***Official 2023 Weather Thread***

[3TrueFans]

Hey. **** you.

 

[BCClone]

I swear to god, it’s mostly gone now.

Not here. Still large snowbanks.

 

[Clonefan420]

Not here. Still large snowbanks.

Those will stay for a bit, the yard is cleared.

 

[BCClone]

Those will stay for a bit, the yard is cleared.

My yard is a complete snowbank. We got hit in NC Iowa a lot.

 

[NWICY]

I believe a couple a yrs ago a gal died hiking Mt Washington in the winter. Weather turned and she got caught in it. The white mountains aren't a place to screw around in the winter.

 

[mynameisjonas]

Meh….I’ll just do the sidewalk and make a path for the mailman. 40’s almost every day.

 

[cycloner29]

Flying out of DSM on Friday morning. My luck it will be crappy driving conditions from Ames to the airport.

 

[BigBake]

Really hoping for all rain or not enough snow to stick.

 

[snowcraig2.0]

 

[wxman1]

This is probably the toughest forecast of the season thus far.

 

[snowcraig2.0]

This is probably the toughest forecast of the season thus far.

What are you thinking?

 

[cyclonespiker33]

What are you thinking?

@wxman1 make sure your estimate is to the tenth of an inch

 

[Trice]

@wxman1 make sure your estimate is to the tenth of an inch

No ranges!

 

[wxman1]

What are you thinking?

There is going to be heavy precipitation, the question is does it fall as moderate rain at the surface or does the atmosphere cool just enough for the entire column to keep it as snow without melting. If/when it does switch in those heavier precip bands it will exceed 1" per hour of accumulation. It is right on the hairy edge of a degree or so completely changing things.

Also it will be VERY wet and heavy.

@wxman1 make sure your estimate is to the tenth of an inch

What are you my wife?

 

[CascadeClone]

@wxman1 make sure your estimate is to the tenth of an inch

And specified per quarter section.

 

[jmb]

There is going to be heavy precipitation, the question is does it fall as moderate rain at the surface or does the atmosphere cool just enough for the entire column to keep it as snow without melting. If/when it does switch in those heavier precip bands it will exceed 1" per hour of accumulation. It is right on the hairy edge of a degree or so completely changing things.

Also it will be VERY wet and heavy.

What are you my wife?

Have the courage to make a call! jkjk

 

[snowcraig2.0]

@wxman1 make sure your estimate is to the tenth of an inch

In my world, a tenth of an inch can make all the difference......

 

[Al_4_State]

There is going to be heavy precipitation, the question is does it fall as moderate rain at the surface or does the atmosphere cool just enough for the entire column to keep it as snow without melting. If/when it does switch in those heavier precip bands it will exceed 1" per hour of accumulation. It is right on the hairy edge of a degree or so completely changing things.

Also it will be VERY wet and heavy.

What are you my wife?

I'm in far NE IA (Cresco area) and we had a winter storm watch issued yesterday for 4-9" of snow, and now this AM everyone's calling for a trace of accumulation.

This feels like either a dud or a complete disaster.

 

[wxman1]

I'm in far NE IA (Cresco area) and we had a winter storm watch issued yesterday for 4-9" of snow, and now this AM everyone's calling for a trace of accumulation.

This feels like either a dud or a complete disaster.

It has shifted some but yeah it is an incredibly hard one to forecast and there is a fair amount of disagreement, even between NWS offices. Blackhawk and Tama county are in DSM's Count Warning Area (CWA) while Benton, Buchanan and Linn are in DVNs. Notice anything odd about this image that would lead you to think there is disagreement between them?

 

[Al_4_State]

It has shifted some but yeah it is an incredibly hard one to forecast and there is a fair amount of disagreement, even between NWS offices. Blackhawk and Tama county are in DSM's Count Warning Area (CWA) while Benton, Buchanan and Linn are in DVNs. Notice anything odd about this image that would lead you to think there is disagreement between them?

View attachment 109417

Whole lot of "weather neatly following county lines" is what that looks like.