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***Official 2023 Weather Thread***

E IA needs eyes to the sky tomorrow. There are probably going to be a lot of people out ne about in relation to the Clarkeyes and away from their safe spots and out in vehicles. Don’t get caught out without a plan

 
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MNCYWX said:
East of I35 will be fun. Damaging wind at tornado potential look robust from individual cells that fire initially along warm front just north of the MN/IA border front and trailing down cold front. Should tend to form a squall line with time but think spin-up tornadoes along it will be a thing. Hail probably isn't accounted for as high as I think it could be with a 'cool' early season setup.

Up my way... Thinking I'll be seeing 45° to 70° over about a 20 mile difference. Bonkers. Then we'll close with a few inches of snow.
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It looks like the tornado threat along the IA/MN border is quite a bit lower than the Cedar Rapids area, correct?
 
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Al_4_State said:
It looks like the tornado threat along the IA/MN border is quite a bit lower than the Cedar Rapids area, correct?
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In deciphering these maps were talking about a 15% chance in the red and something less than 15% but not 0% in the other areas.so it’s a pretty tight gradient whichecer way you look at.
 
Gunnerclone said:
In deciphering these maps were talking about a 15% chance in the red and something less than 15% but not 0% in the other areas.so it’s a pretty tight gradient whichecer way you look at.
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So you're saying that I'm totally safe and in the clear, got it.
 
I'm not 100% proficient in reading forecast discussions but the 3:30 update seems to have moved it further east again, no?

Mentions initial firing at 380 rather than 35.
 
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1UNI2ISU said:
I'm not 100% proficient in reading forecast discussions but the 3:30 update seems to have moved it further east again, no?

Mentions initial firing at 380 rather than 35.
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That’s what it’s looking like on the models but beware the late starts from the models. Should have a much better idea every hour from here on right up to the event.

 
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1UNI2ISU said:
Keep moving south and east.
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The latest NAMNEST which hasn't been too bad at forecasting has it slowing a bit and now has storm development between Omaha and Des Moines which would mean the central Iowa area would be getting some of this around 4pm tomorrow.

Going to be interesting to see how this unfolds. Looks like a classic set up.
 
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trevn said:
I live in the Cedar Rapids area and just got a notice they are letting out school 3 hours early tomorrow. Can’t remember the last time they announced an early out a full day ahead of non-winter weather.
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I hadn't heard that yet. Fridays are early outs anyway. Uh oh
 
cowgirl836 said:
Hmm hopefully the worst staying just south of us but parents place is not in a great spot there......
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Call the folks and tell them to raise their building insurance, I'd bet dollars to donuts they are under insured. We were when the Dec tornado thumped us a couple of yrs ago.
 
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NWICY said:
Call the folks and tell them to raise their building insurance, I'd bet dollars to donuts they are under insured. We were when the Dec tornado thumped us a couple of yrs ago.
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Hmm good point. Animals mostly all gone now so I'm not sure if they made changes when that happened.
 
Already told our son in IC to keep his eyes and ears open. I see they already cancelled the Iowa women’s watch party at Carver Hawkeye Arena for tomorrow night.
 
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