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***Weekend Weather***

scottie33

scottie33

Well-Known Member
Nov 25, 2006
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Ames, Iowa
Weather guru's...what's the outlook for winter weather this weekend?

Earl's charts are coming back in good agreement along the I-80 corridor through Iowa.

And there is NOT a Men's BB home game on Saturday, how'd that work out?
 
it seemed like the NAM jumped today as its on a 72 hour model which as of last night would've stretched to Friday night...that may be the case
 
meteogram generator looks like it only graphs out 72 hours on the red and pink lines as well...the blues are I think 120 hours out for model range
 
scottie33 said:
Weather guru's...what's the outlook for winter weather this weekend?

Earl's charts are coming back in good agreement along the I-80 corridor through Iowa.

And there is NOT a Men's BB home game on Saturday, how'd that work out?
Click to expand...

Could be looking at 2" or more of "rain equivalent" in some spots. Just have to figure out how much to split between rain and snow, and how much snow:water ratio will be.

I think it will be a heavier, wet snow attm, figure around 10 or 12:1 snow ratio, which normally would keep snow totals more in check, but there's just a lot of moisture and a slow moving storm that could blow that theory up.

As others have said, NAM has started coming in much more aggressive than I am figuring right now, but I will need to see more consistency.

I don't really want to be too specific with totals yet, but I am definitely leaning toward maybe some of the highest we've had this season at least over western IA or NW 1/3.
 
FDWxMan said:
Could be looking at 2" or more of "rain equivalent" in some spots. Just have to figure out how much to split between rain and snow, and how much snow:water ratio will be.

I think it will be a heavier, wet snow attm, figure around 10 or 12:1 snow ratio, which normally would keep snow totals more in check, but there's just a lot of moisture and a slow moving storm that could blow that theory up.

As others have said, NAM has started coming in much more aggressive than I am figuring right now, but I will need to see more consistency.

I don't really want to be too specific with totals yet, but I am definitely leaning toward maybe some of the highest we've had this season at least over western IA or NW 1/3.
Click to expand...

Looks like the models keep trending to the Northwest.
 
File.png
 
So...should I be thinking about cancelling my travel plans for this weekend? (planning on heading back to SW IA for the weekend and coming back up to Ames Sunday)
 
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