*** Monte Morris NBA Analysis/Assumptions ***
- Thread starter Cydkar
- Start date
Most projections seems to have him as a late second rounder if he declares next year. That seems about right. I think the only way he is a first rounder is if he has two monster years as an upper classmen, and ISU makes some serious noise in the post season.
Seniors hardly ever get drafted high. If MM comes back for his senior year, he either got hurt or we had a terrible season.
Or we lost the national championship game on a buzzer beater and he comes back because he had unfinished business..I like my story better!
Yes, I agree. I don't think he'll be drafted high either way. That's why I don't think he'll come out his junior year. No one leaves school to be a second round pick.
Prohm seems to be a PG whisperer, made Cameron Payne a lottery pick, can't imagine what he's going to do with Monte.
Plenty of guys leave early to be second round picks each year, look at the second round of any draft.
The majority (not all) of them either are under the false pretense that they will be a first round pick, or just do not enjoy college.
Obviously there are exceptions, but most people that know they'll be mid-late second round, or not drafted at all do not leave early. The people that left early that end up getting drafted late second round are the guys you hear Bilas/Francilla/etc questioning, and saying they listened to the wrong people.
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Ill take this but prefer he wants to come back to repeat a national championship victory. Dont want to deal with the heart break of a buzzer beater
Not at all. But don't you think coaching had a little to do with it? Wasn't he under Prohm for 2 years? (Can't remember)
No doubt, just the way it was worded seemed to sell Monte as the better player hands down which definitely isn't the case
60+ guys are told they will be first round picks. They listen to bad information. Obviously there's some exceptions, but a lot of guys leave early expecting a place in the NBA and don't get it. Then later regret leaving early.
Even most of the elite point guards and shooting guards do not shoot 45% in three point shots. Examples last year Russell Westbrook 29.9% James Harden 37.5% Kevin Durant 40.3% Lebron James 35.4% Carmelo Anthony 34.1% Steph Curry is the only one who came close at 44.3%. Pella High grad Kyle Korver had the best 3pt% for the third time last year at 49.2% but that is extremely rare.
Only 17 players of any playing position made 45% of their 3 pt shots last year including one player who made 100% making 1 of 1, ha. Most of the higher percentage shooters each year are shooting guards and not point guards anyway.
Only six of those 17 players even played in half of the regular season games. They just got lucky in the few shots they took and are not considered in the race for the best 3pt shooter in the league for last year.
http://stats.nba.com/league/player/#!/?sort=FG3_PCT&dir=1
Fred had the best 3pt% in 2004-2005 at 48.28% and I think he was second the year before. The month before the season ended in 2005 Fred was ahead of Steve Kerr's all time 3pt shooting percentge but got an injury and finished below Steve's highest year. Kyle Korver broke Kerr's record in 2009-2010. You want to remember the year's record at the link below is just the best of the best not the normal 3pt%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NBA_season_leaders_in_three-point_field_goal_percentage
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So do they not have Niang in the top 60? I realize they draft based on potential, but I can't imagine they'd take some of those 19 year old kids over a proven Niang.
Frank Kaminsky just got drafted in the Top 10 and he was a senior. McDermott went #11 in '14. McCollum went #10 in '13. I am betting Morris will be gone after this season unless he doesn't show a bump in his jump shooting ability. If his percentages drop from deep NBA scouts may cool on him. If he did decide to come back, being a senior wouldn't prevent him from getting drafted high. Shooting poorly would do that. There's a spot for him in the NBA if he can get that outside shot down better and be at least a consistent threat to score from out there.
That's a pretty unrealistic number. Maybe 42-43% would be a more reasonable target. He isn't looking to go into the NBA as a shooting guard. Only 43 players in all of college basketball shot 45% or better from three last year and I doubt of many, if any, were point guards. He just has to get more consistent on both his hits and misses. Scouts watch not only how many you miss but how many of your misses had a chance to be a make.