How serious was the James Washington ankle injury? Kept him out in the 2nd half vs OU. Wonder if he'll play next week or be effective.
Big 12 Title Game Chances
- Thread starter cyIclSoneU
- Start date
How serious was the James Washington ankle injury? Kept him out in the 2nd half vs OU. Wonder if he'll play next week or be effective.
As long as TCU beats Texas, I only see one scenario where we don't make the Big 12 title game if we win out. TCU & WVU would both need to beat OU. That would be TCU with 1 loss and us tied with WVU. Other than that, We'll either be in a 4 way tie with WVU, OU, TCU (where ISU & WVU would make it due to both being 2-1 in round robin) or a 3 way tie with 2 of those teams in which one of those teams would be 0-2 (not us).
The 3 way tie would be for 1st with TCU or OU and WVU (we'd play WVU). Other scenarios lead to a tie with TCU or OU for 2nd (which we would win).
*I may have missed a scenario, but this is what I figured out in the last 15 minutes thanks to Excel.
The 3 way tie would be for 1st with TCU or OU and WVU (we'd play WVU). Other scenarios lead to a tie with TCU or OU for 2nd (which we would win).
*I may have missed a scenario, but this is what I figured out in the last 15 minutes thanks to Excel.
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Here is what we need (based on TCU beating Texas tonight)
ISU
OSU- W
BU- W
KSU- W
OU
TCU- W
KU- L
WU- L
OSU
ISU- L
KSU- W
KU- W
TCU
OU- L
TT- W
BU- W
WVU
KSU- W/L
UT- Opposite of KSU game
OU- W
Boom ISU wins the Big 12
ISU
OSU- W
BU- W
KSU- W
OU
TCU- W
KU- L
WU- L
OSU
ISU- L
KSU- W
KU- W
TCU
OU- L
TT- W
BU- W
WVU
KSU- W/L
UT- Opposite of KSU game
OU- W
Boom ISU wins the Big 12
We play one bad half of football in a game that is pretty inconsequential with regard to making it to the Big XII title game and suddenly everyone thinks there's no way it happens. Our D just held yet another team who averages 40 pts/gm to 20.
These guys are still good. Just had a brain fart for the first half. It happens.
These guys are still good. Just had a brain fart for the first half. It happens.
Lots to play, but we can't play half a game and expect to win.
Well OU plays TCU yet...SOOOO
One of them has an almost 73.434% chance of having a 2nd loss.
What? One of them has a 100% chance of a 2nd loss?
Check the math!
We've just confirmed that the math is correct. Iowa State wins out and we're still in the Big12 Championship Game.
OU and TCU still play each other. So as long as ISU wins out, we are in Big12 title game.
Not necessarily WVU. If they beat OU & OU beats TCU, there would be a 4 way tie at 7-2. ISU & WVU would advance in that scenario (WVU 2-1, ISU 2-1, TCU 1-2, OU 1-2).
TCU & WVU both beating OU is the only scenario that would keep us out if we win out.
Texas will lose tonight... WV plays OU at end of year.
So if we win out, we are in Title game.
This.
I think you want OU to beat TCU, because if TCU win that game they will almost definitely in the title game be in the championship game. Tech and Baylor after OU.
WVU has bit tougher schedule with Texas OU and KSU.
ISU has to Baylor, OSU, KSU.
ISU always had to win 3 of 4 to make the title game, now they need win the next 3.
They do they will be in absolutely.
Pretty cool if you ask me, if you told me in August that ISU could play its way into the title game come November I would have taken it.
This just isn't true. They have a good chance of making it, but not a 100% chance as so many are insinuating. Are you forgetting that we now lose the tiebreaker to WV and Texas?
The defense is fantastic. The offense is as pitiful as the defense is fantastic. This isn't a "one bad half" situation....this is a "offense in conference play has been awful" situation.
Texas has 3 conference losses. We win the next three and we have 2. So the only scenario where we win the next three and potentially miss the Championship is if WV wins their next three (including at OU). Then you have a multiway tie with ISU, WV, OU, and/or TCU each with 2 conference losses. In that very remote scenario it depends on a number of games for how the tiebreakers would ultimately play out. So yes not 100%, but well over 95% chance (based on the projections in the other thread on the topic) of making the Championship if we win the next three.