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2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

CyPunch said:
If people are upset about Tamin playing 30 minutes instead of 25 in buy games, I can only imagine the meltdown if we are in a 1 point battle with Eastern Illinois with 5 minutes to play like KU was.
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A year ago to the day they beat 30 pt favorite Iowa in the worst upset in 30 years.

I'm seeing ISU listed at -31.5 for tonight.


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Clone95 said:
We don't have the Big 12/SEC challenge game in January, so everyone has one more non-con before conference season, this year. Not that we couldn't have fit it in with the old schedule, but that could be the reason.

Selfishly, I like that we only have one week between Jan 1 and March that doesn't have 2 ISU games, but having 2 would probably be appreciated by the coaches.
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Plus it's the year the calendar moves the tournament back a week. Just a lot more dates available.
 
alarson said:
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Football uniform template? Hmm. Haha.
 
cydnote said:
Who had it on their bingo card that the top 3 Big Twelve teams repping the NET would be two newcomers and us at this point on the schedule?
Also, can we preserve our #5 rating without pitching a shutout tonight?
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Looking at Haslametrics, who also has us #5, we need to win tonight by at least 88-53 to keep pace.
 
Cyclonepride said:
I'm surprised that New Hampshire is #210. Looking at their schedule, they've been pretty tough.
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The cupcakes we've played so far are ranked in the following order on Torvik...

#216 New Hampshire
#284 Idaho State
#287 Green Bay
#297 Prairie View A&M
#309 Florida A&M
#320 Grambling
#325 Eastern Illinois
#337 Lindenwood

I am not going to put DePaul and Iowa in there. As much as I was tempted.

:)

So yeah, UNH is going to be the "toughest" of the buy games.

That should be the only one that ends up as a Quad 3 win outside of maybe DePaul on the road. The rest are clearly going to be Quad 4 games. Iowa is probably going to end up a Quad 2 win.
 
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Sigmapolis said:
The cupcakes we've played so far are ranked in the following order on Torvik...

#216 New Hampshire
#284 Idaho State
#287 Green Bay
#297 Prairie View A&M
#309 Florida A&M
#320 Grambling
#325 Eastern Illinois
#337 Lindenwood

I am not going to put DePaul and Iowa in there. As much as I was tempted.

:)

So yeah, UNH is going to be the "toughest" of the buy games.

That should be the only one that ends up as a Quad 3 win outside of maybe DePaul on the road. The rest are clearly going to be Quad 4 games. Iowa is probably going to end up a Quad 2 win.
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UNH at home is already slotted as a Q3 right now (154 is 7 slots from dropping to Q4). At DePaul is slotted as a Q4 right now (271 is 31 slots from rising to a Q3). DePaul has a lot work to do for that to become a Q3 win for ISU.

Iowa at home is 64 which is Q2b. Iowa would have to drop to ranking of 76 or worse for that to become a Q3 win. Iowa would have to rise to a ranking of 55 or better for that to become a Q2a win.

WVU at home is still firmly a Q4 game. They would have improve their 200 ranking to 160 or better for that to change to Q3.

Virginia Tech (N) is still hanging on as a Q1a loss. But if their ranking drops 2 spots to 51 it becomes a Q2a loss. Let's hope they figure things out.
 
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We are just abusing and exploiting the NET ranking system flaw. We don't even have 1 "resume" win.

yes yes yes... it won't matter for us in the end since we play in a real conference.
 
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