Possible huge snow storm next week?

WHO just said Des Moines will see around 3.5 to 4 inches, and will be wet slushy snow. NW will get closer to a foot, and will be light, fluffy snow. That's where the blizzard will be.
 
Ticket prices for tomorrow have to be crashing right now. We have a pair and may or may not go.
 
WHO just said Des Moines will see around 3.5 to 4 inches, and will be wet slushy snow. NW will get closer to a foot, and will be light, fluffy snow. That's where the blizzard will be.


I only trust the NWS. 8-12.
 
I heard his source is God himself.
"So that the eternal God may be its driver, Winter Storm Kayla shall hit with winds of retched vengeance and the wicked authority to blow parts of Iowa onto Canada, so help me my Maker." Yep, good source alright
 
I was getting nervous about Kayla, then I saw this thread about it happening next week, I feel much better.
 
With the projections all over the place right now I doubt we'll really know till it gets here. Either we're going to get a lot less than expected or just dumped on, either way 1 source will claim they got it right all along while the other will backpedal and talk about how the track shifted on them overnight.

I'm not optimistic about the chances of making the game tomorrow night, even if we got the 3-4" total the talk about high winds is going to cause a lot of drifting. Probably should have pushed the guys I get tickets with to take our chances and put them on stubhub last week while there was still some decent prices and demand for them. At this point either you take your chances and go or take whatever you can get for your tickets I guess
 
Let's plays a game called "Whose Lying?" Winner announced Wednesday at noon!

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So pretty much we'll get somewhere between 2 and 10 inches? It's too bad there's no science dedicated to predicting weather and whatnot.
 
I don't remember the dates, but I DO remember shoveling a couple of large snow falls...and no kids at home anymore to help :arghh:
 
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Let's plays a game called "Whose Lying?" Winner announced Wednesday at noon!

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Such a fine line on where it's going to be above and below freezing for a chunk of the storm. Hard to predict right where that will end up being.
 
SOUNDINGS QUICKLY BECOME DEEPLY SATURATED B/T 03-06Z OVER
SOUTHWEST IOWA AND B/T 06-09Z FURTHER NORTH. VERY POTENT 300MB JET
PLACES IOWA IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION PROVIDING PLENTY OF DIVERGENCE
ALOFT AND UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ACROSS THE STATE BETWEEN 06-18Z
TUESDAY. ONE OTHER THING TO NOTE...SOUNDINGS DO SUGGEST AN ABOVE
FREEZING LAYER NEAR THE SURFACE TONIGHT BUT THE FORCING WITHIN THE
DGZ IS STRONG ENOUGH TO COOL THE COLUMN AND KEEP PRECIP ALL SNOW
FOR SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL PORTIONS OF IOWA. THE BEST CROSS SECTION
TO SHOW THE SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE EPV AND THETA-E DECREASING WITH
HEIGHT EXTENDS FROM NW IOWA TO NE MISSOURI. LARGE CROSS HAIR OF
OMEGA WITHIN THE DGZ B/T 09-15Z WITH STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL
FORCING B/T 600-650MB AS WELL AS B/T 700-750MB SHOULD LEAD TO
HEAVY BANDED SNOW DURING THIS TIME IN THE WARNING AREAS. PLUS WITH
THE AFOREMENTIONED LARGE SCALE UVM...700-500MB LAPSE RATES MUCAPE
VALUES RANGE FROM 6.0 TO 7.5 C/KM AND 50-100 MB RESPECTIVELY. THIS
IS LIKELY ENOUGH TO RELEASE CSI AND CAUSE SOME BRIEF STINTS OF
THUNDERSNOW TUESDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH A WIDESPREAD 6-12 INCH BAND
IS ANTICIPATED...EXPECTING SOME ISOLATED SPOTS TO SEE NEAR 15
WITHIN THE TSSN REGION. THIS ROUGHLY FROM DES MOINES TO CARROLL
EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH AMES TO IOWA FALLS/MARSHALLTOWN...AND MAYBE
AS FAR EAST AS WATERLOO. EXPECTING SNOWFALL RATES FROM 1-2 INCHES
WITH OVER 3 INCH PER HOUR RATES POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING.

NWS Des Moines talking about Thundersnow from Des Moines to Carrol and to the Northeast through Ames.

Dry slot remains South of Des Moines from Mt. Ayr to Indianola and Northeastward.


This was posted by NWS Des Moines who seems like a very good source of information.
 
Is it a lie when someone predicts the outcome of a football game and gets it wrong? These are highly educated guesses. Nothing more.


Obviously it isn't a lie. They do a better job than any of us.

JUST LET ME HAVE SOME FUN!
 
I'm flying through Denver tomorrow mid-morning. What are the chances of my flight being cancelled?

I assume you already know by now, but I just heard about 40% of flights out of Denver have been cancelled. Storm hasn't even hit here yet though.
 
I would rather play the grammatically correct version: Who's Lying?

Or the technically correct game of "Who's prediction is correct?"

It's only lying if they know the answer and are saying something else. People are so weird - yeah, the weatherman actually knows that your house is only going to get 3" of snow, but he's intentionally ******* with you telling you it's going to be 6".
 

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