM St. Patricks day parade.When do you really think that's going to happen? The tests are expensive and sparsely available. With few densely populated areas and few cases reported, Iowa won't be high in the federal government's list of priorities. We're not going to have widespread testing here before summer. Continue to close non-essential gatherings and follow the same procedures you would during flu season.
Also, what is your threshold for safe to open schools once you close them? No cases in Iowa, the county, the city?
The problem is if Iowa wants to wait until community spread is common to shut down, its long too late at that point. The goal of shutting down is to prevent that spread.
I don’t know why this is so difficult for people to understand.
I can't speak to when Iowa is getting more tests, but It would be helpful to know more even from a national perspective where this is at. Other countries have had massive testing programs so don't tell me it can't be done. Besides, schools are one thing, but we arent even shutting down the ******* DSM St. Patricks day parade.
Having worked in a large iowa school district for the better part of decade I LOLed at this. There's like a 200 people total working over spring break and 150 of those are custodial crews waxing floors. Unless you're going to compensate the right people and have them voluntarily (union contracts) come in over this week, aint **** getting done as far as implementing new measures.That shouldn't take more than the spring break week to implement.
Integrated DNA in Coralville announced they will be able to produce 5 million test kits per week by next week. There are similar private labs nationally ramping up the same abilities. I would guess it’s 30 days before there is adequate tests nationally to be able to handle every person who needs tested
The problem is if Iowa wants to wait until community spread is common to shut down, its long too late at that point. The goal of shutting down is to prevent that spread.
I don’t know why this is so difficult for people to understand.
So Iowa's strategy appears to be waiting until things start looking bad before cancelling anything. Cool, cool.