I guess Iowa's collapse will start in March this year...
- Thread starter CySmurf
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Iowa does control their own destiny in some regard and if they don't go at least 5-5 don't deserve to be in the tourney even if the metrics are debatable.
Part of the issue for Iowa is they did have at the time notable wins over ranked team when they played but have since become less than impressive (Oregon and OSU for example) and now since those team have fallen off their metrics are going to look a lot worse come selection Sunday. Nebby and OSU for instance had top 10 NET's early but I could see ending up at the 50's or worse in March. That will be reflected in EIU resume when they are making their field of 64 case.
Fran has work left to do and really needs a signature win vs UM or UW for both the committee and the fan base.
If one of those 4 wins was Michigan, that would soften the blow from an unexpected loss. Friday isn't a must win or anything close but it would some pressure off the Hawks. In that scenario they could more or less win out at home, plus one game in Chicago or on the road and be comfy.
If those wins are something like Rutgers x2, NW and Indy or Maryland at home, the b1g tourney could make or break their NCAA chances.
I think they go 6-4, maybe 7-3. Wins over NW, Rutgers x2, Terps, Indiana and they split @tOSU/Nebby. Wouldn't shock me if they win the rest of their road games, Wisconsin would be the one I'd think most likely to be a loss. Nebraska is done w/o Copeland,Fran teams traditionally play well vs Ohio State and Indiana has lost 6 straight games, they are a train wreck.
I never said the word great. Not sure a good home team would have two home losses, one of them was a blowout
A good home team doesn't have two losses, one of them was a blowout loss at home. Sorry you can't understand that
Iowa isn't a bad home team but they aren't a good home team. They are pretty much the definition of mediocre across the board honestly
I think they have been better than mediocre thus far. Bad road team and good home team.
The thing about the metrics is that once conference play starts they're pretty baked in....for instance Nebraska....they drop off and essentially exchange those metrics with another conference team. It's why conference SOS doesn't really change once the conference season starts. B1G is #2 to the B12 in that regard which is a major improvement from last year.
OSU beats Nebraska....Nebraska goes down OSU up...basically a wash for Iowa. more variance in that regard v the B12 because it isn't a round robin but basically holds true.
Oregon, UCONN, Pitt falling on their faces could effect things but if they stay around where they're at pretty much zero effect.
ISU continuing to win wouldn't hurt things
A good home team doesn't have two losses, one of them was a blowout loss at home. Sorry you can't understand that
Where do you make the cutoff between good and mediocre teams? Would a mediocre team be in the tournament or not?
You really don't have to be "good" to make the tourney anymore. Iowa almost got in 2013-14 and were a Tennessee win away from getting in and they were not good
Wonder if they could have used MJ last night.
They actually seem to have some good players at different spots, and their home atmosphere looks tough, but results are results...and it's not because they're not Iowa State either.
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