NCAA Tournament Poll

Both are in with Fran getting a big raise and a contract extension with large buyout...oh...wait...
 
Iowa will have plenty of chances to pick up a few quality wins at home. If they can pick up a couple wins against Michigan, MSU, Ohio State, Nebraska, or Indiana- and finish 9-11 or better in conference- they should be in.
A couple wins when you rattled off opponents that account for 8 games? For your sake, you better hope they go better than 2-6 against those teams after an 0-2 start.
 
Just looked at Iowa’s upcoming schedule. There next 5 games will be crucial to their tournament odds. @ Purdue, vs Nebraska, @ NW, vs Ohio St, @ Penn St. ESPN only had them “favored” vs Ohio State. I think they’ll win a couple, but wouldn’t be shocked if they go 0-5. If they go 2-3 or worse, it will be an uphill climb (although there will be opportunities for big wins). Things could snowball in a negative way pretty quickly.

Iowa State also has a critical stretch the next couple weeks, but because it may be an “easier” stretch of conference play with a chance to pick up a couple road wins early.

I think Iowa State is likely in. Iowa, I’d put at 50/50 right now. Will have a pretty good idea in 2 weeks (or even next Sunday).
 
next 5 games will be crucial to their tournament odds. @ Purdue, vs Nebraska, @ NW, vs Ohio St, @ Penn St.

Probably not a popular opinion, but I actually think Iowa has a reasonable chance to win 4 of these 5. If they do, should get enough wins the rest of the year to get in.

ISU - in, but this 1st road game vs OSU is really important in getting a good seed.
 
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I don't think Iowa goes .500 the rest of the way and misses the tournament.
Nebraska went 13-5 last year in the B1G and couldn’t get in. I don’t know why anyone can think a losing conference record would still get Iowa in.
We’ll see if the B1G is better this year but that would be quite a leap.
 
  • Agree
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Nebraska went 13-5 last year in the B1G and couldn’t get in. I don’t know why anyone can think a losing conference record would still get Iowa in.
We’ll see if the B1G is better this year but that would be quite a leap.

Dumb button.

Nebraska lost 6 games out of conference last season. The two aren’t even remotely comparable situations and is a pretty worthless comparison to make.
 
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Both should be in.

If Iowa had split their two b1g games in Dec, I'd have them as a lock but the home loss to Wisky made things just a tad blurry. The next 5 games will be big, they have to win both home games, steal one of the road and I think they'll be ok just going .500 the rest of the way. The b1g is going to get a bunch of teams in the dance, I think a game under .500 in league play gets them in. The Oregon game will end up looking like a nice win come March after they go thru an awful pac 12 league schedule.


ISU doesn't have much to lean on as far as quality wins and probably has more work to do (and more opportunities ahead) but I think with the roster issues early in the season, the committee won't dwell much on the non conference as long as we take care of business at Hilton. Plenty of chances for quality wins.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: benjimill
Nebraska went 13-5 last year in the B1G and couldn’t get in. I don’t know why anyone can think a losing conference record would still get Iowa in.
We’ll see if the B1G is better this year but that would be quite a leap.

Iowa has a lot of work to do if they want to make the dance. Those wins over Uconn and Oregon aren't going to move the needle. Those teams are currently ranked 95 and 86 in the new Net rankings...
 

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