OSU Favored by 1
- Thread starter chuckd4735
- Start date
I'm not sold on Iowa St and Okie St being "evenly matched." I'm not saying Iowa St is for sure gunna win, but if they do, then I think it's pretty obvious there is a gap between the two.
They probably think Forte is finally going to beat us. I hope we guard the **** out of him and don't let him get the ball
Its also really hard to beat a team 9 times in a row...
2014-won 4 in a row, sweet 16
2015-won 4 in a row, bounced first round as a 3
2016-lost 2 in a row, sweet 16
I think this proves it means nothing. The game is important for seeding. But it is not predictive otherwise.
Who's to say we are evenly matched? We swept them in conference play and finished 3 games ahead of them in the final standings.
2014-won 4 in a row, sweet 16
2015-won 4 in a row, bounced first round as a 3
2016-lost 2 in a row, sweet 16
I think this proves it means nothing. The game is important for seeding. But it is not predictive otherwise.
It's more surprising when you consider that the Sprint Center is hardly a neutral court for Cyclone fans.
It's pretty clear the gap between the two isn't much. In Mr. Blum's stat a good portion of the Game 3's are against teams with a much wider gap.
/\ this. It's a pick em based on neutral site and how the teams have both been playing. I'll go out on limb and say beating a team a third time when evenly matched and on a neutral site is like 50/50. However it would be that if we had played them 5 times or not at all.
Of course, there is the Naz factor.
More specifically, Monte and Matt are 8-0 vs the Cowboys. I like our chances.
It doesnt really matter.
Ultimately, the reason 'its hard to beat a team 3 times' is that even if you have 70% odds to win, over 3 times, odds say you'll probably lose one. However, each time, the odds individually are still 70% that you'll win. So looking at it at the beginning of the season and having 70% odds, you'd probably say 'yeah, we probably wont win 3/3', but if you've already won 2/3, your odds on the remaining one are still 70% (same for 60% or 50%)
I like the Clones. The game in Ames was really close only because they had a 20% 3 point shooter throw in 3 desperation 3's at the end of the game.
We have been outrebounded by 52 in our last 3 games. I think fatigue, officiating, and technique are to blame. Sometimes we are there but the ball bounces through our guy's hands, sometimes the opponent goes over the back or shoves to get the ball, sometimes we are deployed in the backcourt, and sometimes we are flat footed and too tired to run or jump after the ball. I think if we can fix this, we can compete with anyone. Also, Babb and Bowie seem improved - so they need to shoot when left wide open. Lastly, Burton needs to play better defense - he was never in the right position in our last game.
Jeffrey Carroll was almost nonexistent in Ames. I wouldn't expect that to continue. He's a hell of a player. We have our fair share of good players too. It should be another battle.