RealTimeRPI.com now projecting 20-10 record and no road wins

As Turn2 mentioned I think it had ISU @ K-State as a win for the Cyclones at one point as well. But I think KSU's improvement probably took that one away more than ISU's loss did.

I looked at it about a week ago (before the KSU game and after the KU game), and it had the only road win as TT.
 
This team has the ability to win @ OSU, OU, TCU, and UT. Not sure about Kansas, but if we start strong in those other games, we should win. Starting games strong on the road however is never a sure thing with this team.
 
Here's my thing: Do I think our 11 games without McKay and then our play from South Carolina on represents the actual full ability of the team? I don't think that at all. The team isnt clicking on all cylinders and if they never do that would be the first time in the Fred Hoiberg era.

I don't blame the predictors for thinking that. Kenpom has the same prediction. I think we're going to see a lot of change from what's in the data set right now and what the team will be going forward.
 
I wonder if realtime rpi and kenpom would bet me their url's on ISU not winning another road game? I'd turn kenpom in to pron.
 
Well, if a computer said it, must be true. You guys realize we still actually have to play the games right? I've never quite understood why people put so much stock into these types of things with still so much basketball to play.
 
We'll beat TCU on the road. And at least one of KSU or OSU - good chance at both. Chalk up a loss at KU and Texas. OU is a toss up. If we get by Texas tonight - we run the home slate.
 
After losing 4 games to teams with significantly less talent, Tech on their jerseys and "lackadaisical" effort, what would make you think it'll change going forward. We're not a consistent effort team, and while head scratching, I can reset my expectations and live with a 5-7 tourney seed. Beats the alternative.
 
Well, if a computer said it, must be true. You guys realize we still actually have to play the games right? I've never quite understood why people put so much stock into these types of things with still so much basketball to play.

NO NOPE NOPE, lost to TT, season over. Let's start talking Spring Practice.
 
It is what it is.
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Yeah, I wouldn't pay much attention to their predictor. It has Kansas losing by 5 @TCU but winning @ Kansas State. Any predictor that has @TCU as a tougher game than @Kansas State right now has some issues. It actually has Kansas State finishing 1-10 in their remaining 11 games with the lone win being vs. Oklahoma and losses @TCU and @Texas Tech. Eh, no.
 
After losing 4 games to teams with significantly less talent, Tech on their jerseys and "lackadaisical" effort, what would make you think it'll change going forward. We're not a consistent effort team, and while head scratching, I can reset my expectations and live with a 5-7 tourney seed. Beats the alternative.
The nice thing is that none of the Big 12 teams would really be described as a consistent effort team except for West Virginia, who is the worst shooting team in the Big 12.
 
Its not completely ridiculous to throw in a big win at UT/KU/OU. As stated many times about this team, they show up when the lights are bright. And these Iowa State teams have always played better with a chip on their shoulder, which I believe they now have. In the long run, as embarrassing as the Tech loss was, it could pay off in terms of opening their eyes and letting them know how beatable they are in this conference.

They've yet to learn this lesson after dumb losses but Texas Tech was by far the stupidest loss and I see this team finishing the conference slate really strong. I predict 3 more losses on the road for 7 losses in the regular season and one more in the big 12 tourney for a 3 seed in the big dance.
 
Well, if a computer said it, must be true. You guys realize we still actually have to play the games right? I've never quite understood why people put so much stock into these types of things with still so much basketball to play.

It filters out the Koolaid, for one thing. The downside is there is too much weight placed on the early season games vs. improvement in season. K-State for instance, if they are now as tough as they looked at Hilton.
 
Agree, as do most analysts.
That's what makes it so frustrating.

Like our talent alot, but disagree that we have more. There's a reason the coaches picked us 5th preseason, and it isn't because they're a bunch of idiots or clueless coaches. Don't see how our talent is significantly better than KU, OU, Texas, Baylor, or KState for that matter. It was just supposed to be more experienced than many.
 
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This is why predictions like this should have percentages. Sure, ISU may not be favored in any particular game, but even if they only have a 33% chance to win each away game, you'd expect them to win at least one or two.
 

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