2014 Bracketology
- Thread starter JohnnyFive
- Start date
If we win out at home I think we have very very good odds to win the Big 12. Like 80% odds.
Just gotta go out there and do it.
Lunardi has us as a #2 seed (technically team #8 on the S-Curve which translates to a #2 seed) and the AQ bid for the Big 12 in his latest bracket math. (It's an insider article)
Bracketology - Arizona lands top spot on S-curve season debut - College Basketball - ESPN
Bracketology - Arizona lands top spot on S-curve season debut - College Basketball - ESPN
This is why a good seed is so huge.
This guy has us as a 3, playing UL-Lafayette. Second round would be the winner of UMass/Minnesota. No No. 1 Kentuckys in sight.
Unveiling our first 68-team bracket of the season - College Basketball - Michael Beller - SI.com
This guy has us as a 3, playing UL-Lafayette. Second round would be the winner of UMass/Minnesota. No No. 1 Kentuckys in sight.
Unveiling our first 68-team bracket of the season - College Basketball - Michael Beller - SI.com
If S-curve followed precisely in that region, it's something like this (I'm guessing subregions; I didn't assess entire bracket, just West):
WEST | Anaheim
(San Diego)
1 Arizona
16 Florida Gulf Coast/Hampton*
8 Illinois
9 Harvard
-------------
(Orlando/Raleigh)
5 Louisville
12 So Miss
4 Kentucky
13 North Dakota State
-------------
(Spokane)
6 Memphis
11 Oklahoma**
3 Villanova
14 Boston U
-------------
(St. Louis)
7 Missouri***
10 Virginia
2 Iowa State
15 Georgia State
*Random placement of lowest auto bids
**I would guess OU gets flipped out of that region to avoid possible Sweet 16 matchup w/ ISU.
***Missouri could be swapped elsewhere, 7 wouldn't be placed more favorably than a 2.
I'd like chances in that region!
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NCAA Tourney - Locks, Conference Winners, Bubble, and Fringe
America East (1) - Vermont
American (6) - Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, SMU, Connecticut, Houston
Atlantic 10 (6) - Massachusetts, St. Louis, VCU, Dayton, GW, St. Josephs
ACC (12) - Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Duke, Virginia, Clemson, Maryland, UNC, NC State, FL St., Notre Dame, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech
Atlantic Sun (1) - Mercer
Big 12 (8) - Kansas, Iowa St., OK St., Oklahoma, Baylor, K. State, Texas, West Virginia
Big East (6) - Villanova, Creighton, Xavier, Georgetown, Marquette, Providence
Big Sky (1) - Northern Colorado
Big South (1) - Radford
Big Ten (9) - MSU, Wisconsin, Ohio St., Michigan, Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Indiana, Purdue
Big West (1) - UC Irvine
CAA (1) - Drexel
CUSA (5) - Southern Miss, La Tech, UAB, Middle Tennessee, Charlotte
Horizon (1) - Green Bay
Ivy (1) - Harvard
MAAC (1) - Manhattan
MAC (2) - Ohio, Toledo
MEAC (1) - Norfolk St.
MVC (3) - Wichita St., Indiana St., Missouri St.
MWC (7) - SDSU, New Mexico, Boise St., CSU, Utah St., Nevada, UNLV
Northeast (1) - Wagner
OVC (1) - Belmont
Pac-12 (9) - Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California, ASU, Washington, Utah, Stanford
Patriot League (1) - Boston University
SEC (10) - Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Georgia, Texas A&M, LSU, Tennessee, Miss. St., Alabama, Arkansas
Southern (1) - Chattanooga
Southland (1) - Stephen F. Austin
SWAC (1) - Southern University
Summit (1) - IPFW
Sun Belt (1) - Georgia St.
WCC (3) - Gonzaga, St. Mary's, BYU,
WAC (1) - New Mexico St.
America East (1) - Vermont
American (6) - Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis, SMU, Connecticut, Houston
Atlantic 10 (6) - Massachusetts, St. Louis, VCU, Dayton, GW, St. Josephs
ACC (12) - Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Duke, Virginia, Clemson, Maryland, UNC, NC State, FL St., Notre Dame, Wake Forest, Georgia Tech
Atlantic Sun (1) - Mercer
Big 12 (8) - Kansas, Iowa St., OK St., Oklahoma, Baylor, K. State, Texas, West Virginia
Big East (6) - Villanova, Creighton, Xavier, Georgetown, Marquette, Providence
Big Sky (1) - Northern Colorado
Big South (1) - Radford
Big Ten (9) - MSU, Wisconsin, Ohio St., Michigan, Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Indiana, Purdue
Big West (1) - UC Irvine
CAA (1) - Drexel
CUSA (5) - Southern Miss, La Tech, UAB, Middle Tennessee, Charlotte
Horizon (1) - Green Bay
Ivy (1) - Harvard
MAAC (1) - Manhattan
MAC (2) - Ohio, Toledo
MEAC (1) - Norfolk St.
MVC (3) - Wichita St., Indiana St., Missouri St.
MWC (7) - SDSU, New Mexico, Boise St., CSU, Utah St., Nevada, UNLV
Northeast (1) - Wagner
OVC (1) - Belmont
Pac-12 (9) - Arizona, Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, California, ASU, Washington, Utah, Stanford
Patriot League (1) - Boston University
SEC (10) - Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Georgia, Texas A&M, LSU, Tennessee, Miss. St., Alabama, Arkansas
Southern (1) - Chattanooga
Southland (1) - Stephen F. Austin
SWAC (1) - Southern University
Summit (1) - IPFW
Sun Belt (1) - Georgia St.
WCC (3) - Gonzaga, St. Mary's, BYU,
WAC (1) - New Mexico St.
How do they have all of these SEC teams on the fringe on there? The SEC is a lousy conference and Alabama isn't even .500 overall right now. If they're considered a "fringe" team, then that's absolutely absurd!
Well, it's really early in the season, so they are considered fringe due to their impending games against Florida, Kentucky and Missouri. If any of those teams can steal those games, they improve their chances. That's why being in a top 6 conference is so key to getting into the tourney. You get to have more marquee games. I doubt any of those fringe teams are there in 2-3 weeks.
Updated today. We are still at a 3 seed which is not bad after two straight losses.Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN
That South bracket could sooo blow up.
My Elite 8 with that field:
WEST
5. Duke
2. Kansas
SOUTH
4. Kentucky
7. Michigan
EAST
1. Syracuse
3. Ohio State
MIDWEST
1. Michigan State
2. Florida
You don't have ISU in your Elite 8? That's ****ed up. You don't even have to be a homer to predict that. GTFO.
Not sure if this is serious, but it is true. I mean it isn't even close to homerish to have Iowa State in the Elite Eight with this bracket. That being said you have the right to your opinion.
Among those 3 seeds, ISU has the most-resistant 6 & 2 seeds ... it's less about confidence in Iowa State, but the path to the Elite 8. Swap Iowa State to the South in exchange for OSU and I'd be coin-flipping with UK-ISU for Final Four.
Yep, ISU could certainly get past UF, so it's not like it was all-or-nothing choice.
After our two losses, it looks we are a 3 seed, but barely on the edge of a 2 seed.
Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN
The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2014
Bracketology - NCAA College Basketball Brackets and Predictions - ESPN
The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2014