I think next year it will be SMU, Cinci and you guys for bids. Tulsa will be playing a tougher schedule than conf USA gave them (by the way, TCU beat them 2x this year). Cinci's system is not going to work with the changes in college basketball, the game is going to be more offensive minded and that does not bode well for a team that does nothing but mugg. SMU will still be good next year, and you have a lot of production to replace in Napier but I think Ollie is a good coach that will be able to do that.SMU winning the AAC is a distinct possibility and IMO, not a bad thing. The question for SMU going forward is what happens post-Larry Brown. Cincy won't drop off the map because of Cronin's system, regardless what one thinks of it. Memphis has a 4-star PG and 3 JUCOs coming in. Tulsa could also be around a bubble team (they've got Scottie Wilbekin's little brother coming in).
It's not a pretty conference, but it won't be a 2-bid league anytime in the near future.
And Brimah will be around next year for UConn. If you saw his progress from November till now, you'd understand why you can't overlook the kid. He's only been playing for four years.
The problem is your conference was gutted by realignment. And television contracts are driven by football and the one you just signed really didn't do you any favors in basketball. Only 63% of your conference games will be televised nationally. 100% of the big12 games will be. The Big East thrived due to the exposure it got on ESPN and the AAC is not going to be getting that exposure.