Can Iowa stop the spread?

[CyBroncos]

The first quarter is going to be huge. If Arnaud comes out and plays solid and we can control the clock, we got a chance. If our offense struggles early and Iowa comes out clicking and they can run the ball well to set up Stanzi, we're in for a long day. We can't come from behind against that defense so getting ahead or playing even early will be critical.

 

[tazclone]

Iowa actually had a pretty good redzone defense, if you take a closer look at the numbers. They allowed 29 trips into the redzone. Opponents scored 24 times (83%). However, 10 of those scores were field goals (42% of all redzone scores allowed). For comparison, look at ISU's redzone defense (which finished #2): 48 trips, 32 scores. 27 of those scores were TD's (84% of all redzone scores allowed). I'll take a redzone defense that allows scores 83% of the time if they're forcing a lot of field goals over a redzone defense that allows scores just 67% of the time, but gives up a lot of TD's.

Now, back to Arnaud. I'm not sure if he really struggles with the short passes per se, but he has seemed reluctant to stay patient. He can move the offense if he stays patient, but too often he gets antsy and wants to make the BIG play. That's when he gets into trouble. I'm not sure if he's the right QB to beat Iowa. Up to this point, he's just not been patient enough.

Arnaud or Herman?
or both?
Still remains that we have to get into the redzone to score. If you try to get the big play agianst iowa, they will beat you. that is what we tried lastyear. That is what we tried the last time in iowa city.

And really, points are points. We just ned to score. If we get in the redzone we have a good shot at points. If we don't we won't score at all.

 

[maintain242001]

They gave up close to 30 points every spread team they played last year. With the obvious exception to Iowa State.. but lets be real here, it takes time to learn a new offense. Not to mention we didn't have SJ, Darks, or Money at receiver. They are gonna have a hard time stopping us this year.

Anyone else still trying to figure this one out....how in the heck does anything add up "close to 30 points" as he said.

 

[tazclone]

He wasn't referring to the past 5 years (they've beaten us fair and square). The last minute luck he was referring to in last year's game was the phantom holding call that brought back Wegher's long TD run in the 4th quarter.

I figured he was refering to stanzi getting hurt and fumbling in the endzone. That is the reason most hok fans give for losing to NW. And really when a QB gets sacked inthe endzone and fumbles, a play has been made, not really luck.

ah the "phantom" holding call. Yes, it was the officials that won the game for NW. Why is it a team never ever beats iowa? They just get lucky?

 

[tazclone]

Anyone else still trying to figure this one out....how in the heck does anything add up "close to 30 points" as he said.

It doesn't add up. The poster was either drunk or not thinking.

 

[heitclone]

This game will complete come down to Arnaud. He was the reason for the loss last year, he knows it. can he become the reason for the win this year?

I won't totally disagree with AA getting a lot of the blame but last years Iowa game was the WORST playcalling we had all year. We came out trying to be to be aggressive and throw new stuff at the Hawks instead of playing to our strengths. Arnaud and Arob need to be involved early and often to have any kind of a shot. Iowa plays too good ahead, not only on the scoreboard but on down and distance for us to come out flat. If AA is put in good situations he'll be fine, if he expected to go out and win the game in the first quarter, it will get ugly.

 

[tazclone]

Iowa actually had a pretty good redzone defense, if you take a closer look at the numbers. They allowed 29 trips into the redzone. Opponents scored 24 times (83%). However, 10 of those scores were field goals (42% of all redzone scores allowed). For comparison, look at ISU's redzone defense (which finished #2): 48 trips, 32 scores. 27 of those scores were TD's (84% of all redzone scores allowed). I'll take a redzone defense that allows scores 83% of the time if they're forcing a lot of field goals over a redzone defense that allows scores just 67% of the time, but gives up a lot of TD's.

Now, back to Arnaud. I'm not sure if he really struggles with the short passes per se, but he has seemed reluctant to stay patient. He can move the offense if he stays patient, but too often he gets antsy and wants to make the BIG play. That's when he gets into trouble. I'm not sure if he's the right QB to beat Iowa. Up to this point, he's just not been patient enough.

60% of the TDs that iowa allowed came from within the redzone (14 out of 23). 100% of field goals that iowa allowed came from inside the redzone (13 out of 13).
We have not been successful going deep on iowa defense or getting big plays on iowa's defense (nor have many people).
We have a better than average redzone offense.


We have a better chance of scoring by getting into the redzone.

 

[tazclone]

I won't totally disagree with AA getting a lot of the blame but last years Iowa game was the WORST playcalling we had all year. We came out trying to be to be aggressive and throw new stuff at the Hawks instead of playing to our strengths. Arnaud and Arob need to be involved early and often to have any kind of a shot. Iowa plays too good ahead, not only on the scoreboard but on down and distance for us to come out flat. If AA is put in good situations he'll be fine, if he expected to go out and win the game in the first quarter, it will get ugly.

I am not a fan of Herman's play calling against iowa but we played to our strength. We ran the ball 34 times to 31 passing attempts. We actually ran more in the third than we passed. Even in the fourth we were 50/50. We stayed balanced the whole game. EW were not crisp with the short passing game at that time either.
The problem was going deep across the middle or trying to get the big plays.

 

[Palmer]

stop the spread of what?......

 

[ISUSwimmer]

We will score a TD this year. ARob will go for over 150 opening up the passing game. We will use our tight ends well and AA will have less picks(hopefully way less since 3 is technically less so we will hope for 2 or less).

Just my opinion.....:notworthy:

 

[heitclone]

I am not a fan of Herman's play calling against iowa but we played to our strength. We ran the ball 34 times to 31 passing attempts. We actually ran more in the third than we passed. Even in the fourth we were 50/50. We stayed balanced the whole game. EW were not crisp with the short passing game at that time either.
The problem was going deep across the middle or trying to get the big plays.

I think the numbers were a bit skewed due to the game being in the bag fairly early, but it was more just poor timing of the big play attempts. Iowa is patient and just waits for these opportunities, its no coincidence that Sash and Co were in position to make the plays they did.

 

[tm3308]

60% of the TDs that iowa allowed came from within the redzone (14 out of 23). 100% of field goals that iowa allowed came from inside the redzone (13 out of 13).
We have not been successful going deep on iowa defense or getting big plays on iowa's defense (nor have many people).
We have a better than average redzone offense.


We have a better chance of scoring by getting into the redzone.

Don't get me wrong, I wasn't trying to knock ISU's redzone defense from last year. They were just at the top of the list. They were certainly a better than average redzone defense. But that % alone is not necessarily the best indicator of just how good a defense is inside the 20, as I tried to illustrate.