Non Con Schedule
- Thread starter rholtgraves
- Start date
You are welcome. I like this analysis stuff. It is good practice.
I feel like THT should be allotted some time at SF. He's big and athletic enough imo.And because I find this fun, based on the BART playing time projections...
Assuming NWB plays 75% of his 33.6 minutes at PG and the remainder at SG.
DISTRIBUTION OF MINUTES BY POSITION
View attachment 57494
View attachment 57495
View attachment 57496
MOST LIKELY LINEUPS
This assumes the distributions above and the players drawn are "random," not somehow correlated with each other for strategic reasons or otherwise.
It shows the minutes played by each out of 1,400 potential minutes -- the 31 games that we know we have plus assumed four postseason games.
View attachment 57498
Seems reasonable, no? I know it probably under-emphasizes the starting lineup and actual rotations, but seems within the realm of the possible.
I made this as a widget where I can change parameters, too.
I want to see a lineup of NWB, Wigg, THT, Shayok, Lard
Small-ball 1-4 with a killer rim runner in Lard would be a lot of fun
That lineup might score 120 per 100 possessions but give up 119.
It would be fun either way, though!
Regarding THT, I agree, but there are only 200 minutes per game to go around. I was following their projections, which gave him only 10 (which is probably low but, hey, sometimes highly-touted freshmen under-perform, it happens) minutes. There was a bit of a logjam at SF between Shayok, Talley, and spot minutes for Lewis and Griffin, so I kept him a "pure" SG.
Others pointed out the NDSU game as a challenge being that it’s right before the Cyhawk game. Although it won’t be a cakewalk, I am more apprehensive about that Texas Southern matchup. See if I’m not right. The fact that Mike Davis is no longer Coach has me doubting my original “trap game” prediction a little, but will see.
I'll say 10-3 OOC...
I'm thinking 1-2 or 2-1 in Maui. 2-1 or 1-2 in the group of games vs P5 teams (3-0 possible here but Missouri will be good, you never know with the CyHok game on the road, and that SEC/Big 12 challenge is flukey). 7-0 the rest of the way.
10-8 in conference.
Was 2 wins short with the conference wins prediction in 2016 and 2 wins too many with the 2017 prediction I believe.
Big blow to Gonzaga going into Maui... and a possible matchup for the Cyclones.
Rob Dauster
Verified account
@RobDauster Gonzaga announced that Killian Tillie will miss eight weeks with a stress fracture in his foot. That’s a major blow. He’ll be out during non-conference play, which is really the only chance Gonzaga will have to get the wins they need to get a good seed. Not good.
@RobDauster My bad. It’s his ankle. Gonzaga still beat Michigan State without Tillie over the weekend. “Legit top three in the country,” a source there said.
Rob Dauster
Verified account
@RobDauster Gonzaga announced that Killian Tillie will miss eight weeks with a stress fracture in his foot. That’s a major blow. He’ll be out during non-conference play, which is really the only chance Gonzaga will have to get the wins they need to get a good seed. Not good.
@RobDauster My bad. It’s his ankle. Gonzaga still beat Michigan State without Tillie over the weekend. “Legit top three in the country,” a source there said.
Think Rob has got his wires crossed, Zags and Spartans don't play each other.
I think the big concern will be if we have the whole team playing. Sounds like Solo is likely out until conference play, so that will impact all the games listed in the non-con schedule. We have yet to learn how long any potential for Lard will be. If we have the whole team I have more confidence.
I’ll say 11-2 or possibly 12-1...We play Ole Miss at home in SEc challenge and they are not good..Mizzou without Porter won’t beat us at home..I think we lose to Zags rd 2 in Maui and the Iowa game u never know..it is literally their super bowl every year..This is a do or die year for Fran and some kid from Iowa on their team will have a career night like Pemsl did last year never to be heard from again.
Oddly, I like our matchup with Iowa a lot more with Lard/Jacobsen and Tally playing. We can actually rebound with them with the bigs we have..But we likely stay small ball and make them run.
Oddly, I like our matchup with Iowa a lot more with Lard/Jacobsen and Tally playing. We can actually rebound with them with the bigs we have..But we likely stay small ball and make them run
.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-b...ern-rallies-for-72-69-upset-opener-at-baylor/
Not a colossal upset but a team I said not to overlook as an automatic W.
Not a colossal upset but a team I said not to overlook as an automatic W.
#20 TCU avoided an upset bid late last night by CSU-Bakersfield. While that happens,
"The Horned Frogs fell behind early in their first opener as a ranked team since 1998-99. That preseason ranking was after the Horned Frogs had gone to the 1998 NCAA Tournament, their last one before making it last March in the second season for coach Jamie Dixon at his alma mater.
Cal State Bakersfield, which like TCU was in the NIT semifinals two seasons ago, jumped ahead 29-18 less than 12 minutes into the game, and led 37-28 at halftime."
Notable though that Jaylen Fisher is still being held out if he is unable to play or is limited TCU is vulnerable.
"TCU opened the season without junior point guard Jaylen Fisher, who will miss at least a couple of weeks while recovering from arthroscopic surgery on his right knee in September. He missed the final 16 games last season after torn meniscus in that knee."
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/recap?gameId=401083509
"The Horned Frogs fell behind early in their first opener as a ranked team since 1998-99. That preseason ranking was after the Horned Frogs had gone to the 1998 NCAA Tournament, their last one before making it last March in the second season for coach Jamie Dixon at his alma mater.
Cal State Bakersfield, which like TCU was in the NIT semifinals two seasons ago, jumped ahead 29-18 less than 12 minutes into the game, and led 37-28 at halftime."
Notable though that Jaylen Fisher is still being held out if he is unable to play or is limited TCU is vulnerable.
"TCU opened the season without junior point guard Jaylen Fisher, who will miss at least a couple of weeks while recovering from arthroscopic surgery on his right knee in September. He missed the final 16 games last season after torn meniscus in that knee."
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/recap?gameId=401083509
I think our fans should be aware that there's a 99.9% chance we'll go 0-3 in Maui.
Because I will be there.
Because I will be there.
