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***Official 2013 Bracketology Thread***

ajk4st8 said:
Illinois at 2-7 in the big 10 has some serious work to do
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83Clone says Illinois should not be in as of today, and that makes face-value sense, but your comment of "serious work to do" describes it a little better.

Illinois is still in with good top 25 wins and 3 of the top-25 RPI losses are top-25. I considered Illini around 8/9 seed. But I dropped it a couple lines, because there's the other side of it, have taken zero advantage of any good wins lately, even at home.
 
Bracketology as of Sunday:

America East(1): Stony Brook
Atlantic 10(4): Butler, VCU, La Salle, Saint Louis
ACC(4): Miami(FL), Duke, NC State, North Carolina
Atlantic Sun(1): Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12(6): Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Baylor, Iowa State
Big East(7): Syracuse, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Pittsburgh
Big Sky(1): Montana
Big South(1): Charleston Southern
Big Ten(6): Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota
Big West(1): Long Beach State
CAA(1): Northeastern
Conference USA(2): Southern Miss, Memphis
Horizon League(1): Valparaiso
Ivy League(1): Harvard
MAAC(1): Niagara
MAC(1): Akron
MEAC(1): North Carolina Central
Missouri Valley(2): Creighton, Wichita State
Mountain West(5): New Mexico, Colorado State, San Diego State, UNLV, Boise State
Northeast(1): Bryant University
OVC(1): Belmont
Pac-12(5): Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State, UCLA, Colorado
Patriot(1): Lehigh
SEC(4): Florida, Ole Miss, Kentucky, Missouri
Southern(1): Davidson
Southland(1): Stephen F. Austin
SWAC(1): Southern
Summit(1): South Dakota State
Sun Belt(1): Middle Tennessee State
West Coast(3): Gonzaga, Saint Mary's, BYU
WAC(1): Louisiana Tech

Last 4 In:
Saint Louis
Saint Mary's
BYU
Boise State

First 4 Out:
Alabama
Temple
Illinois
Maryland

Next 4 Out:
Bucknell
Air Force
Charlotte
Stanford

Iowa State is solidly in the field right now in my opinion. They win a couple of road games and can take care of business at home besides maybe Kansas, they will make the NCAA tournament. The bubble right now is very weak with Saint Mary's and BYU in my field. The Power 6 bubble teams have gotta step it up.
 
The conferences I think can cause the bubble major trouble if the top team(s) does not win the conference tournament:

Conference USA - If Memphis does not win, but another team does, CUSA then gets 2 teams in
MAC - If Akron can run the table, but lose in the title game, I think you can see the MAC get 2 teams in
MVC - If Creighton or Wichita don't win, MVC gets 3
MWC - This is such a crazy league, I can see Wyoming or Air Force possibly winning the tournament.
OVC - If Belmont does not win the tournament, OVC is getting 2 teams. Book it.
Patriot - Both Bucknell and Lehigh have to meet in the championship game for this league to possibly get 2 teams

I don't think the WAC, Summit or Southland conference can get more than one team, but I would give the edge to Louisiana Tech in the WAC if thy can run the table. They would need to get into their conference championship game to have a chance as an At Large.
 
Mumbai1986 said:
The conferences I think can cause the bubble major trouble if the top team(s) does not win the conference tournament:

Conference USA - If Memphis does not win, but another team does, CUSA then gets 2 teams in
MAC - If Akron can run the table, but lose in the title game, I think you can see the MAC get 2 teams in
MVC - If Creighton or Wichita don't win, MVC gets 3
MWC - This is such a crazy league, I can see Wyoming or Air Force possibly winning the tournament.
OVC - If Belmont does not win the tournament, OVC is getting 2 teams. Book it.
Patriot - Both Bucknell and Lehigh have to meet in the championship game for this league to possibly get 2 teams

I don't think the WAC, Summit or Southland conference can get more than one team, but I would give the edge to Louisiana Tech in the WAC if thy can run the table. They would need to get into their conference championship game to have a chance as an At Large.
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Good list for the most part.

I'm not sold on Akron as possible non-auto in MAC, although it could be on the radar.

You're probably correct about Belmont, and MWC seems open to something freaky.

MVC could get three regardless (w/ Indiana State) -- unlikely a fourth team could win the bid, but it's possible.

Another league to watch for bid-stealing: A-10.
 
Mumbai1986 said:
The conferences I think can cause the bubble major trouble if the top team(s) does not win the conference tournament:

Conference USA - If Memphis does not win, but another team does, CUSA then gets 2 teams in
MAC - If Akron can run the table, but lose in the title game, I think you can see the MAC get 2 teams in
MVC - If Creighton or Wichita don't win, MVC gets 3
MWC - This is such a crazy league, I can see Wyoming or Air Force possibly winning the tournament.
OVC - If Belmont does not win the tournament, OVC is getting 2 teams. Book it.
Patriot - Both Bucknell and Lehigh have to meet in the championship game for this league to possibly get 2 teams

I don't think the WAC, Summit or Southland conference can get more than one team, but I would give the edge to Louisiana Tech in the WAC if thy can run the table. They would need to get into their conference championship game to have a chance as an At Large.
Click to expand...

cyclones500 said:
Good list for the most part.

I'm not sold on Akron as possible non-auto in MAC, although it could be on the radar.

You're probably correct about Belmont, and MWC seems open to something freaky.

MVC could get three regardless (w/ Indiana State) -- unlikely a fourth team could win the bid, but it's possible.

Another league to watch for bid-stealing: A-10.
Click to expand...

