Big 12 Championship Game Computer Projection

[awd4cy]

I hate that our fate could be in the hands of OU. I really don’t trust them to win in Morgantown. The OU defense is abysmal, and they will be going to a hostile night crowd. OUs offense has such a small room for error with the defense the Sooners have. I think I almost feel better about WVU losing in Stillwater.

 

[ccruzen]

ISU record chances:
7-5: 6.4%
8-4: 55.7%
9-3: 37.9%

Something doesn't seem quite right here

 

[harimad]

Which is the worst loss TCU or Iowa, just based on team?

 

[harimad]

Something doesn't seem quite right here

Huh? It adds up to exactly 100%. I'm pretty sure we're an underdog to Texas, so 8-4 does seem more likely than 9-3.

 

[Cardinal and Gold]

There is a lot of warranted doubt with OU beating WVU in Morgantown, but imo OU football reminds me a lot of Kansas basketball. They will show up when the conference is on the line and pull it off somehow.

 

[madguy30]

So basically we want OU or WVU to lose again before their game in Morgantown.

Things will be off the hizzy if ISU wins this week, and OU beats WV the Friday after.

 

[harimad]

Forget OU beating WVU at this point, I have my doubts about us beating Texas. Our run defense looks quite average during the last two games, and for some reason, we've decided that we can't cover receivers closely either. That's not a winning recipe for a road game at DKR.

I hope Coaches Campbell and Heacock have just been keeping things hidden up their sleeves the last two weeks and are planning something nasty for next Saturday night. Texas is waaaay better than Baylor.

 

[Tailg8er]

Something doesn't seem quite right here

Those are the odds we end up at those records, not the odds we end up in the ship with those records. (Assuming that's maybe how you were interpreting it?)

 

[Dale]

Best scenario:

This week, ISU beats Texas and OSU beats WV.

On Black Friday, OU beats WV.

That would mean Iowa State would be guaranteed second place in the Big 12, no matter what happens in the ISU/KSU game.

 

[SoapyCy]

Best scenario:

This week, ISU beats Texas and OSU beats WV.

On Black Friday, OU beats WV.

That would mean Iowa State would be guaranteed second place in the Big 12, no matter what happens in the ISU/KSU game.

We've had 4 chances to take second place and all 4 have ended with the team we need to win losing. I don't count on anything.

 

[StLouisClone]

Forget OU beating WVU at this point, I have my doubts about us beating Texas. Our run defense looks quite average during the last two games, and for some reason, we've decided that we can't cover receivers closely either. That's not a winning recipe for a road game at DKR.

I hope Coaches Campbell and Heacock have just been keeping things hidden up their sleeves the last two weeks and are planning something nasty for next Saturday night. Texas is waaaay better than Baylor.

The field looked awfully slippery against Baylor. I think that's why Baylor's receivers were able to get so open.

 

[CNECloneFan]

Forget OU beating WVU at this point, I have my doubts about us beating Texas. Our run defense looks quite average during the last two games, and for some reason, we've decided that we can't cover receivers closely either. That's not a winning recipe for a road game at DKR.

I hope Coaches Campbell and Heacock have just been keeping things hidden up their sleeves the last two weeks and are planning something nasty for next Saturday night. Texas is waaaay better than Baylor.

I agree. Baylor exposed a big gap between our blitzes and our down-field coverage.

Oh, sure - I am an old-school Cyclone fan. but I am worried.

Excited as Hell to be here in mid-November. But worried...

 

[madguy30]

Forget OU beating WVU at this point, I have my doubts about us beating Texas. Our run defense looks quite average during the last two games, and for some reason, we've decided that we can't cover receivers closely either. That's not a winning recipe for a road game at DKR.

I hope Coaches Campbell and Heacock have just been keeping things hidden up their sleeves the last two weeks and are planning something nasty for next Saturday night. Texas is waaaay better than Baylor.

Agree with everything else except the bolded.

Iowa State will need to get their **** together and play a good game, but Texas is a team they can simply beat.

 

[BigJCy]

 

[besserheimerphat]

Baylor's version of the spread is different than many others though, generally going over the top or power run between the tackles. That forces the defense to open up a bit in the middle, and they were able to take advantage. Most other teams won't send 2+ guys deep on nearly every play.