2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

21.2 MPG is high but not like ridiculous.

The Torvik model is never going to be perfect.

I just don't want it to be abjectly wrong (e.g., missing Williams).
Absolutely I agree. Especially since Williams is expected to be a contributor.
 


Us as an 8 seed is a joke. We will be the best offensively that we have been under TJ and his first 2 years with a patch work roster we made a sweet Sixteen as an 11 and were a 6 last year.
 
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Us as an 8 seed is a joke. We will be the best offensively that we have been under TJ and his first 2 years with a patch work roster we have been 6 seeds.
11 seed in 21-22.

Youth may be a factor for next year along with finding balance if they need to lay off the defense a bit.

Any tourney bid is good so I don't care so long as they get in.
 


Us as an 8 seed is a joke. We will be the best offensively that we have been under TJ and his first 2 years with a patch work roster we have been 6 seeds.
Meh. It's pretty hard to get worked up about a hypothetical bracket when the real one is 11 months away and nobody has a final roster or schedule yet.

It gets clicks and that's all it's there for.
 
Schedule is done per Rocco Miller--

11/6--Green Bay (NET 361)
11/9--Lindenwood (338)
11/12--Idaho State (252)
11/19--Grambling (186)
11/23-26-ESPN Events Invitational Orlando
12/1--at DePaul (155)
12/7--Iowa (38)
12/10--Prairie View A&M (281)
12/17--Florida A&M (359)
12/21--Eastern Illinois (345)
12/31-New Hampshire (267)

That's, um, underwhelming.
Looks like a George Raveling OOC schedule @ USC.

He was once asked about how he put his easy OOC schedule together, and he quipped: "I look at the computer ranking of all teams and start making calls from the bottom up!

Made me laugh out loud.
 
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Us as an 8 seed is a joke. We will be the best offensively that we have been under TJ and his first 2 years with a patch work roster we have been 6 seeds.
we likely won't have a great resume going in. Our non-con may be be very very weak. We have to hope we get matched up with teams in the holiday tournaments that turn out to be very good, and of course it will help to beat them. We just won't have many opportunity to pick up any marquee non conference wins. Plus, unlike last couple of years, the metrics for the Big 12 will not be off the charts. We won't be going round robin and will likely play some weaker teams like UCF.
 
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Us as an 8 seed is a joke. We will be the best offensively that we have been under TJ and his first 2 years with a patch work roster we made a sweet Sixteen as an 11 and were a 6 last year.
I mean that’s not a bad draw. Get by Villanova in round 1 and I think we can absolutely beat Iona to go to the sweet 16.
 
I think if we've learned anything the last two seasons it's that Q1/2/3/4 distinctions don't matter that much when it comes to seeding. It might be a way to support seed placement, but it's not determining seed. The committee still likes clean records and strength of schedule. That said, they do seem to punish teams with poor nonconference schedules if you're on the bubble.

Unless you're shooting for a 1-2 seed, I don't see the need to load up on a crazy nonconference. As others have mentioned though, you do leave yourself vulnerable if you drop a stunner.

Anyways, I'm rambling. .500 or better in the Big 12 and you're safely in and probably 6 or higher. I'd take another 6 next season, but hopefully it's because we were surging in February/March with a young roster that's found their rotation and not hanging on for dear life like this past season.
 
If BRE plays 21 minutes without getting 5 fouls, I'll eat my own shoe
Yes he fouls but this is overplayed. This last year Rob played 20 minutes or more 9 times and only fouled out once in those games. In those 9 games he averaged 2 2/3 fouls per game. The only other game he fouled out of was the West Virginia foulfest fiasco.

On the season overall he averaged about 2.7 fouls per game.
 
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I'm curious who people think will be the leading scorer next year, based on the assumption that the roster is set (Ward, King and Jones return; add Gilbert, Pav and Curtis Jones).

Much like last year, I'm not sure there's an obvious leading scorer. I think the most likely to me are:
1. Jones
2. King
3. Milan
4. Gilbert
5. Omaha
 
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I'm curious who people think will be the leading scorer next year, based on the assumption that the roster is set (Ward, King and Jones return; add Gilbert, Pav and Curtis Jones).

Much like last year, I'm not sure there's an obvious leading scorer. I think the most likely to me are:
1. Jones
2. King
3. Milan
4. Gilbert
5. Omaha
I'm not sure Jones even starts. But I'd have it this way.


1. Pavletzke
2. Gilbert
3. King
4. Tamin
5. Milan
 
I'm curious who people think will be the leading scorer next year, based on the assumption that the roster is set (Ward, King and Jones return; add Gilbert, Pav and Curtis Jones).

Much like last year, I'm not sure there's an obvious leading scorer. I think the most likely to me are:
1. Jones
2. King
3. Milan
4. Gilbert
5. Omaha
Maybe someone steps up and really becomes the guy but I honestly see a bunch of guys in the 8-13 point range (your list plus Lipsey and Pav). Gilbert, Jones or Pav are going to be the guys taking last shots in the game Imo.
 
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