I'd say 33% chance. Virginia is a very underrated team and playing on the road, so I could see us losing that one. I do think we will win at Nebraska, totally overrated in my book. I'd say we'd be closer to 13-3 than anything else.
Chances of being 14-2 going into KU game?
- Thread starter CloneJob
- Start date
Even if we are 14-2, it won't matter much. With our terrible non-conference schedule we'll need to win 10 conference games to get into the dance. That's certainly not going to happen.
I still think the NIT is possible. The Virginia game is almost must win for that IMO.
I still think the NIT is possible. The Virginia game is almost must win for that IMO.
I think we as fans had better temper the tourney talk, even if we're sitting at a 14-2 record heading into conference. 20 wins isn't going to get us into the tournament - not if we're sitting on a 6-10 conference record. The quality of those 14 wins is suspect, not that many teams that are that "poor" in conference record find their way into the tournament, and I would almost guarantee that if we're sitting at 20-12 (6-10) we're not going to the NCAAs, and even the NIT would be a longshot.
This isn't to take away from what Hoiberg and the Men's team have and/or will accomplish this year - I think he and they are doing an incredible job, especially considering it's his first year and the circumstances they found themselves in going into this year. I just think if ISU is going to find its way into the Tourney, assuming the 14-2 noncon, it'll have to be at least 22-10 (8-8), and that's an extremely tall order with this team and this conference. I'm not saying it's not doable, I'm just not expecting it this year
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
Virginia is up-and-down and somewhat unpredictable. There's a decent chance to beat them and a decent chance for a terrible night.
Nebraska is just awful. I know that we struggle on the road, but I still have trouble being nervous about Nebraska.
Nebraska is just awful. I know that we struggle on the road, but I still have trouble being nervous about Nebraska.
We'll probably need to finish with a record of 23-8 (13-2, 10-6) to even be on the NCAA bubble. That's not going to happen. I wish people would just stop with the tournament talk.
Last edited:
CA will be in the house to **** off all 4 of their fans again this year too. :yes:
You are right that people should start to temper their expectations for the tourney but I disagree and think that if we went 10-6 in the BigXII this year we would be a "lock". 8-8 in the BigXII puts us on the bubble.
With that said, I'd be VERY surprised with anything better than 6-10. Here's hoping to me being surprised!
I agree. 8-8 puts us on the bubble and we'd need at least two wins in the conference tournament to get serious consideration.
I would agree that if we're sitting at 24-8 (10-6) we're a tourney lock. At that point we would have made up for our lack of quality wins in the noncon with a number of quality wins in conference. And I agree I would be stunned if that happened this year.
we dont have ANY good non-conference wins, the Cal loss will come back to be really bad, they are terrible, I wouldn't be surprised if they finish 9th or 10th in the Pac 10...
Those two predictions are probably equally as likely to actually happen.
Any thoughts on 2014?
And year I don't think anyone should be disappointed in. Most of us are still in the honeymoon phase with Freddie but we need to remember how little head coaching experience he has, the postseason would just as valuable to his learning as a coach as it would be to our players improving. Also the prospect of hosting a postseason game could help get Hilton back rockin!
Yay! CyBookie time!
14-2 would be approx +400
13-3 would be approx -120
12-4 would be approx +120
11-5/10-6 would be off the board
I think we'll be 12-4 heading into the Kansas game. Respectable, but not great. I'm still trying to keep my expectations as leveled as possible, but I'm not ruling out 13-3 (or better).
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
We're on the fence right now about making the trip. Since it's the last time, there's probably a good chance that we do it.
If we can somehow stroll into the Kansas game 14-2, I'm feeling upset against either them or Baylor that week. We'd be confident and Hilton will be packed. Here's to hoping that happens.
Realistically though, 14-2 and 12-4 at this point are about even on probability. It just depends if we rebound and make our shots.
Realistically though, 14-2 and 12-4 at this point are about even on probability. It just depends if we rebound and make our shots.
