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2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

Considering my outlook at the start of the season, or maybe more accurately, after Portland, I thought the Cyclones would finish behind KU, BU, UT, and TCU.
Current record vs these 4: 5-2

Finish ahead of OSU, OU, TTech, WVU.
Record vs these 4: 2-6

KSU is an outlier. They've significantly exceeded expectations.

Those bottom 4 are pretty much who I thought they would be.
 
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Halincandenza said:
That is insane. They would be putting teams in there in the 60-70 range on NET. I don't see that happening.
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It makes no sense to have Wisconsin, Penn State, and Michigan all either IN or first four out and Oklahoma State is NEXT four out.

HeatCheckCBB is definitely more probable: He has 7 BIg Ten in with Wisconsin, PSU, and Mich all first four out or next four out.
 
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My bracket projection for today heading into the weekend:

1677872144072.png

I also built a simple regression model this week based on the committee's final seed list from 2022. The projected seed list for that can be found in the Resumes tab in the link above. That regression model has Iowa State as the #30 overall team, which would equate to an 8-seed.

If anyone is curious, below is what this regression model would have predicted for the 2022 tournament and its misses compared to the NCAA committee's final seed list on Selection Sunday. That model would have correctly predicted Iowa State as an 11-seed last year (I personally had ISU as a 9-seed in my final projection last year).

1677872398986.png
 
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NiceMarmot said:
My bracket projection for today heading into the weekend:

View attachment 110287

I also built a simple regression model this week based on the committee's final seed list from 2022. The projected seed list for that can be found in the Resumes tab in the link above. That regression model has Iowa State as the #30 overall team, which would equate to an 8-seed.

If anyone is curious, below is what this regression model would have predicted for the 2022 tournament and its misses compared to the NCAA committee's final seed list on Selection Sunday. That model would have correctly predicted Iowa State as an 11-seed last year (I personally had ISU as a 9-seed in my final projection last year).

View attachment 110288
Click to expand...

Good work, again.

As for ISU's draw, as a 6, I wouldn't mind that whatsoever. It's maybe the second-least "scary" 11 seed in the scenario, the locale doesn't favor Marquette too heavily geographically, and it's KC Regional so if somehow survive first weekend, that's awesome.

Trivial side-note, I like the rhyme-factor in the East 5v12 -- TCU vs VCU. (I'm sure the committee will make accommodations to create such a matchup for potential word-geek storylines, in that regard! (JIMLAD, if that's necessary :D)
 
cyclones500 said:
Good work, again.

As for ISU's draw, as a 6, I wouldn't mind that whatsoever. It's maybe the second-least "scary" 11 seed in the scenario, the locale doesn't favor Marquette too heavily geographically, and it's KC Regional so if somehow survive first weekend, that's awesome.

Trivial side-note, I like the rhyme-factor in the East 5v12 -- TCU vs VCU. (I'm sure the committee will make accommodations to create such a matchup for potential word-geek storylines, in that regard! (JIMLAD, if that's necessary :D)
Click to expand...
I'd take Rutgers or Oral Roberts before Auburn
 
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