Nice work out of you two. I agree with cyclones500 on Akron out and Belmont in for at-large bids. Not sure what you mean by the A-10 stealing bids - they're going to get 3 and possibly 4 teams in.

Air Force is interesting. No bad losses. Couple of good wins. RPI is at 64. The rest of their schedule sets up with opportunities for 5 good wins and 2 bad losses. If they win 2 of the tough games (and don't lose to the two bad teams) I think they get an at-large!
 
Cyrok said:
Nice work out of you two. I agree with cyclones500 on Akron out and Belmont in for at-large bids. Not sure what you mean by the A-10 stealing bids - they're going to get 3 and possibly 4 teams in.

Air Force is interesting. No bad losses. Couple of good wins. RPI is at 64. The rest of their schedule sets up with opportunities for 5 good wins and 2 bad losses. If they win 2 of the tough games (and don't lose to the two bad teams) I think they get an at-large!
Click to expand...

A-10 may be a case of still bids from itself, in a way. If we assume Temple has life, for the moment, throw in LaSalle, possibly UMass and Charlotte (I have that team on the bubble, nobody seems to have that on the radar) — 5 in some at-large consideration.
 
I have a hard time seeing the Big 12 getting 6 teams in. I think KU, KSU, OSU, ISU, Baylor are for sure (well knock on wood hopefully for ISU), and OU will be a stretch. I think if the tourney started tomorrow we'd have 6, but these next 2 weeks the 2nd-5th place teams are going to be battling for #2 and #3 in the big 12.
 
My update from the blog:

Current Resume:

Overall Record: 16-6
Conference Record: 6-3
Big Wins: #11 Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma
Bad Losses: @Texas Tech
RPI: 36 (Before OU win)
BPI:33 (Before OU win)

Ken Pomeroy (Before OU win):

The Cyclones today stand at #35 in KenPom's rankings. Last week at this time they stood at #41. The Cyclones should shoot up the rankings tomorrow after the efficient offensive output tonight. They had ISU predicted for 11 conference wins coming into today. That won't go down obviously after tonight's win and may bump up to 12 wins tomorrow.

Bracket Matrix:

The Bracket Matrix has ISU in the field in 57 of the 60 (95%) brackets. This is a significant jump from last week with not all brackets accounting for the OU win. After doing some reading the 90 percent is a key number. When the committee meets in Indianapolis they will have already submitted 32 teams they think should make the field. Any team that is on 9 out of the 10 ballots is put on the "IN" board and are only discussed when it comes to seeding. A win against KSU on Saturday would put ISU in 100 percent of the brackets (or it should).
 
[TABLE="class: wikitable, width: 1"]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Name[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Position[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Jeff Hathaway†[/TD]
[TD]University of Connecticut Athletic Director (retired)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mike Bobinski††[/TD]
[TD]Xavier University Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Ron Wellman[/TD]
[TD]Wake Forest University Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Joe Alleva[/TD]
[TD]LSU Director of Athletics[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lynn Hickey[/TD]
[TD]University of Texas at San Antonio Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Doug Fullerton[/TD]
[TD]Big Sky Conference Commissioner[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Scott Barnes[/TD]
[TD]Utah State University Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Jamie Zaninovich[/TD]
[TD]West Coast Conference Commissioner[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Joe Castiglione[/TD]
[TD]University of Oklahoma Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Steve Orsini[/TD]
[TD]Southern Methodist University Athletic Director[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
cloneteach said:
My update from the blog:

Current Resume:

Overall Record: 16-6
Conference Record: 6-3
Big Wins: #11 Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma
Bad Losses: @Texas Tech
RPI: 36 (Before OU win)
BPI:33 (Before OU win)

Ken Pomeroy (Before OU win):

The Cyclones today stand at #35 in KenPom's rankings. Last week at this time they stood at #41. The Cyclones should shoot up the rankings tomorrow after the efficient offensive output tonight. They had ISU predicted for 11 conference wins coming into today. That won't go down obviously after tonight's win and may bump up to 12 wins tomorrow.

Bracket Matrix:

The Bracket Matrix has ISU in the field in 57 of the 60 (95%) brackets. This is a significant jump from last week with not all brackets accounting for the OU win. After doing some reading the 90 percent is a key number. When the committee meets in Indianapolis they will have already submitted 32 teams they think should make the field. Any team that is on 9 out of the 10 ballots is put on the "IN" board and are only discussed when it comes to seeding. A win against KSU on Saturday would put ISU in 100 percent of the brackets (or it should).
Click to expand...

Good update, thanks. :spinny:
 
I wouldnt mind them being an 8 or 9 seed. Gives them a chance to be the talk of the tournament after the first weekend. I also wouldnt mind them winning out and being a 4 or 5 seed
 
Being a 10 or 11 seed would be perfect for this team. I think we would match up very well with a #6 or #7 seed, and then I think we would have a decent chance against a #2 or #3 seed on the next round. The #1 seeds are looking really dominant. Indiana, Michigan, Florida, and Kansas. Though Kansas is beatable, we nearly accomplished that feat! Perfect situation for ISU would be as an #11 seed. We can beat a #6 seed and a #3 seed. If our shot is on, we have a chance.

According to Bracket Matrix, these could be our opponents

Round 1
#6 seed: NC State, UNLV, Georgetown, Wichita State
#7 seed: San Diego State, Pittsburgh, Missouri, Wisconsin

Round 2
#3 seed: Gonzaga, Louisville, Michigan State, Ohio State
#2 seed: Duke, Arizona, Miami, Syracuse
 
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