***Official Men's Basketball National Championship Game Thread***

[Doc]

I don't like seeing too many upsets the first couple of days because no upsets makes for better weekend games.

 

[inCyteful]

Mid Tenn bending Minnysoda over right now

 

[Pitt_Clone]

Are these Big 12 refs that are allowing this mauling of Bucknell?

 

[ArgentCy]

They were pushing WVU around for awhile. Getting tired of the announcers who are practically rooting for Bucknell. My question is this, did the ACC only get 8 teams in the dance or are they 2-0 so far. CBS displayed the later.

 

[srjclone]

Glad WVU straightened things out there. Didn't want to see them lose another 4-13 game and give the B1G and ACC people something to point at and say, "See! Big12 isn't good!"

 

[CycloneRulzzz]

That has no impact on our game. Plus MTSU is up 2 on Minny.

Does when usually every year a 12 beats a 5. MTSU better hold on.

 

[Cy$]

I don't like seeing too many upsets the first couple of days because no upsets makes for better weekend games.

If ISU beat a 12, 13, 16, 15, 16 and 16 seeds to win a title I wouldn't be mad.

 

[srjclone]

Does when usually every year a 12 beats a 5. MTSU better hold on.

It's happened twice in the last 9 years that a 12 didn't beat a 5. It's not something that HAS to happen, although that is the common thought.

 

[CycloneWanderer]

*Checks bracket
*Sees Minnesota is a 5-seed

It'll happen.

 

[digZ]

It's happened twice in the last 9 years that a 12 didn't beat a 5. It's not something that HAS to happen, although that is the common thought.

Also saw an interesting analysis from a guy at GopherHole showing that the 5-12 upset isn't that sure of a bet when it's a low or mid major playing against a high major as the 5 seed. The win percentage drops to ~25%. However when the high major is the 12 seed, the upset occurs much more frequently, closer to 75%. So basically the statistical significance of always picking a 5/12 upset is only really strong when the 12 seed is a high major type opponent.

It'd be ironic if Minnesota ended up being a 5 seed loser though lol.

 

[Doc]

Little Ricky's gotta man up and play his big guy with the fouls.

 

[Desiigner]

lol Minnesota had no chance

 

[CycloneWanderer]

Also saw an interesting analysis from a guy at GopherHole showing that the 5-12 upset isn't that sure of a bet when it's a low or mid major playing against a high major as the 5 seed. The win percentage drops to ~25%. However when the high major is the 12 seed, the upset occurs much more frequently, closer to 75%. So basically the statistical significance of always picking a 5/12 upset is only really strong when the 12 seed is a high major type opponent.

It'd be ironic if Minnesota ended up being a 5 seed loser though lol.

It'd sure make that 25% number accurate this year though.

 

[Daserop]

come on Vandy. My perfect bracket is still on the line!

 

[NoCreativity]

lol Minnesota had no chance

That was the easiest 12 over 5 upset in recent memory. Minnesota had no business being a 5 seed.

 

[LindenCy]

Great looking like all 5's are going to have won before our game. This is not good.

No need to worry, MTSt has the hookup. I really think they were underseeded at 12, but I guess if you only go off this year there are some bad losses.

 

[Desiigner]

That was the easiest 12 over 5 upset in recent memory. Minnesota had no business being a 5 seed.

The only reason they're a 5 seed is because they did decent in a bad big 10. They should be a 6-8 seed

 

[CycloneErik]

Also saw an interesting analysis from a guy at GopherHole showing that the 5-12 upset isn't that sure of a bet when it's a low or mid major playing against a high major as the 5 seed. The win percentage drops to ~25%. However when the high major is the 12 seed, the upset occurs much more frequently, closer to 75%. So basically the statistical significance of always picking a 5/12 upset is only really strong when the 12 seed is a high major type opponent.

It'd be ironic if Minnesota ended up being a 5 seed loser though lol.

I'm intrigued. I always thought that everything higher than 11 was basically reserved for the non-high major schools.

 

[Bret44]

Minne making a run....

 

[bawbie]

Here come the Gophers. down to a 7 pt game.