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Addressing the Elephant in the Room

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My concern is after watching the Baylor game, OU takes deep shots every other pass.

Baylors secondary was in stride with OU receivers every time which led to bad overthrows.

Our secondary will not be able to keep up with OUs receivers.
 
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I am now hedging my original bet of OU -4 with ISU +3.5. Not losing money on the Cyclones this weekend for a change. Small chance of losing still with a draw on the OU -4 I suppose.
 
Cyinthenorth said:
Iowa State travels to Norman, OK this Saturday in what is a much less-anticipated game than it should be.

ISU opened as a +9 point dog. I see the line currently rests at +4. so the public has apparently lost all faith in OU after a disheartening loss that for all intents and purposes eliminates them from playoff contention.

FAVORABLE BETS: My interpretation is that both of these teams have had underwhelming seasons. ISU to a greater extent, since OU while sputtering, was at least managing to win games until last weekend. What this comes down to, I think, is which team has quit more. OU still has, or should have, Big 12 championship aspirations. But maybe they are ho-hum about it having won so many consecutive, plus they are on their way out. ISU really doesn't have anything to play for at this point, maybe a .5% chance at playing in the Big 12 title game, plus jockeying for bowl game position. Not sure they'll be amped up enough to travel down Norman and come out with a win. They have had serious issues being ready out of the gate for road games this year, and tend to get blitzed especially in the 1st half of these games (Baylor, WVU, TTU). I will be looking to bet on the 1st half line in favor of OU whenever that comes out, not sure what it will be, but probably will bet it in favor of OU. With ISU's performance on the road (1-3 in Big 12 games) I really want to put serious money on the current line of OU -4. It seems like easy money as of today.

REASON FOR PAUSE: I do know that ISU plays well following a loss (blowout W's against UNLV, KU, and UT following 3 previous losses). We also know that this is a game Campbell has had circled for months, thinking the stakes would probably be higher. OU is having QB carousel issues. This makes me less likely to put money on OU -4, but I still am not confident in betting ISU +4 simply for the reasons mentioned above.

Game total is currently at 60, I've got no read there but could see a shootout being more likely than a slog, just with the way our defense has been playing and with both teams pissed off following tough losses.

Anyone else have a read on this one, from a betting perspective?
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I think the recent media surrounding both coaches may have an impact on this game. With both teams coming off of losses it will clearly be a "who wants it more" and who is more mentally prepared rather than who is purely the better team.

The Riley to LSU rumors, even tho they may not be true, will certainly have an impact on OU. Will they be focused? Is Riley fully focused? How will they react? He (last week) spent some time away from the team, which even if not about coaching, is out of the ordinary. Will for sure be interesting to see how his team reacts.

On the other hand, we all have seen the media reaction to CMC's response to the B12 championship "goal." According to twitter and the exact culture CMC talks about, I feel the cyclone players will be out to prove people wrong. This is a huge opportunity to "be the best them they can be" and I feel this spot favors the good guys. Loyal forever true.
 
cyc26 said:
I think the recent media surrounding both coaches may have an impact on this game. With both teams coming off of losses it will clearly be a "who wants it more" and who is more mentally prepared rather than who is purely the better team.

The Riley to LSU rumors, even tho they may not be true, will certainly have an impact on OU. Will they be focused? Is Riley fully focused? How will they react? He (last week) spent some time away from the team, which even if not about coaching, is out of the ordinary. Will for sure be interesting to see how his team reacts.

On the other hand, we all have seen the media reaction to CMC's response to the B12 championship "goal." According to twitter and the exact culture CMC talks about, I feel the cyclone players will be out to prove people wrong. This is a huge opportunity to "be the best them they can be" and I feel this spot favors the good guys. Loyal forever true.
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I completely agree. As weird as some in the media and even within our fanbase thought Campbell's comments were, I think the guys are gonna come out wired on Saturday.
 
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ISUCubswin said:
My concern is after watching the Baylor game, OU takes deep shots every other pass.

Baylors secondary was in stride with OU receivers every time which led to bad overthrows.

Our secondary will not be able to keep up with OUs receivers.
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Agree, doesn't matter which QB plays for OU, they will continue to take shots downfield and will succeed unless we blitz the crap out of them and get pressure. I wouldn't bet this game - period.
 
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