Remaining schedule

Speaking of "hot 3 point shooting" - Baylor has lost 4 straight and after leading all of NCAA in 3pt % in the non-conference, is shooting <30% in conference play. In their 3OT loss at home to TCU, in which they scored over 100 points, they made just 5 threes. They play @ UCF on Wednesday before hosting us Sat and then TTU next week before a trip to Phog Allen. Very curious if they can pull out of this skid with that schedule
 
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Could they? Certainly if they start notching W's especially on the road. Their schedule is similar to ours so they definitely have the opportunities to quickly rise. But they'd have to jump 75 spots so probably only way they do that is by going 5-1 or 6-0 b4 the game @ Hilton
It doesn't matter too much if they're Q2 by the time we play them. It matters at the end of the season when the selection committee is looking at the team sheets that have Iowa State's record against each quadrant.
 
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Last year we were 6-2 at this point and already had 2 conference road wins. I'd be fine with 10-8 right now. Every night is going to be a struggle in this league

I think we go 8-1 at home and 2-7 on the road.
 
I see it like this (Including Big 12 Tournament):
  • 3 more wins and we play in Dayton
  • 4 more wins = 8-10 seed
  • 5 more wins =7-8 seed
  • 6 more wins = 5-6 seed
  • 7 more wins = 4-5 seed
  • 8 more wins =2-3 seed
My base case is 6 more wins:
  • 4-1 at home
  • 1-5 on the road
  • 1-1 in KC
4-5 seed in KC and 5-6 seed come March Madness.
 
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Last year we were 6-2 at this point and already had 2 conference road wins. I'd be fine with 10-8 right now. Every night is going to be a struggle in this league

I think we go 8-1 at home and 2-7 on the road.
Yep! How quick some forget that last years team went 2-8 over the 10 game stretch from the end of January to end of February.. 3 of those were home losses.

  • 4 of the next 10 are Q1a games
    • basically like playing a Sweet 16 level of game
  • 6 road games remaining
  • only 5 home games
I am setting expectations to reasonable from here out. 4-1 at home, 1-5 on the road, 1-1 in KC. More than that is gravy!
 
Yep! How quick some forget that last years team went 2-8 over the 10 game stretch from the end of January to end of February.. 3 of those were home losses.

  • 4 of the next 10 are Q1a games
    • basically like playing a Sweet 16 level of game
  • 6 road games remaining
  • only 5 home games
I am setting expectations to reasonable from here out. 4-1 at home, 1-5 on the road, 1-1 in KC. More than that is gravy!
We do have alot better depth and our offense is pretty good this year so the odds of hitting another stretch like that are alot lower than the past 2 years.

This league is brutal though so I'm still going to take a cautious approach.
 
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Last year we were 6-2 at this point and already had 2 conference road wins. I'd be fine with 10-8 right now. Every night is going to be a struggle in this league

I think we go 8-1 at home and 2-7 on the road.
I agree and think many folks here are, respectfully, making some really optimistic projections. We have a lot of tough games remaining.
 
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I see probably…8 more wins there.

Winning 8 more games is extremely lofty in this league. Hope you’re right. To be honest I’m think more 4-5 range. The rest of the schedule is a grind. West Virginia at Hilton being the almost for-sure thing.
 
What concerns me from an on-court standpoint is if they just start hitting their 3s. That's the bulk of what their offensive approach will be.

Which leads me to another game that absolutely no one is talking about as a tricky match up, and that's BYU's trip to Hilton. I feel like we're all expecting the crowd to just disrupt them, but hot 3 point shooting can travel too.
Maybe, but hot shooting from 3 IS harder to achieve in front of a Hilton crowd. If you told me the bottom falls out and there will only be one more win, having it be BYU would make me happy.

If only 2 more, give me at Texas. :)
 
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Winning 8 more games is extremely lofty in this league. Hope you’re right. To be honest I’m think more 4-5 range. The rest of the schedule is a grind. West Virginia at Hilton being the almost for-sure thing.
I would be pretty surprised if we only won 4-5 of our next 11 games.
 
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They're going to be amped through the damn rough. It's senior day and their crowd will be out for blood.
If it doesn't go K-state's way, I wonder what their crowd will do to take it out on the referees?
 

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