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What are your predictions for the market in 2020?

In 2019 the SP500 was up about 29%, one of the best ever. Can it continue? Will we see a recession? Will we finally stop gambling with our family's money?

I want to know why PRBLX does so well year after year after year. Amazing. No work to it. 5 year return over average over 10% per year. What the heck did I trip over to stumble into that?
 
Still riding Apple. Won’t buy again till it dips or splits. Hoarding cash might be a good idea this year, banking on a possible recession or general downturn. Then buy up then.
 
I want to know why PRBLX does so well year after year after year. Amazing. No work to it. 5 year return over average over 10% per year. What the heck did I trip over to stumble into that?
My portfolio has had a long position in this one for as long as I can remember - nice steady value appreciation over time, and a track record of healthy capital gains distributions too! Helps to offset the expense ratio. Couldn't let it go when I cleaned house at the end of last year.
 
Still riding Apple. Won’t buy again till it dips or splits. Hoarding cash might be a good idea this year, banking on a possible recession or general downturn. Then buy up then.

That is exactly my plan. Hold cash right now, it is getting bumpy as hiring slows way down. And then all in!
 
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I shorted 100 shares of Apple Friday morning and bought them back Friday afternoon for a few hundred in gains. Then Monday the thing drops like a rock, I figure "well, this is the start of the backtrack" so I short another 100 shares, forget to buy back yesterday afternoon, and today it's up about $7/share, leaving me holding the bag for about $700 today. Do i eat the loss or think it's gonna go down?


I have longed Apple since before the 7-1 split. I have traded many different stocks over that time and I stopped playing a few years ago. Anymore I hold. You definitely have more energy than I do. Apple is a strong company and most likely will keep going up and will split again. They are diversifying more and more. It’s a tough call how you’re doing it, but I really like that company in the long term.
 
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U.S.manufacturing is already in a recession.... Fed cut rates 3 times(?) last year.... the economy is on fumes and the stock market has been riding the trump tax cut high, for the last two years. It is going to hit, and hit hard. It is going to be difficult to help stimulate the economy because the fed has not significantly raised interest in a very long time. There is almost no where to go to drop interest rates. Businesses are starting to feel it. It seems like we hear about more layoffs every week, and it seems like small businesses are folding like crazy.... Better start squirreling that cash away....
 
U.S.manufacturing is already in a recession.... Fed cut rates 3 times(?) last year.... the economy is on fumes and the stock market has been riding the trump tax cut high, for the last two years. It is going to hit, and hit hard. It is going to be difficult to help stimulate the economy because the fed has not significantly raised interest in a very long time. There is almost no where to go to drop interest rates. Businesses are starting to feel it. It seems like we hear about more layoffs every week, and it seems like small businesses are folding like crazy.... Better start squirreling that cash away....

Really? All the businesses I see can't find enough people for jobs. It's an employees market right now.

I think the first couple things you said were right though, but I'm not sure if the job market is going to necessarily reflect what happens to wall street this time. There isn't enough people to do the work right now.
 
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I shorted 100 shares of Apple Friday morning and bought them back Friday afternoon for a few hundred in gains. Then Monday the thing drops like a rock, I figure "well, this is the start of the backtrack" so I short another 100 shares, forget to buy back yesterday afternoon, and today it's up about $7/share, leaving me holding the bag for about $700 today. Do i eat the loss or think it's gonna go down?

Always have a stop in mind. Most would put that above the recent high. If you get a new high definitely close the short. Although, this is assuming you aren't using stupid leverage.
 
Not to brag, but I bought a lot of PCG at $4 and now I'm doing well. Wondering when they get bailed out and I can dump it again at $20.
 
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Really? All the businesses I see can't find enough people for jobs. It's an employees market right now.

I think the first couple things you said were right though, but I'm not sure if the job market is going to necessarily reflect what happens to wall street this time. There isn't enough people to do the work right now.
We’ve been hearing about small business failure for a long time now too. It’s the nature of the beast. Always new startups and always new failures.
 
If you have real cajohnes you would short Tesla. But we've seen what that has gotten them lately, a good swift kick in the ole ISU nut cup.
 
I have longed Apple since before the 7-1 split. I have traded many different stocks over that time and I stopped playing a few years ago. Anymore I hold. You definitely have more energy than I do. Apple is a strong company and most likely will keep going up and will split again. They are diversifying more and more. It’s a tough call how you’re doing it, but I really like that company in the long term.

I try to get in and get out in the same day, understanding a few hundred here and there is okay so long as i don't touch my actual investments. I buy-and-hold and then trade on margin. My biggest problem is not selling out quic enough on a loss. A $1,000 loss eats up several gains very quickly.
 
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We’ve been hearing about small business failure for a long time now too. It’s the nature of the beast. Always new startups and always new failures.

Agree totally. You got an idea for no gluten cupcake/healthy smoothie/yoga/hooka bar? Alright, start that business up!


5-years later.......
 
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Not to brag, but I bought a lot of PCG at $4 and now I'm doing well. Wondering when they get bailed out and I can dump it again at $20.

Nice move but you're seeing resistance start right now about 14.86 (50 week MA and several gaps).
 
I try to get in and get out in the same day, understanding a few hundred here and there is okay so long as i don't touch my actual investments. I buy-and-hold and then trade on margin. My biggest problem is not selling out quic enough on a loss. A $1,000 loss eats up several gains very quickly.


I kick myself on the amazon, Microsoft, and Netflix I sold back in the day. Oof. I’m a bit more willing to wait now.
 

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